Realized P&L
+$447
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
31
Trades
104,589
lifetime
Volume
$4.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$3.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
39% 65% $-57
Sports
22% 80% +$53
Politics
19% 100% +$451
Crypto
19%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 826 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -461 $-459 100¢ $-461 $-2 06-24 10:09
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -347 $-343 100¢ $-347 $-3 06-20 02:03
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +269 $264 100¢ $268 +$5 06-13 21:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -208 $-203 100¢ $-208 $-4 06-24 00:36
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +212 $197 94¢ $198 +$1 06-18 03:27
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +210 $189 94¢ $196 +$7 06-26 05:29
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +158 $145 94¢ $148 +$4 06-30 02:23
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +141 $132 92¢ $130 $-1 06-15 03:05
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +109 $103 100¢ $109 +$6 06-17 18:20
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 05-28 15:14
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 05-28 19:00
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No -100 $-97 100¢ $-100 $-3 05-28 12:47
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-2 05-30 11:07
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -99 $-97 100¢ $-99 $-2 05-29 16:24
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +99 $98 99¢ $98 +$0 06-29 23:36
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 $-1 06-07 12:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -101 $-96 96¢ $-97 $-1 05-28 08:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -92 $-88 100¢ $-92 $-4 06-06 04:30
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $95 90¢ $90 $-5 06-29 21:53
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +99 $84 88¢ $87 +$3 06-29 07:04
Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season? No +78 $76 98¢ $76 +$0 06-17 10:10
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +74 $71 100¢ $74 +$3 06-23 22:01
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +76 $73 97¢ $74 +$1 06-30 08:34
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +74 $65 99¢ $74 +$9 06-14 14:17
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No -79 $-71 92¢ $-73 $-2 05-28 01:37
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +65 $64 99¢ $64 +$0 06-29 00:54
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +64 $62 91¢ $58 $-3 06-30 13:05
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? No -45 $-45 100¢ $-45 +$0 06-15 01:48
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +41 $36 100¢ $41 +$4 06-07 09:14
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -39 $-39 100¢ $-39 +$0 06-13 02:07