Gummy-Sale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$447

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

Trades

105,572

lifetime

Volume

$4.16M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-13 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

38% 65% $-57

Sports

22% 80% +$53

Politics

19% 100% +$451

Crypto

19% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 359 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4,067	$105.3K	58,870	53,309	+5,561	open	—	04-17 19:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	364	$35.6K	18,609	18,435	+174	open	—	03-24 22:29
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	685	$34.3K	19,105	18,863	+242	open	—	03-08 21:07
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	456	$33.1K	18,194	17,998	+197	open	—	03-24 20:58
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	499	$32.4K	16,679	16,735	-57	open	—	03-04 16:06
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	404	$31.9K	16,286	17,998	-1,711	open	—	03-24 06:42
trump out as president by march 31	389	$31.4K	15,961	16,298	-337	open	—	03-24 04:03
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	762	$27.7K	14,795	14,360	+435	open	—	04-06 19:56
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	488	$26.0K	13,505	13,198	+307	open	—	03-15 23:59
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1,366	$25.9K	13,419	13,355	+64	open	—	04-27 01:41
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	925	$24.2K	12,618	12,531	+87	open	—	02-21 20:46
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1,180	$23.1K	12,265	12,178	+86	open	—	03-17 11:24
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	230	$22.4K	11,364	11,659	-295	open	—	03-16 18:39
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	1,087	$21.5K	11,406	11,231	+175	open	—	04-26 15:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	306	$21.2K	11,145	11,354	-209	open	—	04-19 16:47
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1,058	$20.6K	10,800	10,410	+390	No	+$17	04-26 21:52
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	880	$20.3K	11,264	11,351	-87	open	—	04-27 17:44
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	911	$19.7K	11,029	11,107	-78	open	—	04-25 01:41
will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	750	$19.4K	9,988	10,039	-51	open	—	02-15 20:03
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	410	$19.4K	9,918	10,240	-322	open	—	03-08 21:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	266	$18.9K	9,950	10,357	-407	open	—	03-17 07:57
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	1,033	$18.3K	9,719	9,190	+529	open	—	04-19 08:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	382	$18.1K	10,323	10,221	+102	open	—	02-28 06:42
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	257	$17.9K	9,530	9,375	+155	open	—	01-30 11:50
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	181	$17.7K	9,002	9,246	-244	open	—	01-24 14:59
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	250	$17.2K	8,812	9,054	-242	open	—	03-19 13:26
will gta 6 cost 100	324	$17.0K	8,895	8,332	+563	open	—	02-21 22:13
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	783	$17.0K	9,389	8,666	+723	open	—	04-27 08:26
will the us invade iran by march 31	253	$16.7K	9,650	9,214	+436	open	—	03-24 00:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	342	$16.6K	8,939	8,856	+83	open	—	03-12 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 13:40:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xe0cd87…
07-13 10:31:43	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xc49012…
07-13 07:48:10	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	78	90¢	$71	0x4bab7e…
07-13 05:52:23	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x2c007a…
07-12 22:52:31	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	22	90¢	$19	0xd2915e…
07-11 20:26:10	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x72ff52…
07-10 20:18:43	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xde5b61…
07-09 22:50:32	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x353df1…
07-09 17:21:37	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x337acf…
07-09 15:28:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xb1bc21…
07-09 07:01:17	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x48afd6…
07-09 01:09:44	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	74	88¢	$65	0x922d7c…
07-08 23:36:35	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xd605a6…
07-08 20:34:07	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xa92915…
07-08 14:36:32	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x5de37d…
07-08 14:10:53	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x473ce6…
07-08 12:21:55	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0x12ff39…
07-08 12:01:40	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0x510849…
07-08 11:33:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x9d876b…
07-08 10:10:49	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xecfe0a…
07-08 08:26:07	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x37c2e1…
07-08 08:25:59	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0xb4401b…
07-08 07:11:40	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0xfad08f…
07-08 07:06:07	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x9da500…
07-08 07:06:01	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x2c4fd7…
07-08 06:53:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x0052ea…
07-08 06:48:07	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x31bb02…
07-08 06:48:02	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc8ea5c…
07-08 06:47:58	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9f7e8a…
07-08 06:24:37	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x4382bc…
07-08 06:20:02	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	199	98¢	$195	0xb2c19d…
07-08 05:37:29	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0xf4f8d4…
07-08 05:36:59	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe39158…
07-08 05:36:52	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6974b…
07-08 05:36:40	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0xabcfba…
07-08 05:34:20	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x4975de…
07-08 05:12:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0c4187…
07-08 04:56:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x237dd5…
07-08 03:44:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x569f39…
07-08 03:34:16	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x0084fb…
07-08 03:33:28	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x953513…
07-08 02:27:16	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x3062fb…
07-08 02:23:35	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xd74932…
07-08 02:09:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x69e1b8…
07-08 02:02:40	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x08eefb…
07-08 02:01:46	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x23e76b…
07-08 01:54:04	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	174	98¢	$171	0x5a456d…
07-08 01:42:26	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x436a7f…
07-08 01:05:11	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x03a0e6…
07-08 00:34:56	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xde9f41…
07-08 00:33:17	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x1bf616…
07-08 00:00:59	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	63	58¢	$37	0x7c7c9c…
07-07 23:59:38	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	15	58¢	$8	0x97f777…
07-07 23:59:13	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	44	87¢	$38	0x1c5854…
07-07 23:59:13	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x11e2ac…
07-07 23:59:11	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x418b94…
07-07 23:57:47	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	15	58¢	$8	0x65ad38…
07-07 23:55:35	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xf230a7…
07-07 23:49:19	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	33	87¢	$29	0x06db4e…
07-07 23:49:05	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xfbd268…
07-07 23:47:37	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xccac03…
07-07 23:39:20	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x0d83b8…
07-07 23:28:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x6d0ab3…
07-07 23:11:31	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xd1a8f0…
07-07 22:54:34	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	45	85¢	$38	0xdf921d…
07-07 22:53:08	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	143	98¢	$140	0xba7464…
07-07 22:52:23	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	55	85¢	$47	0x5ca5bd…
07-07 22:36:47	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcd660d…
07-07 22:36:26	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x6d4c79…
07-07 22:29:28	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0x68053c…
07-07 22:28:43	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0x2801b2…
07-07 22:27:26	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x80d188…
07-07 22:25:23	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x63e640…
07-07 22:23:56	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	52	89¢	$46	0x63bcd7…
07-07 22:23:56	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x543cd2…
07-07 22:23:13	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x42370b…
07-07 22:20:05	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	49	93¢	$46	0x0bb1e0…
07-07 22:16:35	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x222acc…
07-07 22:14:16	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xed4426…
07-07 22:12:41	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x289966…
07-07 22:11:10	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	26	91¢	$24	0xa8dc9e…
07-07 22:06:20	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x1deccf…
07-07 22:00:50	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd61593…
07-07 21:49:41	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0x75ecf8…
07-07 21:45:08	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x96b602…
07-07 21:23:23	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	48	92¢	$44	0xb9ce2c…
07-07 20:56:37	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	174	98¢	$171	0x304c52…
07-07 20:55:56	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x91e818…
07-07 20:48:37	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xdf5942…
07-07 20:38:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xac780f…
07-07 20:37:38	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0xfad240…
07-07 20:34:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0x25c2b2…
07-07 20:33:44	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0xdea33f…
07-07 20:22:25	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0x1fab06…
07-07 20:21:49	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb86dc9…
07-07 20:13:11	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xe1335b…
07-07 20:05:14	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x2f870f…
07-07 19:53:22	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x7a606e…
07-07 19:53:05	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xf859c2…
07-07 19:39:13	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x701de6…