Realized P&L
-$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
-$73
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
2,284
Trades
121,673
lifetime
Volume
$4.93M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$3.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-08 21:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 221 days
Categories
Other
37% 64% -$578
Sports
27% 70% +$495
Politics
17% 58% -$333
Crypto
16% 72% -$159
Tech
2% 61% -$444
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$78
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -197 -$191 97¢ $-192 -$1 05-31 04:55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -200 -$156 92¢ $-183 -$27 05-08 15:21
2026 Balance of Power: Other No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 04-29 23:24
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 07-13 21:49
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 $0 05-07 01:46
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -100 -$98 100¢ $-100 -$2 06-30 15:57
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -100 -$96 100¢ $-100 -$3 05-31 20:08
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 05-21 10:39
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$98 100¢ $-100 -$2 07-07 16:19
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 05-22 09:28
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 +$0 07-07 16:21
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 +$0 07-07 16:24
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No -100 -$95 99¢ $-99 -$4 05-05 08:10
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 +$0 05-11 02:24
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 06-27 23:59
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$3 04-28 13:38
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$96 100¢ $-99 -$2 07-13 10:31
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No -99 -$91 99¢ $-98 -$7 05-26 21:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No -100 -$97 98¢ $-98 -$1 04-28 17:11
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 98¢ $-97 -$2 04-28 13:39
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$97 98¢ $-97 $0 07-13 21:47
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -100 -$90 97¢ $-97 -$7 05-13 13:35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -100 -$90 97¢ $-97 -$7 07-09 17:21
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No -97 -$95 100¢ $-97 -$1 06-16 13:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -100 -$92 96¢ $-96 -$4 04-28 13:38
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -100 -$95 96¢ $-96 -$1 05-28 01:11
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$95 96¢ $-95 +$0 07-06 01:52
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -98 -$94 96¢ $-94 $0 04-29 06:48
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$93 94¢ $-94 $0 05-28 20:22
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$97 94¢ $-93 +$4 07-06 12:53