Realized P&L (90d)
-$182
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved (90d)
95
Trades (90d)
4
120,114 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$298
$4.88M lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$2.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-08 21:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 229 days
Categories
Other
37% 64% -$609
Sports
27% 69% +$490
Politics
17% 58% -$393
Crypto
16% 72% -$159
Tech
2% 61% -$444
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$78
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -197 -$191 99¢ $-195 -$4 05-31 04:55
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 05-21 10:39
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -100 -$98 100¢ $-100 -$2 06-30 15:57
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$98 100¢ $-100 -$2 07-07 16:19
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 05-22 09:28
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 $0 07-07 16:21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No -100 -$97 99¢ $-99 -$2 04-28 17:11
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 05-11 02:24
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$96 100¢ $-99 -$3 07-13 10:31
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$3 04-28 13:38
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No -99 -$91 100¢ $-99 -$7 05-26 21:04
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -100 -$92 99¢ $-99 -$7 04-28 13:38
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 +$1 07-07 16:24
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$93 99¢ $-98 -$5 05-28 20:22
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 98¢ $-98 +$1 06-27 23:59
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -100 -$90 98¢ $-98 -$8 07-09 17:21
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No -100 -$95 98¢ $-98 -$3 05-05 08:10
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$97 98¢ $-97 $0 07-13 21:47
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -100 -$95 97¢ $-97 -$2 05-28 01:11
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No -97 -$95 100¢ $-97 -$1 06-16 13:00
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 97¢ $-96 $0 04-28 13:39
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -98 -$94 96¢ $-94 $0 04-29 06:48
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$95 95¢ $-94 +$1 07-06 01:52
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -93 -$90 100¢ $-93 -$3 06-11 22:42
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$97 89¢ $-88 +$9 07-06 12:53
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -96 -$92 90¢ $-87 +$6 05-04 19:32
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No -99 -$95 87¢ $-86 +$9 05-27 19:08
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$94 86¢ $-85 +$9 05-09 19:13
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No -68 -$65 98¢ $-67 -$1 06-01 19:01
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No -64 -$62 92¢ $-59 +$3 06-22 23:35