Rewarding-Subset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$297

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

27,898

lifetime

Volume

$1.30M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-10 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

41% 79% +$4

Crypto

26% — —

Sports

18% 70% +$4

Politics

14% 83% +$290

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 306 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	40	$17.9K	19,500	0	+19,500	open	—	01-07 10:43
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	314	$14.3K	7,462	7,579	-116	open	—	04-17 19:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	109	$13.7K	7,052	7,287	-235	open	—	04-24 06:15
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	275	$13.6K	6,975	6,975	+0	open	—	07-14 14:59
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	286	$11.4K	5,926	5,785	+140	open	—	04-27 03:36
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	233	$11.4K	6,103	6,219	-117	open	—	06-27 08:03
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	136	$10.7K	5,690	5,690	+0	open	—	07-20 13:38
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	160	$10.0K	5,468	5,468	+0	open	—	07-21 17:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	141	$9.0K	4,590	4,647	-57	open	—	05-08 15:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$8.6K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	07-22 12:38
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	204	$8.5K	4,139	4,531	-392	open	—	04-28 09:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	107	$8.2K	4,585	4,411	+174	No	+$60	04-23 18:40
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	201	$7.9K	4,241	3,867	+375	open	—	05-08 10:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	79	$7.7K	4,151	4,116	+35	open	—	05-24 00:37
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	165	$7.1K	3,869	3,915	-46	open	—	06-25 08:30
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	213	$7.1K	3,768	4,206	-438	open	—	04-22 02:42
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	208	$7.0K	3,713	3,713	+0	open	—	07-11 23:32
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	270	$6.5K	3,548	3,434	+113	open	—	04-13 01:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	102	$6.4K	3,214	3,309	-95	open	—	05-26 12:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	121	$6.3K	3,562	3,413	+149	open	—	04-20 01:14
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	105	$6.0K	3,150	3,044	+106	open	—	03-23 17:07
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	221	$6.0K	3,264	3,482	-218	open	—	04-26 05:32
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	220	$6.0K	3,095	3,099	-3	open	—	04-27 07:27
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	197	$6.0K	2,914	3,203	-288	open	—	04-22 12:12
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	134	$6.0K	3,167	2,910	+257	open	—	04-30 16:10
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	233	$5.9K	3,024	3,117	-93	open	—	04-27 04:16
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	127	$5.6K	3,089	2,987	+102	open	—	06-23 02:29
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	116	$5.6K	2,961	2,851	+110	open	—	03-25 01:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	61	$5.3K	2,740	2,759	-19	open	—	05-21 17:37
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	89	$5.3K	2,647	2,699	-51	open	—	04-24 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:57:01	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0xbcefdc…
08-10 11:51:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	167	88¢	$147	0x639c36…
08-08 17:51:51	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0xdfcb29…
08-06 04:26:32	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x47a0ca…
08-06 01:42:54	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x1677d5…
08-02 08:13:57	will russia capture sloviansk by december 31	No	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x9506b5…
08-02 07:52:06	will russia capture sloviansk by december 31	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xea6c56…
08-02 07:52:05	will russia capture sloviansk by december 31	No	SELL	46	93¢	$42	0xd22e93…
07-28 00:33:07	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	72	88¢	$63	0x5b26f0…
07-27 23:11:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf896f8…
07-27 13:19:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xf2fcaf…
07-27 00:59:24	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	96¢	$90	0x9e0297…
07-26 23:07:18	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x8b591e…
07-26 16:24:27	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	110	96¢	$106	0xc9759a…
07-26 09:12:13	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x65f08e…
07-26 06:22:33	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xa18722…
07-26 06:18:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x797b8f…
07-25 23:57:58	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	SELL	70	91¢	$64	0x9504de…
07-25 21:57:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	74	92¢	$68	0xea6341…
07-25 20:33:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	26	92¢	$23	0x23c907…
07-25 16:24:28	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xf39eef…
07-24 04:28:30	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd4bd3c…
07-24 03:21:33	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xc7e9be…
07-23 16:48:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x0dcced…
07-23 16:31:51	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x12cade…
07-23 15:42:33	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x3a09a5…
07-23 13:57:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x220848…
07-23 11:00:25	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x8d7ad9…
07-23 05:25:12	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xc0e9c0…
07-23 04:24:27	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	157	91¢	$143	0x1843d1…
07-22 22:28:25	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xd8705c…
07-22 22:28:19	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x2e4eb5…
07-22 22:28:18	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	SELL	55	89¢	$49	0xe3dbf4…
07-22 18:25:15	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x02da2e…
07-22 18:23:00	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	22	72¢	$16	0x9af84e…
07-22 18:04:54	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0xe2a806…
07-22 17:26:40	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	SELL	99	72¢	$71	0x015816…
07-22 17:13:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	135	86¢	$116	0x10ae8b…
07-22 17:11:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	19	86¢	$17	0x7fb3aa…
07-22 17:05:27	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xc8c265…
07-22 17:02:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x5e02b8…
07-22 16:52:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x052c4c…
07-22 16:51:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x1bc9d0…
07-22 16:42:15	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0x8865a2…
07-22 16:36:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xcf5b2b…
07-22 16:34:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xc824c5…
07-22 16:25:04	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x17a730…
07-22 16:25:03	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xf0b95e…
07-22 16:24:43	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x12976a…
07-22 16:24:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x84ebed…
07-22 16:24:40	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x7fe924…
07-22 16:24:39	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xae0a4d…
07-22 16:24:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x7cfe02…
07-22 14:29:06	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xc44311…
07-22 12:38:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x3c6e8d…
07-22 12:38:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x8c7712…
07-22 06:50:43	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x4aa9df…
07-22 06:45:34	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa3a3ca…
07-22 06:07:42	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x0d166d…
07-22 05:46:07	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0xdc8f01…
07-22 04:47:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7,000	96¢	$6,713	0x784f37…
07-21 17:32:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x20fb71…
07-21 14:36:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	127	99¢	$125	0x429ebb…
07-21 14:34:55	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x84312d…
07-21 11:05:13	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xa03d79…
07-21 09:14:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x2bb25b…
07-21 09:14:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfa57a1…
07-21 09:13:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x064201…
07-21 08:29:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3ba158…
07-21 08:02:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x306391…
07-21 07:41:39	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x09566a…
07-21 05:58:36	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x989ed8…
07-21 05:55:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc3e7d0…
07-21 05:55:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc1d8bd…
07-21 05:55:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x03e5bc…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd57f98…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0xaf75af…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xad2212…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xa4dc2c…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8fb1b7…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x64754c…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x5e992e…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5c8ed7…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x575b5c…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3fcbc9…
07-21 05:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x3049b2…
07-21 03:14:52	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x67c17d…
07-21 02:08:34	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x57a43b…
07-21 01:56:42	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x539bd5…
07-21 01:43:30	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x571c7f…
07-21 01:43:19	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x818b98…
07-21 00:00:13	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x33ef55…
07-20 22:29:01	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x3e821f…
07-20 21:29:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0x554241…
07-20 21:23:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb02ad4…
07-20 21:19:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x088869…
07-20 20:25:01	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x841f35…
07-20 19:22:52	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xb91921…
07-20 19:03:42	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x064e77…
07-20 18:56:28	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x8246ac…