Realized P&L
+$297
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved
30
Trades
24,762
lifetime
Volume
$1.12M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$4.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-30 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
42% 79% +$4
Crypto
25%
Sports
17% 70% +$4
Politics
15% 83% +$290
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 588 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -367 $-364 100¢ $-367 $-2 06-23 12:52
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? No +202 $200 100¢ $201 +$1 06-14 13:00
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -195 $-194 100¢ $-195 $-1 06-06 03:04
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +200 $187 96¢ $192 +$4 06-26 07:58
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +221 $189 86¢ $191 +$2 06-26 09:48
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +190 $183 100¢ $190 +$7 06-22 00:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -183 $-185 100¢ $-183 +$3 06-24 06:15
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +186 $172 94¢ $174 +$3 06-30 20:21
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -173 $-172 100¢ $-173 $-1 06-16 19:57
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -165 $-160 97¢ $-160 $-0 06-09 01:36
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -151 $-143 100¢ $-151 $-7 06-15 18:38
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No -138 $-138 100¢ $-138 +$0 06-23 09:26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +156 $135 88¢ $137 +$1 06-29 07:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +136 $115 100¢ $136 +$21 06-18 10:34
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -131 $-129 100¢ $-130 $-1 06-19 20:05
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +126 $121 100¢ $126 +$5 06-22 11:33
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -120 $-120 100¢ $-119 +$1 06-12 06:59
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -118 $-117 100¢ $-118 $-1 06-01 07:51
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -117 $-111 100¢ $-116 $-5 06-19 02:26
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -115 $-114 100¢ $-115 $-1 06-18 19:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-2 06-17 10:03
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-16 15:14
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-07 04:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-10 05:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-21 17:44
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 $-0 06-23 23:43
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 $-0 06-02 15:37
Will Alberta join the US? No -100 $-97 98¢ $-98 $-1 06-21 20:49
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? No -100 $-97 98¢ $-98 $-1 06-24 18:25
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +100 $96 98¢ $98 +$2 06-06 16:19