Realized P&L
+$2.88K
Unrealized P&L
-$114
Hit rate
78.7%
Resolved
1,588
Trades
47,878
lifetime
Volume
$2.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$4.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 09-19 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Other
43% 76% +$1,921
Sports
27% 74% +$93
Crypto
16% 78% +$50
Politics
12% 74% +$672
Tech
2% 83% +$109
Pop-Culture
1% 88% +$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,530 -$1,516 98¢ $-1503 +$14 09-19 11:53
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -220 -$211 100¢ $-220 -$9 07-19 15:23
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -200 -$171 100¢ $-199 -$28 07-20 00:09
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -199 -$193 98¢ $-196 -$3 07-25 08:01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 -$181 98¢ $-195 -$14 07-29 05:54
US recession by end of 2026? No -200 -$154 94¢ $-189 -$35 06-19 05:23
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -159 -$146 98¢ $-156 -$10 05-09 21:58
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 08-15 21:00
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$95 100¢ $-100 -$5 05-19 04:50
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -100 -$101 100¢ $-100 +$1 07-02 01:18
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 05-22 16:59
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$94 99¢ $-99 -$5 06-01 16:31
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$3 07-08 14:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$3 06-04 10:28
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$95 99¢ $-99 -$4 07-13 14:34
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 +$0 08-30 01:03
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$96 100¢ $-99 -$3 07-25 16:24
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$98 100¢ $-99 -$1 08-14 16:20
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 99¢ $-98 -$2 07-22 16:25
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$95 97¢ $-97 -$2 08-01 04:24
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -97 -$94 100¢ $-97 -$3 06-17 13:23
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -99 -$92 97¢ $-96 -$5 07-09 17:22
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No -100 -$96 96¢ $-96 +$0 06-02 13:56
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -98 -$97 97¢ $-95 +$2 08-23 04:24
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$96 95¢ $-95 +$1 07-22 16:24
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 95¢ $-95 +$2 07-20 17:00
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 93¢ $-93 +$4 07-28 04:24
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -100 -$84 91¢ $-91 -$7 07-02 15:34
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$94 91¢ $-90 +$4 07-22 02:10
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? No -86 -$85 100¢ $-86 -$1 08-07 06:14