Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$183
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
388
lifetime
Volume
$167.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$432
Open exposure
$7.75K
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 06-09 09:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
86%
Other
14%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +4,275 $4,150 97¢ $4.1K $-12 06-05 02:41
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +2,500 $2,300 96¢ $2.4K +$91 05-30 08:01
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +400 $300 80¢ $322 +$22 06-07 22:23
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +300 $287 90¢ $270 $-17 06-02 09:31
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +400 $304 66¢ $266 $-38 05-29 15:32
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +200 $181 96¢ $192 +$10 06-02 03:06
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No +75 $70 94¢ $71 +$1 06-02 18:22
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +136 $23 27¢ $37 +$14 06-07 13:18
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -30 $-32 98¢ $-30 +$2 06-02 18:22
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -21 $241 74¢ $-15 $-256 06-08 06:11
ECB rate hike in 2026? Yes +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 06-07 06:06