Content-Kettle-Crinoline 0xb7b8e9…0edb31
whale 27W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$561
Unrealized P&L
+$421
Hit rate
96.4%
Resolved
284
Trades
5,312
lifetime
Volume
$2.93M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$551
Open exposure
$62.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 10-28 12:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
65% 88% +$14,219
Politics
25% 84% -$18,385
Sports
6% 89% +$2,742
Tech
3% 100% +$593
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$271
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +24,895 $23,364 90¢ $22.5K -$835 10-28 04:46
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +5,000 $4,931 99¢ $5.0K +$36 10-20 09:57
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +4,595 $4,416 100¢ $4.6K +$172 10-17 21:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +3,955 $3,307 86¢ $3.4K +$114 10-27 00:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +3,081 $3,002 100¢ $3.1K +$70 10-27 09:27
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +3,931 $3,325 76¢ $3.0K -$318 10-20 22:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2,750 $2,515 92¢ $2.5K +$29 10-28 10:18
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,978 $1,891 100¢ $2.0K +$85 10-26 13:28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,500 $1,242 81¢ $1.2K -$27 10-14 20:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +1,800 $1,002 68¢ $1.2K +$213 09-28 11:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5,600 $1,087 22¢ $1.2K +$117 10-21 15:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,804 $1,661 40¢ $1.1K -$527 10-16 14:06
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,600 $1,010 70¢ $1.1K +$110 10-21 16:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,419 $1,095 76¢ $1.1K -$9 10-21 15:42
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1,114 $1,039 93¢ $1.0K -$5 10-20 09:22
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $902 99¢ $992 +$90 10-23 13:13
Trump out as President before 2027? No +950 $458 96¢ $910 +$452 10-18 19:12
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +800 $774 100¢ $796 +$23 09-30 08:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +800 $588 84¢ $676 +$88 10-20 10:45
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,945 $596 11¢ $624 +$28 10-27 19:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +1,000 $90 60¢ $595 +$505 08-03 08:41
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +564 $561 100¢ $564 +$3 10-26 11:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +800 $624 67¢ $536 -$88 10-17 06:47
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +900 $477 56¢ $508 +$31 10-18 23:23
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +500 $465 96¢ $480 +$15 09-29 13:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +1,568 $530 30¢ $462 -$68 09-28 10:43
US recession by end of 2026? No +453 $359 94¢ $428 +$69 10-03 22:59
New pandemic in 2026? No +417 $398 96¢ $402 +$4 10-18 10:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +355 $315 98¢ $346 +$31 10-21 02:45
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +300 $282 98¢ $295 +$13 10-18 18:59