Realized P&L
-$24.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.62K
Hit rate
82.0%
Resolved
1,214
Trades
25,337
lifetime
Volume
$6.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$241
Open exposure
$33.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-12 08:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Other
56% 88% -$9,775
Politics
25% 72% -$3,415
Crypto
12% 68% -$12,007
Sports
6% 81% +$823
Tech
1% 100% +$157
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$168
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -12,264 -$11,108 97¢ $-11878 -$770 05-03 22:33
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -3,150 -$2,835 98¢ $-3073 -$238 05-02 07:17
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No -2,858 -$2,475 96¢ $-2742 -$268 07-26 14:45
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -3,000 -$2,835 72¢ $-2169 +$666 05-11 13:32
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No -2,000 -$1,894 96¢ $-1930 -$36 05-28 01:24
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +10,492 $1,700 16¢ $1.7K -$37 10-12 08:48
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -1,300 -$1,258 97¢ $-1266 -$8 05-13 17:42
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No -1,429 -$1,129 84¢ $-1200 -$71 05-01 18:28
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No -1,241 -$683 94¢ $-1173 -$490 05-05 07:58
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No -958 -$910 99¢ $-949 -$39 05-11 16:43
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -954 -$861 97¢ $-929 -$68 05-26 19:00
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -1,000 -$753 86¢ $-860 -$107 05-27 17:55
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No -824 -$780 95¢ $-782 -$2 05-13 03:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -676 -$576 99¢ $-667 -$91 05-27 10:58
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? No -475 -$470 99¢ $-471 -$1 05-03 10:03
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -487 -$448 94¢ $-455 -$7 05-13 16:00
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -368 -$339 98¢ $-361 -$22 05-01 01:48
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No -243 -$242 98¢ $-239 +$3 08-18 22:19
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -226 -$223 97¢ $-220 +$3 05-20 18:40
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -197 -$162 94¢ $-187 -$25 04-29 08:42
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No -80 -$79 94¢ $-75 +$4 05-15 10:49
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -46 -$44 98¢ $-45 -$1 05-27 18:18
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? No -28 -$28 100¢ $-28 $0 05-03 12:52
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No -20 -$19 99¢ $-20 -$1 05-27 13:12
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 05-10 16:20
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No -7 -$6 98¢ $-7 -$1 05-27 13:13
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 $0 05-12 11:11
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -0 $0 98¢ $-0 +$0 05-27 18:01
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -0 $0 96¢ $-0 +$0 05-27 18:02
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -0 $14 99¢ $-0 -$14 05-27 11:00