Compassionate-Kneejerk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

29,471

lifetime

Volume

$50.7M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.72K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-07 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

50% 92% +$785

Other

44% 91% +$2,743

Crypto

5% 94% $-168

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$8

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 1568 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	498	$1.64M	900,508	749,225	+151,283	open	—	02-03 16:07
will iran strike israel on march 10	368	$1.50M	793,524	715,452	+78,072	open	—	03-18 00:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	121	$1.49M	1,213,991	281,739	+932,252	open	—	03-13 01:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	112	$1.28M	1,185,911	100,800	+1,085,111	open	—	06-03 22:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	35	$1.24M	1,226,541	15,000	+1,211,541	open	—	04-10 12:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$1.22M	1,227,858	190	+1,227,668	open	—	04-07 11:20
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	221	$1.16M	1,165,645	7,678	+1,157,967	open	—	04-06 02:29
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	12	$933.2K	451,214	483,944	-32,730	open	—	01-03 11:01
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	151	$815.6K	798,374	22,530	+775,845	open	—	05-13 14:16
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	117	$732.8K	733,597	0	+733,597	open	—	04-15 01:23
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	70	$634.6K	668,656	7,439	+661,217	open	—	01-04 00:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	7	$619.4K	620,020	0	+620,020	Yes	+$620	05-09 12:34
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	116	$598.7K	353,908	245,554	+108,354	open	—	02-09 14:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	5	$568.7K	565,000	4,296	+560,704	open	—	06-15 11:22
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	109	$552.3K	513,470	40,000	+473,470	open	—	01-20 23:55
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	323	$520.2K	507,255	14,200	+493,055	open	—	04-05 03:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	20	$506.4K	277,694	230,110	+47,584	open	—	04-24 23:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	153	$506.2K	508,379	0	+508,379	open	—	03-02 15:13
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	70	$500.5K	502,035	0	+502,035	Yes	+$1,505	05-03 23:09
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	238	$487.6K	491,771	0	+491,771	open	—	02-03 04:17
will trump say waste this week march 1	100	$484.3K	424,151	61,355	+362,796	open	—	03-05 14:21
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	482	$446.7K	416,222	33,715	+382,507	open	—	02-15 00:20
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	74	$436.0K	436,624	0	+436,624	open	—	03-24 05:42
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	135	$427.8K	366,472	121,939	+244,533	open	—	06-18 03:40
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	117	$405.9K	406,000	1,827	+404,172	open	—	03-29 13:21
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	58	$403.1K	403,732	0	+403,732	open	—	02-09 15:51
will iran strike israel on march 6	112	$402.3K	343,377	61,002	+282,375	open	—	03-11 10:42
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	67	$379.6K	191,884	191,884	+0	open	—	06-19 14:31
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	105	$374.8K	375,980	2,247	+373,732	open	—	06-20 20:18
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	80	$351.5K	352,310	0	+352,310	open	—	03-20 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:38:46	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0xae6b11…
08-07 10:08:34	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1f6486…
08-06 03:51:09	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 5 20260730202035441	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf04d84…
08-04 13:07:59	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 105 mph 20260727152106461	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x734993…
08-04 13:07:50	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260727152106460	Yes	BUY	259	99¢	$256	0x0d42e2…
08-04 04:56:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x312af5…
08-03 22:08:12	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xb5dddd…
08-03 14:40:44	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	1,927	99¢	$1,917	0x739f65…
08-03 14:40:26	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	255	99¢	$252	0x2e75bb…
08-03 14:40:11	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	12,554	98¢	$12,300	0xe7e35c…
08-03 10:59:41	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0x9d5790…
08-03 10:59:24	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	1,922	83¢	$1,595	0xc73c9b…
08-03 02:24:38	will trump be in the headlines this week 20260731155626125	Yes	BUY	389	100¢	$388	0xb20c74…
08-02 12:30:17	will peace be in the headlines this week 20260724154704339	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb147fe…
08-02 12:30:15	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260724154704330	No	BUY	347	100¢	$346	0x1177b0…
08-02 07:14:53	will peace be in the headlines this week 20260724154704339	No	BUY	595	100¢	$593	0x9c0d75…
08-02 07:14:47	will liberation be in the headlines this week 20260724154704336	No	BUY	424	100¢	$423	0x8e1271…
08-02 07:14:39	will moon be in the headlines this week 20260724154704335	No	BUY	274	100¢	$273	0x2d05b0…
08-02 07:14:29	will woman be in the headlines this week 20260724154704334	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x883257…
08-02 07:14:15	will border be in the headlines this week 20260724154704331	No	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0xf2ea58…
08-02 07:14:11	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260724154704330	No	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x33b0e1…
08-02 07:14:03	will ukraine or ukrainian be in the headlines this week 20260724154704329	No	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0xf93a15…
08-02 07:13:59	will reserve be in the headlines this week 20260724154559253	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0x384ca8…
08-02 06:07:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	72	55¢	$40	0xc09abd…
08-02 06:04:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	77	60¢	$46	0xc049a3…
08-02 06:04:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	165	60¢	$99	0x0fd05a…
08-02 05:40:26	will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899	Yes	SELL	57	15¢	$9	0x6f18e8…
08-02 05:31:06	will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xc9d69a…
08-02 05:25:51	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	172	60¢	$103	0x146289…
08-02 05:25:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	142	58¢	$83	0xc3c75f…
08-02 05:03:05	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0x7b67aa…
08-02 04:00:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	107	29¢	$31	0x6725fc…
08-02 03:51:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	123	6¢	$7	0xc81c78…
08-02 02:12:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x8a1a4b…
08-02 02:12:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0x2fd8b6…
08-02 02:12:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	79	23¢	$18	0x9b1b6b…
08-02 02:12:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0x2c1ea0…
08-02 02:11:26	will trump post nuclear on truth social this week 20260724154919529	Yes	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x34c245…
08-02 01:28:30	kor2 cc suw 2026 08 01 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	459	100¢	$458	0x9223ac…
08-01 16:38:08	kor2 cc suw 2026 08 01 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x19abb8…
08-01 13:14:57	kor2 cc suw 2026 08 01 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	787	99¢	$779	0x0a5201…
08-01 13:07:59	kor2 cc suw 2026 08 01 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x2260a5…
08-01 05:25:09	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 105 mph 20260626193609217	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x071f8f…
08-01 05:25:03	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 110 mph 20260626193609218	No	BUY	297	100¢	$297	0x352932…
08-01 05:24:56	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 115 mph 20260626193609219	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x325612…
08-01 05:24:15	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 115 mph 20260626193609219	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40cbc0…
08-01 05:24:08	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 110 mph 20260626193609218	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x036e00…
08-01 05:24:00	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 105 mph 20260626193609217	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0xdd6443…
08-01 04:59:41	bricks minifigs ceo firedresigns by july 31 20260608202350867	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xe30817…
08-01 04:48:26	e jean carroll federally charged by july 31 2026	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x667f50…
08-01 04:44:57	reckless ben arrested by july 31 20260625151954453	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x933611…
08-01 04:44:29	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	No	BUY	644	100¢	$643	0xd34bc9…
08-01 04:43:50	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	BUY	601	95¢	$571	0xd385ca…
08-01 04:43:09	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by july 31 20260720181729408	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x1330a5…
07-31 23:27:44	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	5,036	100¢	$5,031	0x19924a…
07-31 21:28:15	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 31 20260724224947398	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xfee244…
07-31 20:19:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	430	1¢	$4	0xa4d0f7…
07-31 07:19:59	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0x92abfa…
07-31 07:14:26	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x2e7bb2…
07-31 07:13:14	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0xdabe5a…
07-31 05:07:41	aws service disrupted by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb1f13d…
07-31 04:46:29	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	414	88¢	$365	0xff4767…
07-31 02:50:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	430	68¢	$292	0x67fb02…
07-30 13:58:20	US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	201	98¢	$197	0xabb611…
07-30 03:12:53	will elon post tesla on x this week 20260724155157456	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xa26ee0…
07-30 03:12:51	will elon post energy on x this week 20260724155239116	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x5d2152…
07-28 06:16:46	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4911ed…
07-28 06:16:46	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0468da…
07-28 06:16:45	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf58fd5…
07-28 06:16:45	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf0b1cd…
07-28 06:16:45	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe66d1d…
07-28 06:16:45	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2f719a…
07-28 06:16:45	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x208fe1…
07-28 06:16:45	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x13588b…
07-28 06:16:43	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc10017…
07-28 06:16:43	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa41d1c…
07-28 06:16:43	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2921ef…
07-28 06:16:42	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xce1664…
07-28 06:16:42	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x81278d…
07-28 06:16:42	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x72558d…
07-28 06:16:42	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x15aab0…
07-27 11:51:22	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	8,630	66¢	$5,696	0xc14e88…
07-25 15:13:01	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0xecd7ff…
07-25 14:25:09	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0x9f0fe4…
07-25 13:21:19	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x599b46…
07-25 05:58:58	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x864b71…
07-25 05:01:06	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0xfb6a07…
07-25 04:50:27	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xe39878…
07-25 04:40:25	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	343	100¢	$343	0x968d23…
07-25 02:53:03	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x53c12c…
07-25 01:36:03	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	4,957	100¢	$4,942	0xc8a0fd…
07-25 00:29:10	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	80	66¢	$53	0x36a3af…
07-24 23:52:31	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	554	100¢	$551	0x771337…
07-24 23:41:28	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0xb6f570…
07-24 23:40:37	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe772fe…
07-24 23:26:24	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x30a762…
07-24 22:25:04	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	2,884	100¢	$2,881	0x533080…
07-24 22:22:30	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	101	66¢	$66	0x402171…
07-24 21:26:42	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x582bab…
07-24 21:26:40	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x65191d…