Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x95074f…877b04
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
99.8%
Resolved
53
Trades
29,335
lifetime
Volume
$50.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.73K
Open exposure
$150.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 16:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
50% 92% +$785
Other
44% 91% +$2,743
Crypto
5% 94% $-168
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1568 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +37,727 $35,470 96¢ $36.0K +$579 06-13 12:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -26,755 $-25,257 96¢ $-25806 $-548 06-02 16:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -22,799 $-19,379 86¢ $-19493 $-114 06-18 08:15
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +13,328 $12,033 94¢ $12.6K +$556 06-17 06:09
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +10,651 $10,139 98¢ $10.4K +$283 06-15 22:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,750 92¢ $9.2K +$400 06-26 15:18
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes -14,042 $-6,951 50¢ $-7000 $-49 06-18 13:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8,745 $7,737 74¢ $6.4K $-1,309 06-15 16:15
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +4,655 $4,646 100¢ $4.7K +$5 05-30 03:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,011 $2,848 89¢ $2.7K $-179 07-14 13:59
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No -2,604 $-2,505 98¢ $-2560 $-55 06-02 22:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +2,000 $1,830 94¢ $1.9K +$60 06-15 00:02
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +1,654 $1,452 95¢ $1.6K +$119 06-14 07:50
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +1,523 $1,371 95¢ $1.5K +$80 06-09 09:16
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes -2,793 $-1,447 50¢ $-1411 +$36 06-06 12:05
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1,471 $-1,378 96¢ $-1407 $-29 06-02 23:55
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes -1,983 $-991 50¢ $-1001 $-10 06-18 13:28
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +716 $702 99¢ $706 +$3 06-19 21:33
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +567 $525 97¢ $548 +$23 06-01 03:20
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +473 $435 95¢ $448 +$13 07-13 02:10
USDE depeg by December 31? No +454 $416 94¢ $429 +$14 06-14 00:41
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +439 $413 96¢ $423 +$10 06-15 06:22
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? No +424 $411 99¢ $418 +$8 06-20 15:51
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -400 $-366 93¢ $-372 $-6 07-20 16:46
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $264 94¢ $284 +$20 06-01 19:13
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +298 $243 90¢ $267 +$24 06-24 10:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +262 $250 97¢ $255 +$5 06-11 16:21
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31? Yes +247 $247 100¢ $247 +$1 07-17 07:13
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +244 $209 96¢ $233 +$24 06-11 19:40
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +248 $229 94¢ $232 +$3 06-13 00:20