Realized P&L
+$3.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
99.8%
Resolved
53
Trades
24,971
lifetime
Volume
$45.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.83K
Open exposure
$189.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
46% 91% +$2,743
Politics
46% 92% +$785
Crypto
5% 94% $-168
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 100% +$8
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1568 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -26,755 $-25,257 95¢ $-25297 $-40 06-02 16:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -15,100 $-14,884 99¢ $-14972 $-88 06-08 11:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +13,856 $13,735 99¢ $13.8K +$31 06-10 01:16
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +12,660 $12,478 99¢ $12.5K +$5 06-10 02:10
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +12,000 $11,892 99¢ $11.9K +$36 06-07 13:15
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -12,258 $-11,416 94¢ $-11504 $-88 06-10 03:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +11,200 $10,977 99¢ $11.1K +$83 06-08 04:41
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +10,050 $9,568 95¢ $9.6K +$15 06-09 14:00
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company? No +8,199 $8,189 100¢ $8.2K +$2 06-10 01:41
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +8,065 $7,261 90¢ $7.3K $-3 06-08 17:17
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? No +6,314 $6,208 99¢ $6.2K +$24 06-08 15:43
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? SpaceX +6,058 $6,034 100¢ $6.0K +$8 06-09 23:57
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes +5,613 $5,596 100¢ $5.6K +$3 06-09 23:57
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2026? Yes +5,132 $5,110 100¢ $5.1K +$9 06-08 15:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -5,000 $-4,915 99¢ $-4952 $-38 06-02 13:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +5,000 $4,890 98¢ $4.9K $-12 06-09 13:59
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +4,655 $4,646 100¢ $4.7K +$5 05-30 03:17
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -4,000 $-3,944 99¢ $-3964 $-20 06-02 23:47
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? No -2,844 $-2,836 100¢ $-2837 $-1 06-02 22:32
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No -2,604 $-2,505 97¢ $-2527 $-22 06-02 22:46
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,360 $2,355 100¢ $2.4K +$1 06-09 23:57
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -2,348 $-2,299 98¢ $-2307 $-8 06-02 18:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +2,000 $1,980 99¢ $2.0K +$5 06-07 20:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +2,000 $1,966 97¢ $1.9K $-23 06-09 14:52
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +1,503 $1,481 99¢ $1.5K +$12 06-09 03:59
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes -2,793 $-1,447 50¢ $-1411 +$36 06-06 12:05
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +1,523 $1,371 92¢ $1.4K +$30 06-09 09:16
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1,471 $-1,378 94¢ $-1390 $-12 06-02 23:55
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad? No +1,350 $1,336 98¢ $1.3K $-10 06-09 14:51
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +1,043 $989 99¢ $1.0K +$46 06-07 01:11