Realized P&L
+$3.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.27K
Hit rate
99.8%
Resolved
53
Trades
28,846
lifetime
Volume
$50.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.75K
Open exposure
$501.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
50% 92% +$785
Other
43% 91% +$2,743
Crypto
5% 94% $-168
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 100% +$8
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1568 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +65,611 $65,328 100¢ $65.5K +$217 06-17 05:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +56,376 $55,916 100¢ $56.3K +$404 06-15 12:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No +51,694 $51,333 100¢ $51.6K +$309 06-17 06:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +43,099 $42,258 100¢ $43.0K +$776 06-20 17:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +37,727 $35,470 94¢ $35.5K +$51 06-13 12:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -26,755 $-25,257 96¢ $-25658 $-401 06-02 16:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +19,721 $19,603 100¢ $19.7K +$99 06-22 07:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -22,799 $-19,379 86¢ $-19607 $-228 06-18 08:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +15,000 $14,925 100¢ $15.0K +$60 06-18 15:14
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +14,999 $14,870 100¢ $15.0K +$114 06-12 15:16
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +13,466 $13,266 100¢ $13.4K +$179 06-11 12:07
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +13,328 $12,033 94¢ $12.5K +$489 06-17 06:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No +12,441 $12,376 100¢ $12.4K +$52 06-17 06:26
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +10,651 $10,139 97¢ $10.3K +$166 06-15 22:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,750 86¢ $8.6K $-200 06-26 15:18
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +8,370 $8,373 100¢ $8.4K $-16 06-27 07:33
Will Ventuals launch a token by June 30 2026? No +8,289 $8,274 100¢ $8.3K +$7 06-25 11:28
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +8,000 $7,974 100¢ $8.0K +$18 06-26 06:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8,745 $7,737 86¢ $7.6K $-173 06-15 16:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? No +7,000 $6,946 100¢ $7.0K +$47 06-12 15:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +7,000 $6,940 100¢ $7.0K +$53 06-10 12:34
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No +6,998 $6,940 100¢ $7.0K +$51 06-16 23:31
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes -14,042 $-6,951 50¢ $-6958 $-7 06-18 13:29
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? No +6,315 $6,209 100¢ $6.3K +$93 06-14 12:27
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No +5,793 $5,779 100¢ $5.8K +$9 06-25 11:51
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +5,320 $5,287 100¢ $5.3K +$28 06-27 04:26
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +5,000 $4,990 100¢ $5.0K +$5 06-28 12:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? No +5,000 $4,965 100¢ $5.0K +$30 06-12 18:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +5,000 $4,955 100¢ $5.0K +$35 06-11 20:00
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +4,655 $4,646 100¢ $4.7K +$5 05-30 03:17