Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412fd…98592d
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$67
Unrealized P&L
+$53
Hit rate
94.0%
Resolved
18
Trades
5,054
lifetime
Volume
$510.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$9.15K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 02:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
60% 92% +$115
Politics
30% 50% $-43
Sports
6% 50% $-6
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6,245 $5,972 100¢ $6.2K +$246 06-24 17:00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,203 $1,108 100¢ $1.2K +$92 06-12 17:08
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +500 $465 97¢ $486 +$21 06-18 18:11
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +402 $390 100¢ $400 +$10 06-19 11:45
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +233 $226 99¢ $231 +$5 06-19 11:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $450 20¢ $195 $-255 06-22 21:00
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No +200 $192 97¢ $193 +$1 06-23 13:15
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes -288 $-19 23¢ $-65 $-46 06-20 12:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +300 $54 16¢ $50 $-4 06-12 05:27
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$1 06-19 11:45
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes -250 $-14 13¢ $-32 $-17 06-20 00:10
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? Yes -282 $-14 6¢ $-16 $-2 06-19 06:55
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes -500 $-5 2¢ $-8 $-3 06-23 07:17
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -37 $-11 16¢ $-6 +$5 06-09 18:17
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes -130 $-4 3¢ $-4 $-0 06-23 13:15
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes -159 $-1 0¢ $-1 +$1 06-09 02:06