Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412fd…98592d
whale hot 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$10.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$526
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved
1,911
Trades
11,144
lifetime
Volume
$1.05M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$17.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 03:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Other
68% 82% +$2,687
Politics
20% 78% +$4,820
Sports
9% 78% +$2,696
Tech
2% 80% +$200
Crypto
1% 88% +$363
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +2,943 $2,457 86¢ $2.5K +$59 10-26 17:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,500 $2,255 92¢ $2.3K +$32 10-10 01:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,000 $1,807 92¢ $1.8K +$23 10-13 17:56
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +1,742 $1,581 94¢ $1.6K +$55 10-23 17:25
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 No +1,620 $1,451 97¢ $1.6K +$114 07-28 11:19
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +1,600 $1,510 95¢ $1.5K +$7 10-23 17:25
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +2,162 $584 34¢ $735 +$151 10-21 22:52
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $683 86¢ $688 +$5 10-25 06:11
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +700 $663 98¢ $684 +$21 10-18 18:28
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes +618 $507 92¢ $570 +$63 10-19 10:15
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -500 -$499 100¢ $-498 +$1 10-23 17:25
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +1,211 $348 34¢ $418 +$69 10-22 02:02
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +400 $360 98¢ $391 +$31 10-16 02:59
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +400 $296 90¢ $362 +$66 10-24 16:51
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? No +301 $293 96¢ $290 -$3 10-20 03:37
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +300 $255 90¢ $272 +$16 08-18 23:14
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +334 $86 80¢ $265 +$179 08-12 07:18
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No -172 -$165 95¢ $-164 +$1 10-23 07:08
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +300 $101 40¢ $122 +$21 10-27 14:19
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +700 $106 16¢ $108 +$2 10-27 08:16
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$93 95¢ $-95 -$2 10-20 03:38
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +100 $85 86¢ $86 +$0 10-25 02:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $430 6¢ $55 -$375 07-10 21:05
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +500 $58 11¢ $53 -$5 10-26 11:20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +367 $32 11¢ $38 +$7 10-27 04:27
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +50 $29 75¢ $37 +$8 09-12 06:10
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes -288 -$19 5¢ $-13 +$6 06-20 12:36
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +50 $18 25¢ $12 -$5 09-14 22:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +75 $29 13¢ $10 -$19 10-20 03:42
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -300 -$8 3¢ $-10 -$2 10-20 13:43