Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412fd…98592d
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$67
Unrealized P&L
-$307
Hit rate
94.0%
Resolved
18
Trades
5,853
lifetime
Volume
$574.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$2.42K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
56% 92% +$115
Politics
26% 50% $-43
Sports
15% 50% $-6
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +834 $821 99¢ $822 +$1 07-21 02:27
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +600 $561 94¢ $563 +$2 07-21 03:37
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +500 $465 98¢ $489 +$24 06-18 18:11
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No +202 $195 96¢ $195 +$0 07-09 12:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $430 14¢ $135 $-295 07-10 21:05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No -55 $-53 96¢ $-53 +$1 07-06 18:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +300 $54 14¢ $42 $-12 06-12 05:27
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes -288 $-19 12¢ $-36 $-16 06-20 12:36
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? Yes -282 $-14 7¢ $-19 $-4 06-19 06:55
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes -250 $-14 7¢ $-18 $-3 06-20 00:10
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +14 $12 86¢ $12 +$0 07-20 21:59
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -37 $-11 30¢ $-11 $-0 06-09 18:17
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes -30 $-6 24¢ $-7 $-1 07-10 20:41
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes -500 $-5 1¢ $-7 $-2 06-23 07:17
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes -130 $-4 4¢ $-5 $-1 06-23 13:15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Yes +22 $2 10¢ $2 +$1 07-02 00:50