Realized P&L
-$77
Unrealized P&L
+$138
Hit rate
45.8%
Resolved
21
Trades
14,708
lifetime
Volume
$214.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$3.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 07-05 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
52% 88% +$5
Politics
37% 62% $-74
Crypto
7%
Sports
3% 60% $-9
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 351 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +435 $346 100¢ $434 +$88 06-29 18:18
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +445 $414 94¢ $418 +$3 07-05 13:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +426 $387 94¢ $399 +$12 07-03 09:32
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -360 $-336 96¢ $-345 $-9 06-29 19:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +230 $182 72¢ $167 $-15 07-05 12:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -185 $-161 88¢ $-162 $-1 07-01 10:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +150 $129 90¢ $136 +$7 07-03 20:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +137 $118 88¢ $120 +$2 07-04 01:12
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +112 $110 99¢ $110 +$0 07-05 13:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +97 $68 84¢ $81 +$12 07-05 16:44
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +82 $80 98¢ $81 +$1 07-05 12:36
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +61 $63 96¢ $58 $-4 07-05 13:48
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +53 $52 98¢ $52 +$0 07-05 12:48
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +50 $44 100¢ $50 +$6 07-04 15:28
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +56 $45 88¢ $50 +$5 06-23 18:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -51 $-49 96¢ $-49 $-1 07-05 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +169 $21 28¢ $46 +$25 06-28 05:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -38 $-36 98¢ $-37 $-1 07-05 13:01
Trump out as President before 2027? No +37 $33 94¢ $35 +$2 07-02 15:30
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No +32 $31 98¢ $31 +$0 07-04 18:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -28 $-25 94¢ $-26 $-2 06-28 08:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -27 $-25 95¢ $-26 $-1 07-03 19:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +25 $25 96¢ $24 $-0 07-05 13:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +38 $19 62¢ $24 +$5 06-30 08:58
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +28 $19 68¢ $19 +$0 06-28 18:11
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +18 $17 95¢ $17 +$0 06-23 19:44
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +18 $16 94¢ $17 +$0 06-12 00:48
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +14 $13 96¢ $13 +$0 06-29 14:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No +14 $12 96¢ $13 +$1 06-29 07:47
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +14 $13 96¢ $13 +$0 06-12 08:35