Realized P&L
+$1.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
1,607
Trades
37,375
lifetime
Volume
$649.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$3.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 08-12 18:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Politics
55% 78% +$212
Other
29% 82% +$574
Sports
12% 71% -$207
Crypto
4% 92% +$726
Tech
1% 91% +$54
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 396 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -457 -$291 82¢ $-374 -$83 08-12 05:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -379 -$356 97¢ $-369 -$14 08-12 06:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -294 -$286 80¢ $-234 +$52 08-12 18:07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -250 -$174 83¢ $-206 -$32 08-12 05:56
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -163 -$163 100¢ $-163 $0 08-12 05:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -187 -$186 83¢ $-156 +$30 08-12 05:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -154 -$148 98¢ $-151 -$3 08-12 05:18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -175 -$110 84¢ $-146 -$37 08-12 05:10
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -141 -$134 98¢ $-138 -$4 08-12 06:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -133 -$130 98¢ $-131 $0 08-12 05:27
Trump out as President before 2027? No -118 -$111 96¢ $-114 -$3 08-12 05:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -121 -$91 91¢ $-110 -$18 08-12 05:11
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -100 -$91 98¢ $-99 -$7 07-31 04:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -156 -$88 61¢ $-95 -$7 08-12 05:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +103 -$23 88¢ $91 +$114 08-12 06:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -93 -$89 97¢ $-90 -$1 08-12 05:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -95 -$103 94¢ $-90 +$13 08-12 05:12
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -456 -$67 18¢ $-83 -$16 08-12 06:57
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -89 -$77 90¢ $-80 -$3 08-12 06:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -86 -$82 92¢ $-80 +$3 08-12 05:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -76 -$73 92¢ $-70 +$2 08-12 06:57
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -67 -$67 100¢ $-67 $0 08-12 06:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -66 -$71 96¢ $-63 +$7 08-12 05:27
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -58 -$58 99¢ $-58 +$0 08-12 06:51
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -54 -$50 96¢ $-52 -$1 08-12 06:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -316 -$47 16¢ $-51 -$4 08-12 06:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +55 $41 84¢ $46 +$6 08-11 06:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -50 -$59 89¢ $-45 +$14 08-12 05:11
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -41 -$40 96¢ $-40 +$0 08-12 05:28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -31 -$30 98¢ $-30 $0 08-12 06:46