Private-Patrolling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$135.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$624

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

1,342

Trades

15,843

lifetime

Volume

$8.07M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$510

Open exposure

$16.1K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-15 11:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 267 days

Categories

Other

82% 83% -$22,679

Crypto

12% 74% -$118,127

Politics

3% 58% +$717

Sports

3% 78% +$4,186

Tech

0% 67% +$109

Pop-Culture

0% 67% +$259

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 November 9-15?	No	+6,756	$6,387	97¢	$6.6K	+$173	11-15 11:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 November 9-15?	No	+6,400	$6,239	99¢	$6.3K	+$103	11-15 11:15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November?	No	+1,530	$1,423	76¢	$1.2K	-$260	11-13 00:42
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 November 9-15?	No	+587	$573	100¢	$585	+$12	11-15 02:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-537	-$712	95¢	$-511	+$201	10-10 13:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 November 9-15?	No	+241	$232	99¢	$239	+$8	11-15 02:16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in November?	No	+430	$321	54¢	$232	-$89	11-12 14:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-200	-$157	85¢	$-171	-$14	10-09 14:39
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	+300	$277	51¢	$153	-$124	11-15 01:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-200	$515	70¢	$-139	-$654	11-15 01:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$20	93¢	$0	+$20	06-11 08:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	318	$186.1K	206,474	208,822	-2,348	No	-$75,079	06-01 22:03
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	54	$100.4K	66,973	36,854	+30,119	No	-$505	03-03 14:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	99	$93.4K	47,675	53,339	-5,664	No	+$3,688	05-31 13:07
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	11	$74.4K	74,566	0	+74,566	No	+$130	10-13 02:32
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	48	$71.3K	56,640	20,112	+36,528	No	-$2,165	03-04 15:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	41	$68.5K	42,514	32,514	+10,000	Yes	+$754	04-10 12:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$67.8K	67,995	0	+67,995	No	+$204	10-28 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	81	$62.2K	63,000	0	+63,000	No	+$799	08-28 15:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	70	$60.8K	40,303	20,849	+19,454	No	+$300	04-30 14:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	66	$57.9K	30,034	30,034	+0	No	+$1,743	05-31 13:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	45	$56.7K	56,816	0	+56,816	Yes	+$74	09-02 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	80	$54.6K	54,844	0	+54,844	Yes	+$266	09-01 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	10	$53.2K	53,241	0	+53,241	No	+$79	08-08 15:25
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	18	$50.5K	28,794	22,765	+6,029	Yes	+$577	01-26 05:34
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	75	$49.8K	33,514	17,666	+15,848	No	-$541	03-26 08:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	56	$49.5K	49,779	0	+49,779	No	+$237	09-03 03:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	66	$48.5K	48,791	0	+48,791	No	+$308	09-01 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	70	$47.7K	47,841	0	+47,841	No	+$183	09-04 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	51	$46.0K	46,118	0	+46,118	No	+$133	08-18 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	77	$45.9K	46,123	0	+46,123	No	+$192	08-22 15:42
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	26	$45.5K	23,041	23,041	+0	No	+$518	02-15 07:09
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	28	$43.5K	22,024	22,024	+0	No	+$502	03-12 09:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$43.4K	22,081	23,327	-1,247	Yes	-$1,487	02-06 05:26
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 180 199	38	$43.2K	21,768	21,768	+0	No	+$245	03-20 00:11
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 200 219	41	$40.5K	28,678	14,312	+14,365	No	-$1,132	03-13 02:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	46	$40.4K	21,500	22,000	-500	No	+$1,117	06-01 12:07
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	59	$40.4K	40,511	0	+40,511	No	+$156	08-25 17:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	100	$40.3K	40,574	0	+40,574	No	+$245	08-20 10:48
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	35	$40.0K	20,265	20,265	+0	No	+$412	02-25 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	16	$39.7K	29,931	9,931	+20,000	No	+$159	05-11 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 11:15:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	1,214	99¢	$1,196	0xbea122…
11-15 11:15:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	3,349	99¢	$3,302	0x351f19…
11-15 11:14:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 November 9-15?	No	BUY	346	98¢	$339	0x293a63…
11-15 11:14:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	782	98¢	$766	0xa30480…
11-15 04:10:10	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xcb605b…
11-15 04:10:05	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x70c431…
11-15 04:09:56	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8b84c…
11-15 04:09:56	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	BUY	3,090	99¢	$3,059	0x134500…
11-15 04:09:53	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	BUY	870	99¢	$861	0xddc1ad…
11-15 04:09:52	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcdad5f…
11-15 04:09:50	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xb2e80a…
11-15 04:09:16	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x347c53…
11-15 04:06:46	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	BUY	529	95¢	$500	0x82872c…
11-15 03:33:32	UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)	Kevin Holland	BUY	6,522	92¢	$6,000	0x829b76…
11-15 03:33:17	UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)	Kevin Holland	BUY	2,172	92¢	$2,000	0x71a089…
11-15 03:33:08	UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)	Kevin Holland	BUY	1,079	93¢	$1,000	0xa5fc32…
11-15 03:33:01	UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)	Kevin Holland	BUY	547	91¢	$500	0x6cdc2a…
11-15 03:32:47	UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)	Kevin Holland	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x0a87e7…
11-15 03:27:17	UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)	Kevin Holland	BUY	381	79¢	$300	0x7e1470…
11-15 03:25:11	UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)	Kevin Holland	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x4b31f9…
11-15 03:16:56	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 November 9-15?	No	BUY	3,220	96¢	$3,104	0xeb89a9…
11-15 02:47:38	UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)	Luis Gurule	BUY	2,129	94¢	$2,000	0x6657e2…
11-15 02:47:20	UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)	Luis Gurule	BUY	1,188	84¢	$1,000	0xfc4d32…
11-15 02:47:08	UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)	Luis Gurule	BUY	603	83¢	$500	0xb66c7c…
11-15 02:46:56	UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)	Luis Gurule	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x3be0c4…
11-15 02:28:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	628	92¢	$580	0x58202d…
11-15 02:21:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 November 9-15?	No	BUY	587	97¢	$573	0x6381b0…
11-15 02:21:02	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 November 9-15?	No	BUY	3,190	92¢	$2,944	0x444efc…
11-15 02:17:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	426	92¢	$394	0x32ad29…
11-15 02:16:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	241	96¢	$232	0x6f4459…
11-15 01:49:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	537	6¢	$32	0x073420…
11-15 01:48:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	1,463	6¢	$83	0x075e82…
11-15 01:48:17	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x2f282b…
11-15 01:47:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	47¢	$187	0x4f2664…
11-15 01:47:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	1,322	5¢	$66	0x388888…
11-15 01:47:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	608	5¢	$33	0x7825d2…
11-15 01:47:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	253	5¢	$13	0xabc315…
11-15 01:44:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	4,182	5¢	$208	0x49656a…
11-15 01:43:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,400	50¢	$1,200	0x55afd6…
11-15 01:43:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x374c61…
11-15 01:43:05	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November?	No	SELL	2,057	36¢	$735	0xe6ca76…
11-15 01:41:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November?	No	SELL	397	38¢	$150	0x7bae34…
11-15 01:41:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November?	No	SELL	3,752	38¢	$1,407	0x6a78d6…
11-15 01:41:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November?	No	SELL	655	39¢	$255	0x71b7d4…
11-15 01:40:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November?	No	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0x79e263…
11-15 01:35:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	140	10¢	$14	0x6a1424…
11-15 01:33:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	2,000	10¢	$200	0x50e151…
11-15 01:32:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	1,940	10¢	$194	0x76413e…
11-15 01:32:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x54c33f…
11-15 01:31:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x435bb4…
11-15 01:31:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x34f7b8…
11-15 01:31:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x308ece…
11-15 01:31:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xea97fd…
11-15 01:31:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xba6b69…
11-15 01:31:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x416a29…
11-15 01:31:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf99f9c…
11-15 01:31:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xd54d00…
11-15 01:31:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x428b87…
11-15 01:31:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x34374d…
11-15 01:31:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	231	10¢	$23	0x302622…
11-15 01:31:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x27bfd4…
11-15 01:31:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x0bc0a6…
11-15 01:29:17	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 November 9-15?	No	SELL	1,767	16¢	$279	0x073b5a…
11-15 01:28:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	4,323	15¢	$640	0xb89ff1…
11-15 01:28:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 November 9-15?	No	SELL	1,767	18¢	$310	0xd69c38…
11-15 01:28:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 November 9-15?	No	SELL	1,178	18¢	$210	0x6bd1a2…
11-15 01:27:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 November 9-15?	No	SELL	1,570	17¢	$273	0x6b40c6…
11-15 01:21:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?	No	SELL	2,000	31¢	$620	0xfad03f…
11-15 01:20:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xd87688…
11-15 01:14:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xccd31f…
11-15 01:14:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	397	30¢	$119	0x4fd718…
11-15 01:13:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?	No	SELL	59	6¢	$4	0x23adba…
11-15 01:13:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xf6e7d4…
11-15 01:13:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?	No	SELL	1,100	6¢	$66	0x30bad3…
11-15 01:13:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xfe429e…
11-15 01:13:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xd54118…
11-15 01:13:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x5dca07…
11-15 01:13:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0x024c1d…
11-15 01:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xf08c7c…
11-15 01:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0xe25cf8…
11-15 01:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xdeb430…
11-15 01:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0xb2b857…
11-15 01:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0xb22680…
11-15 01:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x46d3ae…
11-15 01:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x2f220e…
11-15 01:13:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?	No	SELL	628	6¢	$38	0x661f75…
11-14 14:27:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	291	69¢	$200	0xf710ed…
11-14 14:08:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	836	24¢	$200	0x3f1426…
11-14 14:06:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	837	23¢	$189	0x481019…
11-14 14:04:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	878	23¢	$200	0x54f2c6…
11-14 06:19:41	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	65¢	$57	0x0f4b37…
11-14 04:15:31	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xe46795…
11-14 04:08:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x384117…
11-14 01:04:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	443	98¢	$435	0xda80d6…
11-14 00:52:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	1,221	95¢	$1,161	0xa370d2…
11-14 00:51:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 November 9-15?	No	BUY	2,145	98¢	$2,099	0x6d3831…
11-13 20:46:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,964	0x216f78…
11-13 19:59:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	1,261	98¢	$1,236	0x042b32…
11-13 19:34:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	260	98¢	$255	0x3018df…
11-13 19:26:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	479	98¢	$469	0x3be1a2…