Private-Patrolling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.67K

Unrealized P&L

+$203

Hit rate

12.9%

Resolved

Trades

7,125

lifetime

Volume

$4.23M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$594

Open exposure

$354

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-21 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

86% 40% $-1,670

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-500	$-209	56¢	$-278	$-69	06-07 09:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+91	$-175	84¢	$77	+$252	07-21 14:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$-20	80¢	$0	+$20	06-11 08:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	114	$142.6K	170,373	178,822	-8,450	open	—	06-01 22:03
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	54	$100.4K	66,973	36,854	+30,119	open	—	03-03 14:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	99	$93.4K	47,675	53,339	-5,664	open	—	05-31 13:07
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	48	$71.3K	56,640	20,112	+36,528	open	—	03-04 15:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	41	$68.5K	42,514	32,514	+10,000	open	—	04-10 12:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	64	$57.2K	29,347	30,034	-687	open	—	05-31 13:33
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	18	$50.5K	28,794	22,765	+6,029	open	—	01-26 05:34
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	75	$49.8K	33,514	17,666	+15,848	open	—	03-26 08:22
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	26	$45.5K	23,041	23,041	+0	open	—	02-15 07:09
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	28	$43.5K	22,024	22,024	+0	open	—	03-12 09:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$43.4K	22,081	23,327	-1,247	open	—	02-06 05:26
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 180 199	38	$43.2K	21,768	21,768	+0	open	—	03-20 00:11
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 200 219	41	$40.5K	28,678	14,312	+14,365	open	—	03-13 02:58
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	35	$40.0K	20,265	20,265	+0	open	—	02-25 14:18
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	78	$39.2K	35,941	5,236	+30,705	open	—	02-25 15:04
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 0 39	40	$37.0K	32,998	4,998	+28,000	open	—	03-02 08:33
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	5	$37.0K	27,319	10,010	+17,309	open	—	01-20 08:12
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 240 259	52	$35.9K	35,670	852	+34,818	open	—	02-26 10:31
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	36	$35.5K	26,214	12,905	+13,309	open	—	03-03 14:19
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	17	$34.4K	31,747	3,115	+28,632	open	—	03-05 23:01
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	19	$33.5K	21,775	21,775	+0	open	—	02-06 11:16
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	34	$33.5K	26,276	10,360	+15,916	open	—	03-12 10:04
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 200 219	54	$33.3K	21,316	12,316	+9,000	open	—	03-20 15:00
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	49	$32.7K	23,179	12,954	+10,225	open	—	02-24 04:26
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	35	$31.9K	16,273	16,273	+0	open	—	03-19 08:14
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	26	$29.3K	16,286	16,795	-509	open	—	03-01 00:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	43	$29.2K	14,301	15,656	-1,355	open	—	04-26 09:38
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	38	$28.3K	14,830	14,830	+0	open	—	03-19 08:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	41	$27.8K	20,303	7,818	+12,485	open	—	04-27 16:57
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	36	$27.6K	16,582	15,552	+1,030	open	—	03-17 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 23:50:58	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x18066e…
07-21 21:10:30	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x39f177…
07-21 19:06:24	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	600	96¢	$576	0x7f51a8…
07-21 15:00:06	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	138	50¢	$70	0xe4d286…
07-21 14:58:37	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	162	50¢	$81	0xe1844b…
07-21 14:45:34	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x0905ff…
07-21 14:44:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xf809ba…
07-21 14:43:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x219b49…
07-21 14:42:43	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0xa4230e…
07-21 11:54:21	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x8c6972…
07-21 11:42:45	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x7d86e5…
07-21 11:42:39	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x39d8bb…
07-21 11:00:34	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xf75e55…
07-20 12:34:12	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	125	94¢	$118	0x899228…
07-20 12:34:04	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	175	94¢	$164	0xe55955…
07-20 09:45:06	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xa0b7fd…
07-20 09:13:55	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x23ebda…
07-20 09:13:46	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xe7253b…
07-20 09:13:25	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	600	79¢	$473	0x50567e…
07-20 08:09:39	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	255	95¢	$241	0x4655d4…
07-20 06:54:48	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x21f254…
07-20 06:52:10	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xa7db5f…
07-20 06:47:12	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	600	95¢	$568	0xffaa69…
07-20 06:10:51	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	91	52¢	$47	0x9acf14…
07-20 06:05:03	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x1ae47c…
07-20 05:16:06	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	200	86¢	$171	0x66dc4f…
07-19 21:58:09	will nico williams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x632362…
07-19 21:58:07	will nico williams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	275	90¢	$248	0x7e1405…
07-19 21:48:34	will nico williams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x9c9244…
07-19 02:05:09	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x9d064c…
07-19 01:13:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	600	88¢	$528	0x7c2d2d…
07-18 21:36:04	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	270	80¢	$216	0xb6dc7c…
07-18 21:33:58	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	31	80¢	$24	0x150fb8…
07-18 21:32:24	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	186	82¢	$153	0x5d29ae…
07-18 20:32:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0x9f2e43…
07-18 20:31:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	515	95¢	$489	0x6235e7…
07-18 19:04:10	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x5bd322…
07-18 19:00:43	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	266	86¢	$227	0x28dc43…
07-18 18:57:48	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xd55c07…
07-18 18:51:19	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x64fde6…
07-18 18:46:55	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xab1edc…
07-18 18:46:54	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0xc4fa35…
07-18 18:46:52	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xe45d5f…
07-18 18:46:52	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	96	91¢	$87	0xa00007…
07-18 18:46:52	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	180	91¢	$164	0x805245…
07-18 18:01:46	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	113	92¢	$104	0xb7a17a…
07-18 17:27:27	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	104	76¢	$79	0x42b348…
07-18 17:24:39	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	196	76¢	$149	0x75d485…
07-18 14:19:27	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x6ef58f…
07-18 12:51:01	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xa3dbfc…
07-18 11:07:27	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x9c6aa9…
07-18 10:48:55	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x9f0e02…
07-18 10:47:01	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x4e27fb…
07-18 05:19:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0xbb9dad…
07-18 03:24:25	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x477b55…
07-18 03:14:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x817df5…
07-18 02:30:06	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	600	61¢	$363	0x3af5fc…
07-17 23:46:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0xe3df47…
07-17 17:51:30	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x2bd700…
07-17 17:11:43	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	214	93¢	$199	0xab920f…
07-17 16:58:42	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	600	91¢	$546	0xbef80c…
07-17 16:02:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x3fe08d…
07-17 16:02:40	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	137	70¢	$96	0x150e2d…
07-17 16:01:21	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x79d2bb…
07-17 16:01:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x152b96…
07-17 16:01:16	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	136	70¢	$95	0x061d48…
07-17 14:32:12	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	74	72¢	$53	0x1aeda3…
07-17 14:32:09	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	97	72¢	$70	0x32f251…
07-17 14:18:45	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	300	95¢	$284	0xf21e3a…
07-17 13:04:34	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	158	86¢	$136	0x5866d7…
07-17 13:04:31	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	173	86¢	$149	0xddd2c6…
07-17 13:04:13	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	187	86¢	$161	0xf5f3fd…
07-17 13:02:36	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	82	86¢	$70	0x76ccae…
07-17 10:07:04	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x5ee601…
07-17 09:37:48	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x5838a5…
07-17 09:37:37	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0xbf84bd…
07-17 09:37:28	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	64	72¢	$46	0x818f0d…
07-17 09:37:01	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0xa1ddd2…
07-16 10:01:01	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	600	89¢	$531	0x029980…
07-16 10:00:37	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	299	78¢	$233	0x0b67b1…
07-16 09:46:05	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	600	94¢	$565	0x1f58b4…
07-16 09:19:49	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2c01cd…
07-16 05:26:40	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	286	89¢	$254	0x990efe…
07-16 04:51:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x1e9eb0…
07-16 03:52:53	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x5beed2…
07-15 14:24:55	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	111	87¢	$97	0x3aff4b…
07-15 14:19:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0x45165c…
07-15 14:10:37	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	107	87¢	$94	0xceda9b…
07-15 13:58:16	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x3fdcf2…
07-15 13:57:07	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	300	75¢	$226	0x886e1b…
07-15 13:57:02	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	300	92¢	$275	0xa6d7a3…
07-15 13:52:52	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x5bc9db…
07-15 13:40:53	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x3daca5…
07-15 12:59:43	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	89	92¢	$82	0x8ad8f7…
07-15 12:50:25	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	183	92¢	$168	0x63dc52…
07-15 12:39:49	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	80	88¢	$70	0xfb95ad…
07-15 12:17:05	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	197	74¢	$147	0xf2849a…
07-15 12:11:23	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0xcd6551…
07-15 11:53:23	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xa5e2be…
07-15 11:46:44	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	300	86¢	$259	0x25ae59…