Realized P&L
+$435
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
92.1%
Resolved
27
Trades
26,009
lifetime
Volume
$1.35M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$4.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 18:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
42% 69% $-9
Crypto
22%
Sports
18% 90% +$42
Politics
16% 100% +$402
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 659 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -400 $-396 99¢ $-396 $-0 06-15 09:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +365 $349 94¢ $343 $-7 06-14 05:02
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -338 $-315 94¢ $-319 $-4 06-15 00:30
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -200 $-199 99¢ $-199 +$0 06-04 13:29
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +200 $198 99¢ $198 +$0 06-14 21:20
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +200 $184 97¢ $194 +$10 06-15 15:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -200 $-190 96¢ $-192 $-2 06-15 16:43
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No -200 $-188 92¢ $-184 +$3 05-30 08:32
New pandemic in 2026? No +199 $177 90¢ $178 +$1 06-15 10:22
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -200 $-174 84¢ $-169 +$5 06-09 11:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +199 $175 78¢ $156 $-19 06-11 17:07
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -127 $-122 94¢ $-119 +$3 06-15 21:02
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +119 $107 97¢ $115 +$8 06-10 03:00
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No +122 $116 94¢ $115 $-1 06-07 18:27
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No +110 $109 100¢ $110 +$1 06-09 15:52
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +110 $110 99¢ $109 $-1 06-15 19:43
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 05-28 03:35
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 06-12 21:01
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 05-30 04:38
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 +$0 06-15 05:10
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 $-0 06-14 02:58
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 $-0 06-03 06:50
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? No -100 $-97 97¢ $-97 $-0 06-10 09:32
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No -99 $-92 97¢ $-96 $-4 05-29 16:41
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +99 $95 96¢ $96 +$0 06-09 22:18
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 $-0 06-12 04:24
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -97 $-95 99¢ $-95 $-1 06-05 00:56
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +100 $96 95¢ $95 $-1 06-08 05:44
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +100 $95 95¢ $95 +$0 06-14 21:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 $-94 96¢ $-95 $-1 06-04 10:28