Realized P&L
-$602
Unrealized P&L
-$94
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
1,545
Trades
51,277
lifetime
Volume
$2.65M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$3.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-30 01:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
38% 71% -$156
Sports
30% 71% +$49
Crypto
16% 78% -$669
Politics
13% 67% +$66
Tech
2% 88% +$56
Pop-Culture
1% 89% +$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -200 -$178 97¢ $-195 -$17 05-27 17:53
US recession by end of 2026? No -200 -$151 92¢ $-185 -$34 06-17 11:33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -177 -$154 97¢ $-171 -$17 07-23 13:14
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -110 -$106 99¢ $-109 -$4 06-20 03:06
2026 Balance of Power: Other No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 04-30 12:20
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 08-16 20:16
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$95 100¢ $-100 -$5 07-07 10:09
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 05-03 10:03
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$98 100¢ $-100 -$2 08-30 01:16
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 $0 04-30 12:20
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 05-22 16:59
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 06-15 12:02
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 +$0 06-29 02:47
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 +$0 08-30 01:17
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$98 100¢ $-99 -$1 08-13 12:00
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$93 100¢ $-99 -$5 07-22 11:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$94 99¢ $-98 -$4 06-04 10:28
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -100 -$99 98¢ $-98 +$2 08-30 01:18
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -100 -$93 97¢ $-97 -$4 04-30 12:20
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -97 -$96 100¢ $-97 -$1 06-17 15:57
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$95 98¢ $-97 -$2 07-31 22:25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -100 -$91 97¢ $-97 -$5 07-22 11:25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No -100 -$97 96¢ $-96 +$1 05-05 14:18
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 96¢ $-95 +$1 07-03 23:47
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$97 96¢ $-95 +$2 07-22 11:26
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$94 95¢ $-94 -$1 05-20 02:42
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 94¢ $-94 +$3 08-07 09:16
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 94¢ $-93 +$3 07-27 22:25
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -100 -$87 92¢ $-92 -$5 04-30 13:56
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$95 90¢ $-90 +$5 07-22 02:12