Realized P&L
+$460
Unrealized P&L
+$1.36K
Hit rate
88.9%
Resolved
41
Trades
26,585
lifetime
Volume
$616.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$13.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 06:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
54% 41% +$130
Politics
34% 60% +$354
Sports
6% 100% +$43
Tech
3%
Crypto
2% 29% $-66
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 711 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -15,574 $-2,899 28¢ $-4283 $-1,384 07-19 13:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,317 $-2,096 80¢ $-2637 $-541 06-05 18:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -4,577 $-3,600 54¢ $-2449 +$1,151 07-06 13:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $-452 68¢ $856 +$1,308 07-14 13:06
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -11,121 $-761 $-762 $-0 07-19 08:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -59,213 $-611 $-622 $-11 07-18 04:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +413 $392 99¢ $409 +$16 07-10 20:08
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +690 $228 52¢ $355 +$128 06-18 01:17
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -10,421 $-342 $-224 +$118 07-05 20:12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -250 $-180 66¢ $-166 +$14 06-08 18:46
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,853 $111 $139 +$28 07-04 00:18
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -120 $-54 92¢ $-110 $-56 06-25 14:39
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +686 $21 14¢ $95 +$75 06-09 10:07
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +273 $79 24¢ $67 $-12 06-25 12:51
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +250 $5 22¢ $56 +$51 07-04 01:45
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes +500 $25 11¢ $53 +$28 07-08 17:02
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +250 $-2 21¢ $53 +$54 07-14 00:24
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,247 $28 $51 +$23 06-22 22:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,250 $-57 $-51 +$6 07-01 15:21
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +844 $-164 $46 +$210 07-06 04:48
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes -855 $-56 $-41 +$15 07-13 13:12
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +179 $23 22¢ $40 +$17 07-02 21:44
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +810 $40 $38 $-2 07-10 08:13
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes -787 $-37 $-37 +$0 07-20 14:11
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +651 $7 $36 +$30 06-02 11:30
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -359 $-31 10¢ $-34 $-3 07-10 18:30
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes +605 $23 $31 +$7 07-04 07:41
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -176 $-88 16¢ $-29 +$59 06-01 16:10
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +400 $9 $28 +$19 07-18 14:26
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +500 $15 $25 +$10 07-17 21:13