Realized P&L
+$460
Unrealized P&L
+$1.25K
Hit rate
88.9%
Resolved
41
Trades
24,359
lifetime
Volume
$547.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$10.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
51% 41% +$130
Politics
37% 60% +$354
Sports
6% 100% +$43
Tech
4%
Crypto
2% 29% $-66
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 711 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,317 $-2,096 80¢ $-2670 $-574 06-05 18:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -14,324 $-2,524 15¢ $-2077 +$447 06-11 06:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,119 $996 80¢ $1.7K +$710 06-01 15:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $298 38¢ $938 +$639 06-18 14:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +3,000 $1,383 30¢ $885 $-498 06-19 12:16
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +690 $228 36¢ $252 +$24 06-18 01:17
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes -255 $-179 98¢ $-250 $-71 05-30 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +250 $240 99¢ $248 +$8 06-27 14:08
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -8,116 $-273 $-248 +$25 06-09 01:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -250 $-180 84¢ $-211 $-31 06-08 18:46
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -120 $-54 95¢ $-114 $-60 06-25 14:39
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,247 $28 $113 +$85 06-22 22:50
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +273 $79 30¢ $83 +$4 06-25 12:51
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +1,250 $75 $81 +$6 07-01 06:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5,000 $-372 $35 +$407 06-28 06:22
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -176 $-88 19¢ $-33 +$55 06-01 16:10
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +651 $7 $30 +$24 06-02 11:30
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +446 $27 $28 +$1 06-29 14:06
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +686 $21 $26 +$6 06-09 10:07
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes +522 $21 $26 +$5 06-24 17:26
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +500 $28 $21 $-7 06-20 08:02
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +364 $8 $20 +$13 06-10 23:01
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes -250 $-15 $-16 $-1 06-11 06:32
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +635 $15 $16 +$0 06-30 12:47
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $15 $15 +$0 06-28 12:42
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $3 29¢ $13 +$10 06-25 00:21
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes +1,693 $-2 $10 +$12 06-29 12:20
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? Yes +279 $2 $10 +$8 06-10 12:21
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +341 $9 $9 $-1 06-28 12:37
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? Yes +158 $1 $7 +$6 06-17 13:45