Ragged-Dose 0xe85607…ba3789
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
40.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
858
lifetime
Volume
$4.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$226
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-15
Other
45% 67% +$8
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +40 $30 72¢ $29 $-1 07-19 16:40
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +33 $25 70¢ $24 $-1 06-24 10:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -75 $-11 28¢ $-21 $-10 07-15 11:59
Tim Walz in jail by December 31? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 07-04 04:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +21 $14 86¢ $18 +$4 06-17 10:25
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? No +20 $15 86¢ $17 +$2 07-13 13:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +20 $15 78¢ $16 +$1 07-08 16:58
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +18 $11 74¢ $13 +$2 07-14 18:31
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 06-12 19:41
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 07-03 20:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +8 $7 99¢ $8 +$1 07-13 17:33
SPLC found guilty in 2026? No +15 $10 50¢ $8 $-2 07-08 19:23
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -9 $-9 82¢ $-8 +$1 07-11 23:29
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +9 $5 63¢ $6 +$1 07-11 12:42
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-22 09:59
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 81¢ $5 $-0 06-04 07:50
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 $-0 06-12 10:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 07-08 19:29
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -9 $-2 20¢ $-2 +$0 07-05 17:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -7 $-1 22¢ $-2 $-0 07-05 17:17
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 07-20 00:43
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-1 93¢ $-0 +$1 06-25 05:27
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? Yes +8 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 06-22 10:00