Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
40.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
730
lifetime
Volume
$3.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$280
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
52% 0% $-15
Other
44% 67% +$8
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
2%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No -89 $-89 98¢ $-87 +$1 06-04 07:45
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? No +22 $20 92¢ $21 +$1 06-05 05:15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +27 $20 72¢ $20 $-0 06-09 20:57
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -17 $-17 97¢ $-17 +$0 06-01 10:50
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -13 $-12 97¢ $-12 +$0 06-04 01:10
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? Yes +13 $12 93¢ $12 +$1 06-06 20:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +14 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 06-06 12:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +17 $10 60¢ $10 +$0 06-09 19:13
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 06-09 19:14
Les Wexner charged by June 30? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 06-08 13:18
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -10 $-9 99¢ $-9 +$0 06-02 07:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +15 $9 62¢ $9 +$0 06-01 07:40
Tucker Carlson federally charged? No -8 $-7 97¢ $-7 +$0 06-06 22:31
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +9 $7 76¢ $7 $-0 06-04 09:25
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -6 $-6 99¢ $-6 +$0 06-07 13:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 06-02 08:45
Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 20:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $-0 06-04 07:50
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +10 $4 45¢ $4 +$0 06-04 23:47
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 67¢ $4 $-1 06-09 15:44
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-02 09:40
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +3 $2 71¢ $2 +$0 06-03 05:02
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 11:49