Ragged-Dose 0xe85607…ba3789
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
40.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
816
lifetime
Volume
$4.19K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$438
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 09:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-15
Other
45% 67% +$8
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No -164 $-163 99¢ $-163 $-0 06-14 17:41
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? No +33 $30 100¢ $32 +$2 06-22 08:39
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +33 $25 84¢ $28 +$3 06-24 10:54
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? Yes +21 $16 99¢ $21 +$5 06-22 17:51
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +21 $21 99¢ $20 $-0 06-29 17:53
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -17 $-17 100¢ $-17 $-0 06-01 10:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +21 $14 80¢ $17 +$3 06-17 10:25
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -13 $-12 99¢ $-13 $-0 06-04 01:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 06-26 13:15
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-09 19:14
Les Wexner charged by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-08 13:18
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 06-12 19:41
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -10 $-9 99¢ $-9 +$0 06-02 07:30
Tucker Carlson federally charged? No -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-0 06-06 22:31
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 13:00
Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein? No -6 $-6 99¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 20:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -41 $-5 15¢ $-6 $-1 06-17 18:21
Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30? No -6 $-6 99¢ $-6 +$0 06-20 01:12
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +8 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 06-17 18:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 06-23 09:47
McDonald's CEO out by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-28 14:58
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 $-0 06-22 09:59
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 81¢ $5 $-0 06-04 07:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-23 12:32
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-02 09:40
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 06-03 05:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 06-30 09:29
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No -2 $-2 95¢ $-2 $-0 06-12 10:39
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +72 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 06-26 13:22
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 11:49