Ragged-Dose 0xe85607…ba3789
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$209
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
537
Trades
1,439
lifetime
Volume
$8.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$327
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 10:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 154 days
Categories
Politics
48% 54% -$268
Other
48% 54% +$83
Tech
3% 55% -$20
Pop-Culture
1% 57% -$1
Crypto
0% 0% -$3
Sports
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -32 -$31 96¢ $-30 +$1 08-13 05:29
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +33 $25 80¢ $27 +$2 06-24 10:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +27 $20 94¢ $25 +$5 08-03 08:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +31 $20 80¢ $25 +$5 08-20 16:26
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +24 $10 74¢ $18 +$7 10-26 14:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -17 -$16 98¢ $-17 -$1 05-04 04:05
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +22 $14 64¢ $14 -$1 10-01 10:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $10 82¢ $12 +$2 08-02 14:03
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 09-26 04:37
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 09-15 20:56
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 10-03 05:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 82¢ $10 $0 10-24 01:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 $0 10-25 13:34
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 08-06 08:35
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -9 -$9 93¢ $-9 +$0 07-11 23:29
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +14 $10 62¢ $9 -$1 10-15 11:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -8 -$8 96¢ $-8 $0 08-10 01:46
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +9 $5 81¢ $8 +$3 07-11 12:42
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +12 $5 62¢ $8 +$3 08-26 09:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -12 -$6 57¢ $-7 -$1 10-28 05:35
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No -6 -$6 94¢ $-6 +$0 09-14 10:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6 $5 85¢ $5 +$0 08-02 14:17
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 10-08 21:00
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 05-03 11:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 08-27 18:39
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +11 $5 45¢ $5 $0 10-14 04:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes -16 -$1 29¢ $-4 -$3 10-16 13:07
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$5 95¢ $-4 +$0 09-13 05:37
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +10 $3 44¢ $4 +$1 06-04 07:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -23 $0 18¢ $-4 -$4 07-15 11:59