Ragged-Dose — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

14 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$48 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-11 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$2

Politics

38% 0% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+15	$14	91¢	$14	+$0	05-11 09:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	+6	$5	90¢	$6	+$1	05-06 12:35
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	+6	$5	72¢	$5	$-0	05-08 08:55
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Yes	+12	$2	18¢	$2	+$0	05-11 20:43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+6	$2	37¢	$2	+$0	05-09 19:06
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	+4	$2	48¢	$2	$-0	05-11 05:39
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	+4	$1	30¢	$1	+$0	05-11 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 20:43:15	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xcc0b52…
05-11 09:53:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x73ac92…
05-11 08:59:51	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x19ec68…
05-11 05:39:04	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf2e1da…
05-09 19:06:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf2b1aa…
05-09 18:26:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0233c6…
05-08 09:03:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa4ba45…
05-08 08:55:56	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe42cef…
05-08 08:54:46	Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfc9047…
05-08 05:54:22	Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x5848e1…
05-08 04:59:58	Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc3c11c…
05-06 12:35:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x298903…
05-06 07:54:16	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xe283d6…
05-06 05:44:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xffb235…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	4	$656	361	05-12 00:28
Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b	3	$73.7K	13	05-10 18:59
Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1	3	$56.6K	5	05-10 01:30
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	3	$4.87K	35	05-10 23:01
Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1	3	$989	4	05-09 19:42
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	3	$828	14	05-12 00:28
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	3	$589	26	05-12 00:23
Humongous-Maybe 0xc5bd…ceaa	3	$534	20	05-10 07:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	05-11 09:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$11	1,011	0	+1,011	Yes	$-11	05-09 18:26
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$6	6	3	+2	No	+$1	05-08 08:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 12:35
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-08 08:55
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-11 05:39
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	1	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	05-11 20:43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-09 19:06
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-11 08:59
Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$0	0	5	-5	No	+$0	05-08 04:59