Realized P&L
+$277
Unrealized P&L
-$66
Hit rate
48.5%
Resolved
17
Trades
18,596
lifetime
Volume
$808.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$3.79K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-20 23:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
81% 69% +$397
Other
13% 0% $-120
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 460 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,427 $2,523 74¢ $2.6K +$30 07-20 14:27
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -242 $-229 96¢ $-231 $-2 06-22 11:24
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -238 $-231 97¢ $-231 $-0 06-06 08:59
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +211 $192 100¢ $211 +$19 06-20 15:11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -137 $-128 94¢ $-128 $-1 07-02 14:39
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +121 $111 94¢ $114 +$3 06-08 01:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +301 $134 36¢ $107 $-28 06-29 08:39
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -54 $-51 97¢ $-52 $-2 06-17 13:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -66 $-40 66¢ $-44 $-4 06-10 20:06
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -36 $-35 100¢ $-35 $-1 06-03 16:56
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -22 $-22 98¢ $-22 $-0 06-11 17:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +100 $19 18¢ $18 $-0 06-10 02:44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -18 $-16 88¢ $-16 $-0 07-16 01:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,056 $61 $14 $-46 07-13 04:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -37 $24 26¢ $-10 $-34 07-13 18:50