Realized P&L
+$277
Unrealized P&L
-$813
Hit rate
48.5%
Resolved
17
Trades
15,366
lifetime
Volume
$656.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$1.85K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-09 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
81% 69% +$397
Other
14% 0% $-120
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 447 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -238 $-231 95¢ $-227 +$4 06-06 08:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,353 $369 16¢ $223 $-145 06-09 21:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2,334 $561 10¢ $222 $-340 06-08 01:21
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -607 $-124 34¢ $-206 $-82 05-31 02:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +200 $190 94¢ $187 $-3 06-03 08:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +868 $275 20¢ $178 $-97 06-05 18:32
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +121 $111 90¢ $109 $-2 06-08 01:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +90 $41 82¢ $74 +$33 05-31 16:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +628 $143 11¢ $69 $-74 06-09 17:32
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,572 $100 $66 $-34 06-07 19:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +500 $50 11¢ $53 +$3 06-02 21:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +181 $58 28¢ $50 $-8 06-02 11:58
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -36 $-35 98¢ $-35 $-0 06-03 16:56
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +35 $34 98¢ $34 +$0 06-01 21:34
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -35 $-33 94¢ $-33 $-1 06-04 07:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +53 $24 46¢ $24 $-0 06-09 16:07
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +2,900 $58 $20 $-38 05-29 18:27
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +100 $19 18¢ $18 $-0 06-10 02:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +500 $12 $12 $-0 06-02 21:21
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-4 95¢ $-4 $-0 06-08 21:46
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +324 $26 $0 $-26 06-07 21:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +13 $1 $0 $-1 05-29 14:10