Realized P&L
-$680
Unrealized P&L
-$1.22K
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved
1,331
Trades
27,184
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$8.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-26 23:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 253 days
Categories
Politics
78%
54%
+$1,929
Other
17%
51%
-$4,836
Crypto
3%
48%
+$824
Sports
1%
62%
+$1,561
Tech
1%
60%
-$158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk
• peak 359 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 758 | $54.4K | 34,609 | 39,284 | -4,676 | open | — | 10-24 16:27 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 319 | $40.8K | 38,679 | 38,047 | +633 | Yes | +$1,158 | 06-17 23:58 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 193 | $38.1K | 19,685 | 19,678 | +6 | No | -$34 | 02-13 04:54 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 135 | $18.8K | 13,167 | 13,197 | -30 | No | -$25 | 02-28 06:13 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 240 | $17.7K | 17,132 | 17,610 | -479 | Yes | -$277 | 04-08 01:27 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 213 | $16.7K | 13,995 | 14,295 | -300 | Yes | +$1,431 | 06-16 03:26 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 211 | $15.2K | 18,042 | 17,938 | +103 | Yes | +$83 | 02-28 04:48 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 349 | $13.2K | 15,496 | 16,760 | -1,264 | Yes | +$234 | 03-12 20:20 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 353 | $11.5K | 16,583 | 16,831 | -248 | No | -$295 | 05-31 01:41 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 158 | $10.7K | 12,147 | 9,110 | +3,037 | Yes | +$181 | 04-08 20:45 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045 | 321 | $10.7K | 12,792 | 12,326 | +465 | Yes | -$37 | 08-11 22:59 |
| us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751 | 23 | $10.4K | 5,367 | 5,367 | +0 | No | +$97 | 02-10 00:04 |
| will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021 | 87 | $10.3K | 9,627 | 9,133 | +495 | Yes | +$338 | 07-20 21:28 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 170 | $10.0K | 11,277 | 9,059 | +2,218 | Yes | +$546 | 04-08 00:58 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 265 | $10.0K | 10,599 | 10,599 | +0 | No | +$171 | 03-31 01:33 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 160 | $9.8K | 38,490 | 11,453 | +27,037 | Yes | +$63 | 03-01 02:01 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 148 | $9.6K | 9,183 | 9,456 | -273 | Yes | +$46 | 04-22 09:23 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | 47 | $9.5K | 4,715 | 4,831 | -115 | Yes | +$56 | 04-12 22:34 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 127 | $9.3K | 18,848 | 18,279 | +569 | No | +$856 | 06-04 00:04 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 76 | $8.9K | 4,542 | 4,719 | -177 | No | +$110 | 04-16 19:58 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 167 | $8.4K | 11,148 | 11,670 | -522 | Yes | +$553 | 04-07 23:16 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | 58 | $7.7K | 5,528 | 3,584 | +1,944 | Yes | +$21 | 04-21 00:02 |
| us strikes iran by february 22 2026 | 66 | $7.6K | 4,063 | 4,063 | +0 | No | +$278 | 02-22 18:03 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 113 | $7.6K | 4,639 | 4,639 | -0 | No | +$191 | 03-07 14:28 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 120 | $6.5K | 12,211 | 9,607 | +2,605 | No | -$796 | 04-28 23:50 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 128 | $6.5K | 5,123 | 5,166 | -43 | Yes | -$92 | 04-16 19:48 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 120 | $6.4K | 7,649 | 6,385 | +1,264 | No | -$81 | 02-21 01:07 |
| will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 | 81 | $6.3K | 6,220 | 4,571 | +1,649 | open | — | 08-18 03:47 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 166 | $6.2K | 10,120 | 9,480 | +640 | No | -$452 | 03-31 02:09 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 91 | $5.9K | 9,824 | 9,824 | +0 | No | -$1,291 | 06-23 09:06 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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