Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
15
lifetime
Volume
$476
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$399
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 23:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
78%
Other
22%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -231 $-97 44¢ $-101 $-3 05-05 23:05
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -102 $-96 94¢ $-96 $-1 05-05 22:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes -200 $-92 36¢ $-73 +$19 05-05 14:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +67 $49 90¢ $60 +$11 05-05 23:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -236 $-45 22¢ $-53 $-8 05-05 22:55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? Yes +16 $10 100¢ $16 +$6 05-05 12:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 23:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 55¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 22:40