Humongous-Maybe 0xc5bdf0…71ceaa
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$277
Unrealized P&L
-$1.22K
Hit rate
48.5%
Resolved
17
Trades
17,760
lifetime
Volume
$769.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$7.33K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-29 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
82% 69% +$397
Other
13% 0% $-120
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 460 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,269 $-1,977 86¢ $-1940 +$37 06-17 05:45
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,562 $1,540 100¢ $1.6K +$20 06-28 16:43
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1,555 $1,209 97¢ $1.5K +$294 06-28 22:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +600 $403 99¢ $596 +$193 06-15 04:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +291 $202 100¢ $290 +$88 06-15 18:19
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -242 $-229 94¢ $-229 +$1 06-22 11:24
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -238 $-231 95¢ $-226 +$4 06-06 08:59
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +211 $192 100¢ $211 +$19 06-20 15:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +200 $190 100¢ $200 +$10 06-03 08:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +301 $134 44¢ $132 $-2 06-29 08:39
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -129 $-120 94¢ $-121 $-1 06-27 22:02
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +121 $111 93¢ $113 +$2 06-08 01:59
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -54 $-51 95¢ $-51 $-0 06-17 13:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -66 $-40 58¢ $-38 +$1 06-10 20:06
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -36 $-35 100¢ $-35 $-1 06-03 16:56
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -22 $-22 98¢ $-22 $-0 06-11 17:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +100 $19 20¢ $20 +$2 06-10 02:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,720 $362 1¢ $12 $-350 06-22 00:50
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No -10 $-7 97¢ $-10 $-3 06-11 20:04
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -205 $175 3¢ $-7 $-181 06-28 22:06
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +2,900 $58 0¢ $3 $-55 05-29 18:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +755 $95 0¢ $2 $-93 06-15 16:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +1,442 $15 0¢ $1 $-14 06-14 20:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +500 $12 0¢ $0 $-12 06-02 21:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -236 $1,242 0¢ $-0 $-1,243 06-19 21:11
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +150 $-90 0¢ $0 +$90 06-18 18:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $30 100¢ $0 $-30 06-23 09:06