Realized P&L
-$680
Unrealized P&L
-$1.22K
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved
1,331
Trades
27,184
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$8.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-26 23:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 253 days
Categories
Politics
78% 54% +$1,929
Other
17% 51% -$4,836
Crypto
3% 48% +$824
Sports
1% 62% +$1,561
Tech
1% 60% -$158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 359 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,676 -$4,213 82¢ $-3811 +$402 10-24 02:46
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -383 -$371 97¢ $-373 -$1 08-12 19:37
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -364 -$345 100¢ $-362 -$18 08-14 10:04
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +356 $338 96¢ $344 +$6 10-24 17:28
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -320 -$307 99¢ $-316 -$9 06-06 08:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +1,067 $349 30¢ $315 -$35 10-24 02:59
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +303 $297 99¢ $300 +$2 08-22 17:23
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +1,649 $1,663 8¢ $140 -$1,523 08-18 03:47
Iran coup attempt by December 31? No +147 $133 92¢ $135 +$2 08-27 07:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +540 $128 24¢ $132 +$5 10-26 05:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,126 $120 12¢ $129 +$10 10-20 19:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -137 -$111 94¢ $-128 -$17 10-26 11:11
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +129 $125 97¢ $125 +$0 10-26 14:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +123 $104 98¢ $120 +$16 10-21 01:57
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +121 $111 96¢ $117 +$5 06-08 01:59
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +120 $115 96¢ $115 +$0 10-08 19:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +116 $110 97¢ $112 +$2 10-16 11:14
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +636 $251 16¢ $102 -$149 10-19 02:41
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +104 $83 96¢ $99 +$16 10-18 11:59
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +101 $91 98¢ $98 +$7 10-11 04:33
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +100 $95 97¢ $97 +$2 10-01 14:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +99 $64 96¢ $96 +$32 10-25 21:56
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $93 +$2 08-18 00:17
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +100 $94 93¢ $93 -$1 08-18 00:46
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +89 $62 100¢ $89 +$28 10-26 22:40
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +90 $77 98¢ $88 +$11 10-07 01:00
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +90 $83 95¢ $86 +$3 08-02 18:32
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -189 -$65 44¢ $-82 -$17 10-03 16:52
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +82 $79 100¢ $82 +$2 10-13 02:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +93 $82 87¢ $81 -$1 10-10 15:17