Humongous-Maybe 0xc5bdf0…71ceaa Create alert
whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$633
Unrealized P&L
+$186
Hit rate
28.0%
Resolved (7d)
53
Trades (7d)
283
27,793 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$9.35K
$1.03M lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$9.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-02 19:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 261 days
Categories
Politics
78% 54% +$1,430
Other
17% 51% -$4,916
Crypto
3% 48% +$824
Sports
1% 62% +$1,561
Tech
1% 60% -$158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 267 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5,350 -$4,754 88¢ $-4735 +$19 10-31 00:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +500 $340 100¢ $500 +$160 10-29 23:56
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -383 -$371 98¢ $-375 -$4 08-12 19:37
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +381 $373 98¢ $373 +$1 10-30 00:05
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -364 -$345 100¢ $-362 -$18 08-14 10:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -358 -$331 98¢ $-352 -$21 10-29 17:17
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -320 -$307 99¢ $-317 -$10 06-06 08:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +222 $214 98¢ $218 +$4 10-29 23:55
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +200 $192 97¢ $194 +$3 10-30 05:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +394 $144 44¢ $171 +$27 10-30 00:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +261 $159 66¢ $171 +$12 10-30 06:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +167 $163 98¢ $165 +$2 10-30 00:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -139 -$114 96¢ $-134 -$20 10-29 00:41
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +145 $133 92¢ $133 -$1 11-01 06:24
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +134 $130 97¢ $129 -$1 10-29 22:33
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +164 $122 70¢ $116 -$6 10-29 23:25
Trump out as President before 2027? No +111 $107 97¢ $107 +$1 10-29 23:57
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +151 $106 70¢ $105 -$1 10-30 23:23
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +104 $83 95¢ $99 +$15 10-18 11:59
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -100 -$90 96¢ $-96 -$6 10-29 17:17
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +100 $94 95¢ $95 +$1 08-18 00:46
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 93¢ $93 +$2 08-18 00:17
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +100 $61 92¢ $92 +$31 08-19 15:30
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +90 $83 95¢ $86 +$3 08-02 18:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +100 $79 86¢ $86 +$6 10-18 23:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +93 $82 92¢ $85 +$3 10-10 15:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -94 -$78 90¢ $-85 -$6 06-15 21:22
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +82 $79 100¢ $81 +$2 10-13 02:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +909 $97 9¢ $81 -$16 10-28 06:55
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +84 $78 95¢ $80 +$2 10-23 10:03