Realized P&L (7d)
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
18
18 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$502
$502 lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$389
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 00:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74%
Other
26%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -102 $-96 92¢ $-93 +$3 05-05 22:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -231 $-97 38¢ $-89 +$8 05-05 23:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes -200 $-92 36¢ $-73 +$19 05-05 14:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +67 $49 94¢ $63 +$14 05-05 23:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -236 $-45 18¢ $-44 +$1 05-05 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -56 $-26 46¢ $-26 $-0 05-06 00:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -4 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 00:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-05 23:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 55¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 22:40