Realized P&L
-$1.15K
Unrealized P&L
-$294
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
1,422
Trades
28,046
lifetime
Volume
$1.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$10.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-15 02:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 269 days
Categories
Politics
78% 54% +$1,587
Other
17% 51% -$4,963
Crypto
3% 48% +$824
Sports
1% 62% +$1,561
Tech
1% 60% -$158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 267 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5,350 -$4,754 92¢ $-4949 -$195 10-31 00:50
FAA outage attributed to hack? No +464 $415 99¢ $461 +$46 11-14 01:45
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in November? No +688 $488 60¢ $410 -$79 11-15 03:11
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -383 -$371 98¢ $-377 -$6 08-12 19:37
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +381 $373 98¢ $374 +$1 10-30 00:05
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -364 -$345 100¢ $-363 -$18 08-14 10:04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +371 $339 98¢ $362 +$23 11-13 21:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -358 -$331 98¢ $-353 -$22 10-29 17:17
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -320 -$307 99¢ $-318 -$11 06-06 08:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +222 $214 98¢ $218 +$4 10-29 23:55
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +200 $192 98¢ $197 +$5 10-30 05:22
Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +200 $192 98¢ $196 +$3 11-13 16:55
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in November? No +551 $265 34¢ $190 -$75 11-15 02:58
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +167 $163 99¢ $165 +$2 10-30 00:03
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Yes +492 $102 34¢ $165 +$63 11-14 11:19
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +156 $152 99¢ $154 +$1 11-14 01:22
Will 5 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31? No +159 $148 92¢ $146 -$2 11-15 03:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +261 $159 54¢ $140 -$20 10-30 06:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -139 -$114 97¢ $-136 -$22 10-29 00:41
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +137 $127 92¢ $127 +$1 11-14 07:41
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +164 $122 74¢ $122 $0 10-29 23:25
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? No +126 $123 90¢ $113 -$9 11-15 01:41
Trump out as President before 2027? No +111 $107 97¢ $108 +$1 10-29 23:57
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +151 $106 70¢ $106 -$1 10-30 23:23
Will it be confirmed that a problem with the FAA's SMART air traffic management system caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on November 13? No +105 $103 99¢ $103 +$1 11-14 12:05
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +104 $83 96¢ $99 +$16 10-18 11:59
Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +112 $99 88¢ $99 $0 11-13 16:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -100 -$90 98¢ $-98 -$8 10-29 17:17
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 95¢ $96 +$4 08-18 00:17
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +100 $94 96¢ $96 +$2 08-18 00:46