Humongous-Maybe 0xc5bdf0…71ceaa Create alert
whale cold
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$3.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$144
Hit rate
36.0%
Resolved (90d)
305
Trades (90d)
5,475
27,581 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$99.5K
$1.03M lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$9.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-02 19:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Politics
78% 54% +$1,565
Other
17% 52% -$4,859
Crypto
3% 48% +$824
Sports
1% 62% +$1,561
Tech
1% 60% -$158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 267 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5,350 -$4,754 88¢ $-4735 +$19 10-31 00:50
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -383 -$371 98¢ $-376 -$5 08-12 19:37
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +381 $373 98¢ $373 +$1 10-30 00:05
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -364 -$345 100¢ $-363 -$18 08-14 10:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -358 -$331 98¢ $-351 -$20 10-29 17:17
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -320 -$307 99¢ $-317 -$10 06-06 08:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +394 $144 56¢ $222 +$78 10-30 00:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +222 $214 98¢ $219 +$5 10-29 23:55
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +200 $192 98¢ $195 +$4 10-30 05:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +261 $159 68¢ $176 +$17 10-30 06:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +167 $163 99¢ $165 +$2 10-30 00:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -139 -$114 97¢ $-135 -$22 10-29 00:41
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +145 $133 92¢ $133 -$1 11-01 06:24
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +134 $130 98¢ $131 +$1 10-29 22:33
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +164 $122 70¢ $116 -$6 10-29 23:25
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +151 $106 72¢ $109 +$2 10-30 23:23
Trump out as President before 2027? No +111 $107 98¢ $108 +$2 10-29 23:57
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +104 $83 96¢ $100 +$17 10-18 11:59
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -100 -$90 97¢ $-97 -$7 10-29 17:17
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +100 $94 97¢ $97 +$4 08-18 00:46
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 95¢ $95 +$4 08-18 00:17
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +100 $61 91¢ $91 +$30 08-19 15:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +93 $82 96¢ $89 +$7 10-10 15:17
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +100 $79 88¢ $88 +$10 10-18 23:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +911 $57 10¢ $87 +$30 10-29 23:27
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +90 $83 96¢ $87 +$4 08-02 18:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -94 -$78 92¢ $-86 -$8 06-15 21:22
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +84 $78 97¢ $82 +$4 10-23 10:03
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +78 $75 99¢ $77 +$2 08-11 01:01
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +78 $76 99¢ $77 +$0 10-27 01:58