Humongous-Maybe 0xc5bdf0…71ceaa
new
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Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
20
20 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$523
$523 lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$402
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 01:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
75% — —
Other
25% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -102 $-96 92¢ $-93 +$3 05-05 22:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -231 $-97 38¢ $-88 +$9 05-05 23:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes -200 $-92 36¢ $-71 +$21 05-05 14:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +67 $49 94¢ $63 +$14 05-05 23:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -236 $-45 18¢ $-41 +$3 05-05 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -56 $-26 45¢ $-25 +$1 05-06 00:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -414 $-21 5¢ $-20 +$0 05-06 01:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -4 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 00:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 60¢ $-0 $-0 05-05 22:40