Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17f4…8697d1
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$37.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.84K
Hit rate
99.7%
Resolved
19
Trades
43,827
lifetime
Volume
$20.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$463
Open exposure
$243.6K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-20 17:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
59% 92% +$36,703
Other
35% 83% +$981
Sports
4% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1053 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -99,546 $-94,595 96¢ $-96012 $-1,417 06-13 14:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +31,483 $29,240 90¢ $28.2K $-1,063 07-18 12:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -32,820 $-27,108 74¢ $-24123 +$2,985 07-20 15:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +24,971 $20,064 86¢ $21.6K +$1,535 07-13 18:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +23,007 $21,506 94¢ $21.5K +$5 07-16 21:50
Trump out as President before 2027? No +15,010 $13,959 92¢ $13.9K $-75 07-14 12:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10,507 $10,017 96¢ $10.0K +$22 07-08 19:41
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +11,242 $9,735 86¢ $9.6K $-124 07-05 00:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +7,048 $5,988 88¢ $6.2K +$179 07-19 13:14
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +4,141 $4,018 98¢ $4.0K +$24 07-19 10:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2,602 $2,338 90¢ $2.3K $-8 07-06 06:28
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +1,950 $1,840 95¢ $1.9K +$19 07-16 23:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -1,530 $-1,178 80¢ $-1232 $-54 07-02 23:48
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1,186 $1,126 96¢ $1.1K +$15 07-17 08:17
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +910 $865 94¢ $860 $-5 07-06 05:38
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +877 $807 94¢ $829 +$22 07-03 01:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +600 $282 18¢ $108 $-174 06-15 12:42
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +109 $112 45¢ $49 $-63 07-18 11:44
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 06-22 14:35
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-01 14:33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 05-28 06:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +29 $5 14¢ $4 $-1 06-29 19:37
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +20 $2 8¢ $2 +$0 07-02 15:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +10 $-9 4¢ $0 +$10 07-01 21:40
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +5 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 06-11 11:27