Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17f4…8697d1
whale cold 20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
-$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$45.8K
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved (24h)
46
Trades (24h)
365
79,305 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$347.0K
$36.2M lifetime
Avg / trade
$457
Open exposure
$952.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-01 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 239 days
Categories
Politics
52% 72% +$527,574
Other
40% 79% +$113,106
Sports
4% 72% +$14,465
Crypto
2% 84% +$105,550
Tech
1% 83% -$3,023
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$243
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1654 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +236,329 $235,743 100¢ $236.1K +$349 11-01 17:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +64,063 $53,018 98¢ $62.7K +$9,732 11-01 13:29
Trump out as President before 2027? No +58,870 $55,741 97¢ $57.0K +$1,274 11-01 14:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +46,840 $44,112 97¢ $45.5K +$1,370 10-29 17:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +45,351 $30,491 97¢ $43.8K +$13,341 10-29 17:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +59,278 $41,905 73¢ $43.3K +$1,368 11-01 18:34
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +43,824 $40,779 98¢ $42.9K +$2,102 10-29 17:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +40,630 $40,030 100¢ $40.6K +$558 10-30 17:48
US recession by end of 2026? No +40,429 $33,207 94¢ $38.2K +$4,998 10-29 12:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51,717 $40,488 66¢ $34.4K -$6,096 11-01 15:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +33,392 $17,102 84¢ $28.1K +$10,980 10-30 23:29
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +25,006 $18,550 88¢ $21.9K +$3,330 11-01 07:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +21,859 $20,622 97¢ $21.2K +$582 11-01 17:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +21,196 $14,667 99¢ $21.0K +$6,317 10-31 21:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +20,526 $18,563 96¢ $19.6K +$1,040 10-16 14:49
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +20,584 $18,608 94¢ $19.4K +$823 10-29 05:11
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +18,146 $16,077 96¢ $17.3K +$1,252 10-14 12:37
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No +17,656 $13,730 92¢ $16.2K +$2,514 11-01 07:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +129,464 $44,998 12¢ $16.2K -$28,815 11-01 16:05
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? No +16,453 $14,629 93¢ $15.3K +$673 10-26 15:40
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +23,267 $15,640 63¢ $14.7K -$982 11-01 00:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +14,146 $10,595 94¢ $13.4K +$2,773 10-31 05:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +13,883 $8,312 92¢ $12.7K +$4,391 11-01 10:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +12,908 $12,430 96¢ $12.4K +$6 11-01 18:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14,288 $7,979 82¢ $11.8K +$3,808 11-01 17:20
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +12,183 $5,062 90¢ $10.9K +$5,842 11-01 10:00
Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? No +9,991 $9,678 98¢ $9.8K +$123 10-28 07:14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -10,000 -$10,532 94¢ $-9450 +$1,082 10-02 21:00
ebola pandemic in 2026 No +8,350 $7,494 98¢ $8.1K +$651 10-29 17:54
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +8,254 $7,675 97¢ $8.0K +$368 10-29 22:07