Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$26,916
$137 in 24h
Trades
665
Unique wallets
126
Liquidity
$2,857
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-09-17
last 11-14 22:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-19.1¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $15.9K
vs crowd: 21% YES on $24.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 35 | $4.1K | $16.2K | $12.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 47 | $484 | $1.1K | $639 |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $67 | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $570 | $50 | +$520 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 20 | $304 | $15.6K | $15.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $546 | $242 | +$305 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $9 | $44 | $35 |
| Median | 7 | $127 | $13 | +$114 |
| Below median | 8 | $33 | $22 | +$11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $64 | $197 | $133 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 28 | $158 | $697 | $539 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 34 | $4.0K | $2.7K | +$1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | +14,850 | $3,220 | $3,220 | 54 | 11-09 18:29 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | +7,751 | $6,104 | $6,384 | 24 | 11-06 21:23 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | No | +6,480 | $4,897 | $6,326 | 23 | 11-07 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x92a7…eb78 | No | +2,424 | $1,834 | $1,834 | 7 | 10-29 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x7231…415a | Yes | +2,273 | $398 | $398 | 14 | 10-17 05:09 |
| Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | +2,035 | $1,696 | $1,696 | 16 | 11-07 22:45 |
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +1,025 | $915 | $1,088 | 26 | 11-14 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdbe…4475 | Yes | +753 | $104 | $104 | 2 | 11-10 23:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +636 | $119 | $119 | 18 | 11-10 17:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +456 | $335 | $335 | 14 | 11-07 22:52 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +400 | $347 | $365 | 3 | 11-06 10:54 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +400 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 11-06 10:54 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | Yes | +381 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 09-25 21:12 |
| Trivial-Idea 0x555c…ee28 | Yes | +300 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 09-18 18:06 |
| Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | +300 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 10-29 16:17 |
| Witty-Birch 0xa2bf…95d3 | No | +250 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-30 21:23 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +209 | $31 | $249 | 33 | 11-07 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | No | +178 | $152 | $152 | 2 | 10-13 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | Yes | +178 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 10-13 17:30 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +172 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 11-06 10:54 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +163 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 10-30 02:00 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +163 | $129 | $129 | 2 | 10-30 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +120 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 11-09 04:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +120 | $104 | $104 | 5 | 11-09 04:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +115 | $22 | $23 | 11 | 11-09 04:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +115 | $95 | $97 | 7 | 11-09 04:20 |
| Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | +109 | $43 | $58 | 3 | 10-16 20:33 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +101 | $8 | $39 | 7 | 11-09 20:36 |
| Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | Yes | +100 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 09-17 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1796…e432 | Yes | +100 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 11-14 22:46 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +82 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 11-07 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x8220…4bba | Yes | +73 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-04 08:15 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +61 | $42 | $168 | 8 | 10-29 14:08 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +61 | $20 | $26 | 6 | 09-29 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +60 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-31 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +60 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 11-04 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +60 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 11-04 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +60 | $47 | $80 | 4 | 11-06 10:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +59 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 10-23 13:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +59 | $18 | $32 | 8 | 10-23 13:09 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +58 | $8 | $24 | 7 | 10-30 19:39 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +58 | $63 | $375 | 12 | 10-07 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | +55 | $14 | $14 | 5 | 10-27 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7af2…24fd | No | +52 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 10-29 02:28 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 09-28 15:44 |
| Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | Yes | +50 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 11-05 11:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +49 | $17 | $38 | 4 | 09-25 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +46 | $7 | $14 | 4 | 11-14 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-14 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7943…29b4 | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 11-14 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 11-14 22:46 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | +40 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 09-18 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +40 | $32 | $33 | 4 | 10-29 08:28 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 11-01 19:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | +34 | $28 | $84 | 3 | 10-30 10:57 |
| Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | +30 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 09-17 21:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | +25 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-29 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +24 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-27 22:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-27 22:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +20 | $16 | $18 | 2 | 09-21 20:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-14 22:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x80603d… |
| 11-14 22:46:34 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x80603d… |
| 11-14 22:46:17 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xc8a140… |
| 11-14 22:46:17 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 97 | 91¢ | $88 | 0x933d85… |
| 11-14 22:46:17 | (anonymous) 0x1796…e432 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x933d85… |
| 11-14 22:46:17 | (anonymous) 0x7943…29b4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x933d85… |
| 11-14 22:46:17 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x933d85… |
| 11-14 22:46:17 | (anonymous) 0x7943…29b4 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xc8a140… |
| 11-14 22:46:17 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x933d85… |
| 11-12 17:15:46 | (anonymous) 0x7fbf…d3ef | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xda4812… |
| 11-12 17:15:46 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xda4812… |
| 11-12 08:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x1796…e432 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0d5b9e… |
| 11-12 08:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0d5b9e… |
| 11-10 23:54:46 | (anonymous) 0x1796…e432 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x0fb1f2… |
| 11-10 23:54:46 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 46 | 91¢ | $42 | 0x0fb1f2… |
| 11-10 23:03:28 | (anonymous) 0xbdbe…4475 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xddccfa… |
| 11-10 23:03:28 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 44 | 91¢ | $40 | 0xddccfa… |
| 11-10 17:46:09 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xd7e272… |
| 11-10 17:46:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xd7e272… |
| 11-10 17:46:09 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0xd7e272… |
| 11-09 20:59:45 | (anonymous) 0x97d4…f3a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xfbdbd9… |
| 11-09 20:59:45 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xfbdbd9… |
| 11-09 20:36:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 101 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x5ea200… |
| 11-09 20:36:43 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 101 | 90¢ | $91 | 0x5ea200… |
| 11-09 18:29:57 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x1b08f4… |
| 11-09 18:29:57 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x1b08f4… |
| 11-09 10:06:09 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x4f425c… |
| 11-09 10:06:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x4f425c… |
| 11-09 09:49:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xfca060… |
| 11-09 09:49:15 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xfca060… |
| 11-09 04:59:34 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xb34eac… |
| 11-09 04:59:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xb34eac… |
| 11-09 04:20:01 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x8a2a8f… |
| 11-09 04:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x934a42… |
| 11-09 04:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0x934a42… |
| 11-09 04:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x8a2a8f… |
| 11-09 04:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x934a42… |
| 11-09 04:20:00 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x2c484f… |
| 11-09 04:20:00 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x2c484f… |
| 11-09 04:20:00 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x2c484f… |
| 11-09 04:20:00 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | SELL | 61 | 88¢ | $54 | 0x2c484f… |
| 11-08 00:28:15 | Cheerful-Cesspool 0x18c9…0079 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x49e8a2… |
| 11-08 00:28:15 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x49e8a2… |
| 11-07 22:52:49 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xb75f7e… |
| 11-07 22:52:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xb75f7e… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | (anonymous) 0xbdbe…4475 | Yes | BUY | 708 | 14¢ | $100 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 82 | 86¢ | $71 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | BUY | 61 | 89¢ | $54 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | Cheerful-Cesspool 0x18c9…0079 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | BUY | 400 | 85¢ | $340 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 22:45:45 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xab1ad7… |
| 11-07 02:20:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xf523f0… |
| 11-07 02:20:31 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xf523f0… |
| 11-07 02:20:27 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | No | SELL | 503 | 90¢ | $455 | 0xec2e00… |
| 11-07 02:20:27 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xec2e00… |
| 11-07 02:20:27 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0xec2e00… |
| 11-07 02:20:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 101 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xec2e00… |
| 11-07 02:20:27 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 80 | 9¢ | $7 | 0xec2e00… |
| 11-06 21:23:54 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x65ffe3… |
| 11-06 21:23:54 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 102 | 91¢ | $93 | 0x65ffe3… |
| 11-06 21:23:54 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 97 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x65ffe3… |
| 11-06 11:47:57 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7eb8ef… |
| 11-06 11:47:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7eb8ef… |
| 11-06 11:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x128088… |
| 11-06 11:43:15 | Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x128088… |
| 11-06 11:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x128088… |
| 11-06 10:54:16 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x3f0085… |
| 11-06 10:54:16 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x3f0085… |
| 11-06 10:54:15 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xdd1384… |
| 11-06 10:54:15 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xdd1384… |
| 11-06 10:54:13 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0x1cb866… |
| 11-06 10:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x1cb866… |
| 11-06 10:54:13 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x1cb866… |
| 11-06 10:54:13 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x1cb866… |
| 11-06 10:54:13 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 172 | 11¢ | $19 | 0x1cb866… |
| 11-06 10:54:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 16¢ | $25 | 0x1cb866… |
| 11-06 10:54:13 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 411 | 87¢ | $356 | 0x1cb866… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x9ebc17… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x9ebc17… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x604385… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | BUY | 80 | 18¢ | $14 | 0x9ebc17… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x9ebc17… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | BUY | 1,384 | 82¢ | $1,135 | 0x9ebc17… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 788 | 18¢ | $142 | 0x9ebc17… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x9ebc17… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 18¢ | $72 | 0x9ebc17… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 13 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x9ebc17… |
| 11-06 10:54:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x604385… |
| 11-06 08:37:09 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x561599… |
| 11-06 08:37:09 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x561599… |
| 11-06 08:37:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x561599… |
| 11-06 08:32:39 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 41 | 84¢ | $34 | 0x30a7f5… |
| 11-06 08:32:39 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x30a7f5… |
| 11-06 08:32:39 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x30a7f5… |