(anonymous) 0x7af230…ff24fd
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$68
Hit rate
42.9%
Resolved
90
Trades
849
lifetime
Volume
$18.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$1.27K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-28 23:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
61% 42% -$269
Sports
23% 39% -$772
Politics
15% 42% +$24
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +276 $241 55¢ $150 -$90 10-28 04:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +150 $148 100¢ $149 +$1 10-23 15:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +110 $107 99¢ $109 +$2 10-24 23:55
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +150 $94 58¢ $88 -$7 10-25 10:21
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +90 $83 94¢ $84 +$1 10-28 20:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +90 $83 92¢ $83 +$0 10-28 15:39
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +82 $74 99¢ $82 +$8 10-28 00:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +74 $62 82¢ $60 -$1 10-27 14:33
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +60 $57 98¢ $58 +$1 10-26 13:24
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +60 $55 92¢ $56 +$0 10-27 18:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 $0 10-28 10:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +30 $27 97¢ $29 +$2 10-26 07:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +30 $26 96¢ $29 +$3 10-26 07:42
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +48 $30 58¢ $28 -$2 10-25 00:00
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $26 91¢ $27 +$1 10-28 09:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 10-28 16:37
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $23 72¢ $21 -$2 10-28 02:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $20 68¢ $21 +$0 10-27 15:22
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +30 $14 55¢ $16 +$2 10-28 12:54
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15 $6 100¢ $15 +$9 10-27 19:32
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +15 $12 98¢ $15 +$3 10-28 09:03
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $14 56¢ $14 $0 10-28 01:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $12 16¢ $12 $0 10-28 20:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +15 $11 72¢ $11 +$0 10-28 21:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +15 $11 71¢ $11 $0 10-26 23:41
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $11 72¢ $11 $0 10-28 19:54
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +13 $9 74¢ $10 +$0 10-27 09:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +15 $9 66¢ $10 +$1 10-27 20:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +21 $8 36¢ $7 -$1 10-23 13:55
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +31 $7 22¢ $7 $0 10-28 00:35