Silent-Obsidian 0x57b00c…8e76f4
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$85
Unrealized P&L
+$1.47K
Hit rate
87.8%
Resolved
23
Trades
16,172
lifetime
Volume
$2.92M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$180
Open exposure
$37.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
48% 91% +$1,010
Politics
47% 83% $-925
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +10,048 $9,047 100¢ $10.0K +$956 06-26 10:52
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +3,472 $3,375 100¢ $3.5K +$90 06-28 03:33
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +1,681 $1,603 98¢ $1.7K +$50 06-30 02:08
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +1,902 $1,465 87¢ $1.6K +$182 06-23 00:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +1,598 $1,508 100¢ $1.6K +$89 06-22 03:40
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +1,552 $1,523 99¢ $1.5K +$20 06-30 10:15
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +1,834 $1,522 82¢ $1.5K $-18 06-16 02:34
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,480 $-1,418 97¢ $-1434 $-17 06-06 14:43
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +1,266 $1,157 99¢ $1.3K +$93 06-30 09:23
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +1,235 $1,170 99¢ $1.2K +$54 06-29 07:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -1,150 $-1,143 100¢ $-1148 $-5 06-24 00:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -1,000 $-338 100¢ $-997 $-659 06-17 02:11
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +976 $929 100¢ $973 +$44 06-25 11:15
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -1,000 $-958 96¢ $-960 $-1 06-25 05:20
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +900 $795 92¢ $832 +$37 06-28 07:43
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -1,581 $-684 52¢ $-830 $-146 06-12 11:41
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No +1,000 $620 72¢ $720 +$100 06-04 01:30
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +889 $685 78¢ $698 +$13 05-28 15:32
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -723 $-665 90¢ $-651 +$14 06-09 12:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,000 $670 64¢ $645 $-25 06-29 06:09
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -688 $-648 89¢ $-612 +$36 06-18 01:58
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -500 $-546 100¢ $-499 +$48 06-22 14:59
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +500 $484 100¢ $498 +$14 06-17 17:41
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -500 $-456 92¢ $-458 $-1 06-25 05:27
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No -364 $-395 100¢ $-364 +$31 06-10 14:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +397 $214 86¢ $340 +$126 06-30 11:37
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +400 $201 81¢ $322 +$121 06-01 16:10
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -422 $-292 72¢ $-306 $-14 06-25 21:17
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No -300 $-297 100¢ $-299 $-3 06-13 10:17
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +300 $25 90¢ $269 +$244 06-27 10:05