Realized P&L
+$85
Unrealized P&L
+$1.12K
Hit rate
87.8%
Resolved
23
Trades
17,055
lifetime
Volume
$3.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$181
Open exposure
$20.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 08:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
47% 91% +$1,010
Politics
47% 83% $-925
Crypto
3%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +2,751 $2,139 90¢ $2.5K +$327 07-17 04:11
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +2,644 $2,008 88¢ $2.3K +$332 07-19 09:57
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2,500 $1,930 76¢ $1.9K $-42 07-13 14:40
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +1,834 $1,522 86¢ $1.6K +$64 06-16 02:34
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -1,800 $-1,676 84¢ $-1503 +$173 07-17 06:59
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,480 $-1,418 98¢ $-1448 $-30 06-06 14:43
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -1,581 $-684 62¢ $-988 $-304 06-12 11:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -1,000 $-866 99¢ $-988 $-121 07-06 10:11
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -1,000 $-958 97¢ $-974 $-15 06-25 05:20
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +995 $529 90¢ $899 +$370 07-12 01:17
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -900 $-792 91¢ $-819 $-27 07-01 12:30
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +889 $685 76¢ $676 $-9 05-28 15:32
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -723 $-705 93¢ $-672 +$33 07-20 12:02
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -688 $-648 90¢ $-622 +$25 06-18 01:58
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No +1,000 $620 52¢ $515 $-105 06-04 01:30
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -500 $-456 92¢ $-462 $-6 06-25 05:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +397 $214 92¢ $363 +$150 06-30 11:37
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -456 $-320 76¢ $-349 $-29 07-09 23:59
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +347 $177 70¢ $244 +$68 06-16 03:19
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No -220 $-202 97¢ $-214 $-12 07-18 16:01
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +424 $-68 43¢ $181 +$249 07-15 14:18
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No -159 $-144 92¢ $-146 $-2 07-08 08:02
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -500 $-135 24¢ $-118 +$18 06-03 01:44
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -628 $-132 18¢ $-110 +$22 06-03 06:52
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -85 $-76 90¢ $-77 $-1 07-01 12:30
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No -100 $-58 66¢ $-66 $-7 06-29 08:10
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -410 $-41 12¢ $-47 $-6 06-04 03:44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? No +15 $10 84¢ $13 +$3 06-01 09:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 07-18 12:52
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +0 $-3 $0 +$3 06-18 04:49