Realized P&L
+$85
Unrealized P&L
+$685
Hit rate
87.8%
Resolved
23
Trades
15,150
lifetime
Volume
$2.58M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$170
Open exposure
$11.0K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 16:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
50% 91% +$1,010
Politics
45% 83% $-925
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No -1,559 $-1,511 98¢ $-1529 $-19 06-04 06:12
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,480 $-1,418 97¢ $-1430 $-12 06-06 14:43
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,245 84¢ $1.3K +$22 06-05 18:46
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +1,172 $1,012 88¢ $1.0K +$17 06-10 00:08
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +889 $685 84¢ $742 +$58 05-28 15:32
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? No +722 $660 99¢ $717 +$57 06-08 23:15
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No +1,000 $620 70¢ $695 +$75 06-04 01:30
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +700 $668 99¢ $691 +$23 06-04 18:29
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -723 $-665 90¢ $-651 +$14 06-09 12:59
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +602 $548 90¢ $545 $-3 06-02 11:54
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +400 $201 75¢ $299 +$97 06-01 16:10
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +300 $220 88¢ $264 +$44 06-03 13:13
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +208 $196 98¢ $205 +$9 06-03 06:57
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +1,552 $273 13¢ $204 $-69 06-09 14:03
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -500 $-135 32¢ $-162 $-28 06-03 01:44
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -628 $-132 24¢ $-151 $-19 06-03 06:52
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +147 $137 94¢ $138 +$1 06-08 20:13
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -218 $-73 55¢ $-119 $-46 06-07 22:00
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -410 $-41 12¢ $-47 $-6 06-04 03:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes -5,733 $-46 $-43 +$3 06-09 19:17
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +823 $24 $28 +$4 06-06 14:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes -1,462 $-32 $-23 +$10 06-02 13:21
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? No +15 $10 70¢ $10 +$1 06-01 09:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +0 $-376 11¢ $0 +$376 06-08 12:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -0 $-75 18¢ $-0 +$75 06-01 16:07