Silent-Obsidian 0x57b00c…8e76f4 Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$17.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.60K
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved (90d)
326
Trades (90d)
6,873
26,783 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.90M
$5.59M lifetime
Avg / trade
$209
Open exposure
$87.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 00:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 232 days
Categories
Politics
50% 81% +$37,424
Other
46% 81% +$25,067
Crypto
3% 69% -$2,949
Sports
1% 85% -$291
Tech
1% 82% -$587
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$100
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 562 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10,300 $6,751 66¢ $6.7K -$5 11-03 12:47
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,000 $6,172 99¢ $5.9K -$229 11-08 09:00
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026? No +5,608 $5,277 97¢ $5.4K +$152 11-06 23:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5,050 -$4,821 92¢ $-4671 +$149 11-02 08:48
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -4,791 -$4,083 97¢ $-4647 -$564 09-19 05:01
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +6,675 $3,626 65¢ $4.4K +$726 11-09 16:59
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +4,000 $3,935 99¢ $4.0K +$25 11-08 09:54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $3,932 99¢ $4.0K +$18 11-07 07:31
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +4,145 $3,475 92¢ $3.8K +$318 11-04 20:05
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +4,107 $3,283 84¢ $3.4K +$146 11-10 21:39
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +4,817 $3,431 70¢ $3.4K -$59 11-10 11:33
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +3,550 $1,391 92¢ $3.3K +$1,893 11-07 08:44
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +3,779 $2,730 86¢ $3.2K +$519 11-04 20:30
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +4,361 $2,677 72¢ $3.1K +$456 11-06 06:25
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +2,500 $2,431 99¢ $2.5K +$40 11-07 01:57
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +2,826 $1,668 86¢ $2.4K +$777 11-09 18:35
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? Yes +2,447 $1,844 90¢ $2.2K +$371 11-09 18:46
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +2,000 $2,281 99¢ $2.0K -$306 11-06 10:40
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +2,042 $611 96¢ $1.9K +$1,339 11-08 20:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +2,000 $1,448 96¢ $1.9K +$467 11-10 23:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,569 94¢ $1.9K +$306 11-05 17:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2,133 $557 88¢ $1.9K +$1,309 11-10 23:07
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,909 $1,733 98¢ $1.9K +$133 11-10 11:55
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +2,040 $1,353 90¢ $1.8K +$483 11-10 17:30
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -1,600 -$1,313 98¢ $-1574 -$260 07-15 01:52
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,510 $1,200 76¢ $1.1K -$52 11-10 18:44
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,117 $786 94¢ $1.1K +$268 11-07 01:52
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026? No +1,177 $946 87¢ $1.0K +$78 11-04 11:48
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,000 -$1,294 99¢ $-990 +$304 06-06 14:43
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1,095 $172 88¢ $969 +$797 11-10 15:13