Silent-Obsidian 0x57b00c…8e76f4 Create alert
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$9.75K
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved (7d)
50
Trades (7d)
1,051
25,742 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$273.8K
$5.39M lifetime
Avg / trade
$210
Open exposure
$89.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 226 days
Categories
Politics
49% 81% +$17,828
Other
46% 80% +$20,963
Crypto
3% 69% -$2,949
Sports
1% 85% -$291
Tech
1% 82% -$587
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$100
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8,500 $7,830 94¢ $8.0K +$202 11-03 01:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,045 $6,488 74¢ $7.5K +$995 11-01 09:51
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +9,032 $6,063 74¢ $6.7K +$665 11-02 07:55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,000 $6,450 94¢ $6.6K +$165 11-03 07:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +6,000 $5,620 94¢ $5.7K +$50 11-02 18:16
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +9,300 $6,201 58¢ $5.4K -$760 11-03 10:15
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -4,791 -$4,083 96¢ $-4599 -$516 09-19 05:01
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5,050 -$4,821 87¢ $-4393 +$427 11-02 08:48
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +9,478 $4,839 39¢ $3.7K -$1,133 10-30 02:04
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +3,522 $2,306 82¢ $2.9K +$599 10-17 22:44
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,675 $2,771 61¢ $2.8K +$69 11-01 20:53
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +3,710 $2,693 74¢ $2.7K +$53 10-17 19:15
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +2,989 $887 90¢ $2.7K +$1,788 11-02 07:24
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +3,306 $2,126 80¢ $2.7K +$536 11-02 20:22
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +3,022 $2,192 80¢ $2.4K +$211 10-31 08:09
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2,013 $1,637 89¢ $1.8K +$154 10-28 23:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,990 $1,499 86¢ $1.7K +$206 11-02 18:30
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +4,574 $1,579 37¢ $1.7K +$113 10-25 21:19
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -1,800 -$2,649 91¢ $-1633 +$1,016 11-02 08:04
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -1,600 -$1,313 98¢ $-1564 -$251 07-15 01:52
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +1,987 $1,102 79¢ $1.6K +$462 11-03 02:11
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +2,047 $1,232 74¢ $1.5K +$293 11-02 08:25
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +1,574 $913 88¢ $1.4K +$472 10-20 15:35
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +1,379 -$6 94¢ $1.3K +$1,302 11-03 11:29
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $1,200 84¢ $1.3K +$68 11-01 14:19
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +1,381 $1,193 92¢ $1.3K +$70 11-01 02:56
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,000 -$1,294 99¢ $-991 +$303 06-06 14:43
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $860 92¢ $915 +$55 10-25 03:48
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +917 $669 92¢ $848 +$179 10-31 00:10
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +994 -$1,135 82¢ $820 +$1,955 11-02 09:10