Silent-Obsidian 0x57b00c…8e76f4 Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$9.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.71K
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved (30d)
164
Trades (30d)
3,815
27,415 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.13M
$5.92M lifetime
Avg / trade
$216
Open exposure
$80.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 02:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 233 days
Categories
Politics
50% 81% +$37,270
Other
46% 81% +$25,067
Crypto
3% 69% -$2,949
Sports
1% 85% -$291
Tech
1% 82% -$587
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$100
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 562 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10,300 $6,751 66¢ $6.7K -$5 11-03 12:47
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026? No +5,608 $5,277 97¢ $5.4K +$166 11-06 23:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5,050 -$4,821 94¢ $-4722 +$99 11-02 08:48
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -4,791 -$4,083 97¢ $-4650 -$566 09-19 05:01
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +6,675 $3,626 65¢ $4.3K +$706 11-09 16:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $3,932 99¢ $4.0K +$36 11-07 07:31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +4,078 $3,424 95¢ $3.9K +$448 11-12 03:17
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +4,145 $3,475 90¢ $3.8K +$277 11-04 20:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +4,133 $2,277 86¢ $3.6K +$1,298 11-11 02:53
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +3,550 $1,391 92¢ $3.3K +$1,893 11-07 08:44
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +3,779 $2,730 86¢ $3.2K +$519 11-04 20:30
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +4,817 $3,431 67¢ $3.2K -$203 11-10 11:33
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +3,912 $3,401 82¢ $3.2K -$173 11-11 22:01
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +4,361 $2,677 68¢ $3.0K +$290 11-06 06:25
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +2,500 $2,431 99¢ $2.5K +$53 11-07 01:57
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +2,826 $1,668 86¢ $2.4K +$777 11-09 18:35
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +2,000 $2,281 99¢ $2.0K -$299 11-06 10:40
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +2,042 $611 96¢ $1.9K +$1,339 11-08 20:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,569 94¢ $1.9K +$316 11-05 17:15
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +2,040 $1,353 88¢ $1.8K +$432 11-10 17:30
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 82¢ $1.7K -$130 11-12 02:26
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -1,600 -$1,313 98¢ $-1574 -$260 07-15 01:52
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,117 $786 95¢ $1.1K +$271 11-07 01:52
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026? No +1,177 $946 90¢ $1.1K +$108 11-04 11:48
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,510 $1,200 67¢ $1.0K -$188 11-10 18:44
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,000 -$1,294 99¢ $-990 +$304 06-06 14:43
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,001 $844 98¢ $985 +$141 11-11 08:21
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1,095 $172 88¢ $969 +$797 11-10 15:13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +970 $788 95¢ $918 +$130 10-29 17:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +879 $683 94¢ $822 +$139 11-04 12:39