Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

179

Trades

1,039

lifetime

Volume

$79.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-17

last 10-29 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Politics

64% 65% +$11,584

Other

31% 47% +$2,976

Tech

3% 50% +$990

Crypto

3% 33% +$2,051

Sports

0% 50% +$105

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes		+200	$32	1¢	$2	-$30	09-17 23:28
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No		+0	-$4	86¢	$0	+$4	07-16 22:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	34	$15.2K	10,069	10,069	+0	Yes	+$4,784	09-23 21:11
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	42	$5.9K	3,949	3,949	+0	Yes	+$1,501	09-01 16:41
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	142	$4.7K	12,598	11,597	+1,001	Yes	-$342	08-01 18:36
will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	16	$2.7K	2,558	2,558	+0	Yes	+$1,247	07-02 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	7	$2.1K	4,778	3,005	+1,773	Up	+$2,066	10-05 21:06
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	7	$1.9K	1,263	1,263	+0	Yes	+$478	08-29 22:30
crichundredw man sun 2026 08 11	5	$1.8K	1,100	1,100	+0	Sunrisers Leeds	+$328	08-11 17:47
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.8K	2,424	0	+2,424	open	—	10-29 16:17
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	4	$1.8K	1,860	0	+1,860	Yes	+$67	07-16 15:10
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	41	$1.7K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$1,724	07-18 03:01
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	18	$1.7K	4,702	4,502	+200	Yes	-$306	07-17 16:43
atp arsenea marti 2026 07 13	6	$1.6K	2,142	2,142	+0	Nicolas Arseneault	+$1,289	07-12 17:58
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?	11	$1.5K	1,409	1,409	+0	Yes	+$1,330	07-02 14:08
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	8	$1.3K	1,191	1,191	+0	No	+$1,012	07-16 23:14
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?	6	$1.3K	854	854	+0	No	+$187	07-24 16:30
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	13	$1.3K	3,663	3,663	+0	No	+$30	10-09 01:20
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	9	$1.2K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$797	08-02 18:17
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	61	$1.1K	36,637	36,637	+0	Yes	+$226	07-20 00:49
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	3	$1.1K	867	867	+0	Yes	+$552	09-21 20:13
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	7	$1.1K	1,114	1,114	-0	No	+$366	07-30 08:59
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	24	$1.1K	2,091	1,091	+1,000	No	+$545	07-28 02:23
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	30	$1.0K	1,271	1,271	+0	No	+$668	07-16 03:00
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	10	$947	1,024	1,024	+0	Yes	+$409	07-17 01:49
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	3	$944	1,497	0	+1,497	No	+$553	09-17 16:45
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	4	$890	2,094	2,094	+0	No	+$27	08-01 16:06
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	16	$772	7,069	6,648	+421	No	+$26	07-17 20:57
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	11	$770	1,224	1,224	+0	No	+$10	07-23 23:13
Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	7	$663	3,410	3,410	+0	Yes	-$564	09-01 13:41
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	6	$648	500	500	+0	No	+$58	07-17 23:10
Sher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar Soormas	16	$633	838	838	+0	Amritsar Soormas	+$184	09-09 10:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:17:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	520	75¢	$392	0xd838e4…
10-29 02:32:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,473	79¢	$1,164	0x3ee295…
10-22 13:00:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xfd86f9…
10-21 16:43:06	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0x884895…
10-21 16:39:50	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x9d0945…
10-21 16:17:54	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	500	27¢	$135	0x640b2b…
10-21 16:14:36	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x3e48c6…
10-19 00:49:59	Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	92	51¢	$47	0x9dbd7f…
10-14 15:52:18	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	129	8¢	$10	0xb44380…
10-14 15:52:06	Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	168	10¢	$18	0xdaa413…
10-12 21:23:32	LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	SELL	558	32¢	$179	0x6ba216…
10-12 21:21:59	LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	BUY	250	34¢	$85	0xeccab1…
10-12 21:21:24	LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	BUY	308	36¢	$112	0x3f4c5c…
10-12 02:21:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0xce6185…
10-11 22:00:42	Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	6,000	0¢	$30	0xd9996f…
10-09 01:20:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,663	18¢	$670	0x79c11b…
10-09 00:52:27	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	664	10¢	$66	0x128be9…
10-09 00:48:06	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	16¢	$178	0x11df74…
10-09 00:47:36	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,037	17¢	$176	0x985623…
10-09 00:47:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xf6888b…
10-09 00:47:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0xddb7e8…
10-09 00:47:24	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x81ba64…
10-09 00:47:23	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc25ed1…
10-09 00:47:20	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xbaab13…
10-09 00:47:20	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xad069a…
10-09 00:47:20	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x088cd2…
10-09 00:42:41	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	27¢	$80	0xc99eac…
10-09 00:39:11	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	479	27¢	$128	0x5e73ea…
10-08 11:51:03	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	440	50¢	$220	0x4de510…
10-07 21:52:40	Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,055	4¢	$43	0xabf595…
10-07 19:16:34	Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x11ea78…
10-07 12:39:10	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x55518d…
10-06 22:33:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	SELL	429	1¢	$5	0x667a6c…
10-06 22:32:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xbb9d7d…
10-06 22:00:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	109	34¢	$37	0xefcaa1…
10-06 21:48:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$65	0x290e8e…
10-06 21:40:42	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	66	39¢	$26	0x907a67…
10-06 21:37:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0xdc3c62…
10-06 21:29:05	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	SELL	240	65¢	$156	0x9ba9e2…
10-06 21:25:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x4907ef…
10-06 21:24:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb5e53d…
10-06 21:21:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	250	62¢	$155	0xd033cc…
10-05 21:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	1,768	0¢	$2	0xa3abf4…
10-05 21:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x56acc1…
10-05 19:57:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	414	41¢	$170	0xcb80a9…
10-05 18:10:38	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Up	SELL	3,005	69¢	$2,070	0x4620ba…
10-05 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x68b3da…
10-05 16:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	900	0¢	$1	0x22a6a3…
10-05 16:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x631e95…
10-05 16:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x443fd0…
10-04 13:24:01	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	73¢	$131	0xc35a19…
10-04 03:33:07	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	33¢	$48	0x4f5afd…
10-04 02:46:16	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x70dcc8…
10-04 02:35:53	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x037842…
10-04 02:00:43	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	31¢	$34	0x795f20…
10-04 01:03:04	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xb67d2d…
10-04 00:14:49	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x9bb0f9…
10-03 22:24:22	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x5fcc72…
10-03 22:11:47	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xee74c3…
10-03 21:45:14	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb3fd94…
09-30 23:48:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x542b66…
09-30 23:48:29	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	387	40¢	$156	0xe6cf6b…
09-30 09:29:59	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	95¢	$152	0x7ec579…
09-30 00:43:38	Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	91	11¢	$10	0xf503ed…
09-29 22:33:02	Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	170	11¢	$18	0xdcac49…
09-29 21:52:36	Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	205	13¢	$27	0x7cdce5…
09-29 21:28:30	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9ecdd2…
09-29 21:13:56	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	99	27¢	$27	0x8ca1e1…
09-29 21:13:44	Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x270a2e…
09-29 21:13:35	Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	173	15¢	$26	0xaa15a2…
09-29 21:02:56	Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	265	14¢	$38	0xff424f…
09-29 20:51:59	Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	168	18¢	$30	0xf49b8a…
09-29 15:46:35	Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,055	6¢	$63	0x8d66ee…
09-29 14:48:05	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xe21cfa…
09-29 12:16:36	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	410	37¢	$152	0xbdd2d0…
09-29 12:16:24	trump renames ai by december 31	Yes	BUY	233	54¢	$126	0x2da8a2…
09-28 13:46:02	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	71¢	$113	0x1fec32…
09-26 21:06:57	LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 3 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4d30ac…
09-25 21:12:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	210	79¢	$166	0xf4b7cc…
09-25 21:12:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	185	67¢	$124	0x588818…
09-25 20:59:29	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?	No	BUY	700	0¢	$2	0xb56042…
09-24 21:55:21	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	No	SELL	217	18¢	$39	0x55b4b9…
09-24 21:20:41	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	No	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xb3ab46…
09-24 21:11:56	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	No	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x8e80e4…
09-24 20:43:50	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	No	BUY	36	20¢	$7	0x95288e…
09-24 20:34:02	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	No	BUY	76	25¢	$19	0x6d51b3…
09-23 21:11:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,795	100¢	$2,792	0x3bf6df…
09-23 21:05:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,200	99¢	$4,162	0xab4708…
09-23 21:04:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,074	99¢	$3,050	0x81f387…
09-23 20:46:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x1e6a1c…
09-23 19:33:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe0e821…
09-23 18:52:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	56¢	$141	0xdb6523…
09-23 18:45:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0x7405d8…
09-23 18:44:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0x2b7803…
09-23 18:32:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x06af11…
09-23 18:07:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	51¢	$256	0x313fcb…
09-23 17:59:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xd97e0d…
09-23 17:55:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x0f40e2…
09-23 17:42:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	43¢	$67	0x249b17…
09-21 20:13:48	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	867	97¢	$839	0x828f97…