Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$293

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

30.8%

Resolved

869

Trades

2,731

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-12

last 10-28 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

73% 16% -$242

Politics

15% 15% -$49

Sports

6% 0% $0

Crypto

4% 50% +$0

Tech

2% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 336 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes		+20	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	10-28 09:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Team Secret Whales Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	7	$295	150	150	+0	No	+$0	10-24 10:57
Will Movistar KOI Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	5	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	10-28 10:10
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	6	$197	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	10-19 17:40
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	5	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	10-23 20:37
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	4	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	10-19 11:52
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	4	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	10-24 14:36
Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	4	$188	100	100	-0	open	—	10-21 10:09
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	4	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	10-18 21:12
Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	4	$186	100	100	+0	No	+$0	10-26 17:00
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	4	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	10-24 20:07
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	4	$182	100	100	+0	open	—	10-25 07:47
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?	5	$149	80	80	+0	Yes	-$4	10-21 08:11
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	11	$142	95	75	+20	Yes	$0	10-26 22:56
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?	7	$139	72	72	+0	open	—	10-18 08:55
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?	5	$136	76	76	+0	Yes	$0	10-19 08:01
Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	4	$127	70	70	-0	No	-$3	10-25 03:06
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	10-15 17:12
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy?	6	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 16:08
Will Daniel Jones finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR among qualified players?	8	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	10-23 22:01
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 16?	8	$114	60	60	+0	No	+$0	10-15 13:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	5	$113	64	57	+7	open	—	10-28 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 15?	10	$113	80	59	+21	No	+$0	10-15 08:22
Will C.J. Stroud be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$111	60	60	+0	open	—	10-25 19:55
will axis robotics launch a token by november 30 2026	4	$110	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	10-18 12:08
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	4	$110	57	57	+0	No	$0	10-22 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 15?	8	$106	58	53	+5	No	+$0	10-15 08:57
Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$104	60	56	+5	open	—	10-24 23:35
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	3	$100	54	54	+0	open	—	10-25 11:50
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-26 23:28
Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-26 23:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:49:08	Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1d37fb…
10-28 14:46:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,250,000 and 1,300,000?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x66a40e…
10-28 14:35:11	Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q1 total revenues be above $3.95B?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x79dbb3…
10-28 14:26:25	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3e77be…
10-28 14:24:55	Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x2ccc43…
10-28 14:05:05	Will Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x96e8bc…
10-28 13:47:40	Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xedbb2c…
10-28 13:46:08	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x14ff78…
10-28 13:33:14	Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8a6631…
10-28 13:29:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd3f0c7…
10-28 13:23:38	Will Green Bay Packers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x637866…
10-28 13:23:05	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe1fb22…
10-28 13:17:23	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xabdc2a…
10-28 13:14:58	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9c5d2c…
10-28 13:12:13	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0xdc29f6…
10-28 13:07:41	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by October 31?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa35ea1…
10-28 13:06:37	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by October 31?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0xa20937…
10-28 13:01:04	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x1f6c4b…
10-28 12:57:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x038173…
10-28 12:40:29	Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb9fe93…
10-28 12:21:11	Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3f2414…
10-28 12:20:43	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8c9d2a…
10-28 12:01:22	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf8c58f…
10-28 11:59:53	Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xf7f07b…
10-28 11:57:41	Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $20B?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc464c6…
10-28 11:57:10	Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $20B?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe1a7b5…
10-28 11:54:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x13b02d…
10-28 11:53:37	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd9a943…
10-28 11:44:56	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xd53e2f…
10-28 11:44:56	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x0b9139…
10-28 11:42:02	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in October?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x2fdf7d…
10-28 11:35:13	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x256a08…
10-28 11:35:04	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x44ccf1…
10-28 11:27:08	Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc82df3…
10-28 11:25:56	Will 95 or more unique champions be played at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xfb6735…
10-28 11:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb110cb…
10-28 11:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7c3b54…
10-28 10:53:23	Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd24297…
10-28 10:45:56	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xa77643…
10-28 10:35:40	Will Oklahoma have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x9be0a1…
10-28 10:34:29	Will Oklahoma have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x3a2c69…
10-28 10:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xafee7a…
10-28 10:32:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 35% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x93e995…
10-28 10:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe2b83b…
10-28 10:30:04	Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xfa14d3…
10-28 10:28:23	Will Moldova participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x645474…
10-28 10:26:56	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xd36cc9…
10-28 10:25:49	Will 95 or more unique champions be played at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5b40b9…
10-28 10:19:17	Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x100182…
10-28 10:19:11	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4146e4…
10-28 10:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x873461…
10-28 10:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfaa75b…
10-28 10:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C or below on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf8e12d…
10-28 10:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C or below on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x897216…
10-28 10:12:11	Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x538c74…
10-28 10:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x327bf1…
10-28 10:10:32	Will Movistar KOI Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xa89823…
10-28 10:10:19	Will Movistar KOI Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3c696b…
10-28 10:09:17	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x94878c…
10-28 10:07:04	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xd5e61f…
10-28 10:06:52	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x00af21…
10-28 10:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 28?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xd0c2f2…
10-28 10:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 28?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xe49982…
10-28 10:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 28?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xa26464…
10-28 10:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x1adf0e…
10-28 10:02:47	Will Movistar KOI Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xc74999…
10-28 09:56:58	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc33d87…
10-28 09:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x943d49…
10-28 09:53:40	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $159 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb459e8…
10-28 09:52:43	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb35b4e…
10-28 09:52:40	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $159 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x12ef06…
10-28 09:51:38	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $159 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc72ae9…
10-28 09:43:34	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0d93ad…
10-28 09:40:55	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf1325f…
10-28 09:37:43	Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x23e80f…
10-28 09:37:01	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0xadb7fb…
10-28 09:30:28	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xee06af…
10-28 09:14:53	highest temperature in istanbul on october 30 2026 10corbelow	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3a7dfa…
10-28 09:14:40	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 29?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x34d76d…
10-28 09:14:26	highest temperature in jeddah on october 30 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x01bc69…
10-28 09:13:59	highest temperature in moscow on october 30 2026 4c	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2cab81…
10-28 09:13:50	highest temperature in moscow on october 30 2026 6c	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3ff6b4…
10-28 09:13:40	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x51ba24…
10-28 09:13:38	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x02ac78…
10-28 09:12:47	highest temperature in lucknow on october 30 2026 28corhigher	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xff8205…
10-28 09:07:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xad1e53…
10-28 09:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6f3e28…
10-28 09:01:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xa99d8c…
10-28 08:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x935932…
10-28 08:12:16	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in October?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x125f63…
10-28 08:10:52	highest temperature in london on october 30 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe720d8…
10-28 08:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc34fa3…
10-28 08:10:29	highest temperature in seoul on october 30 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc13393…
10-28 08:10:25	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x627d44…
10-28 08:06:50	highest temperature in ankara on october 30 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3d9274…
10-28 08:04:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xeac260…
10-28 07:58:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x861833…
10-28 07:48:34	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xf8d96e…
10-28 07:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xe83ec2…
10-28 07:46:35	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x08965a…