Realized P&L
+$2.56K
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
1,776
Trades
5,817
lifetime
Volume
$370.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$6.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 23:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 287 days
Categories
Other
76% 70% +$1,261
Politics
14% 72% -$890
Sports
8% 67% +$2,454
Crypto
1% 76% -$211
Tech
0% 67% -$51
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4,000 $760 22¢ $860 +$100 07-17 14:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $383 99¢ $398 +$15 07-01 14:18
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +400 $386 98¢ $391 +$5 08-19 17:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -400 -$324 96¢ $-385 -$61 05-08 12:58
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -400 -$386 95¢ $-380 +$6 10-17 22:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -400 -$352 82¢ $-328 +$24 07-11 16:51
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +300 $279 97¢ $292 +$13 06-03 14:37
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +300 $210 86¢ $260 +$50 07-23 19:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +650 $227 34¢ $221 -$6 09-01 20:37
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +204 $200 98¢ $199 -$1 10-27 21:43
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -200 -$197 97¢ $-194 +$3 10-12 23:30
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $175 77¢ $192 +$18 10-25 23:21
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +235 $186 80¢ $189 +$4 10-27 19:56
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,000 $150 9¢ $189 +$39 07-17 14:29
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,600 $164 11¢ $168 +$4 10-16 11:29
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +150 $142 97¢ $146 +$4 07-10 16:20
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +150 $127 92¢ $139 +$11 07-01 15:02
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $33 42¢ $126 +$93 07-07 12:50
No one announced as next James Bond? No +150 $105 77¢ $116 +$11 10-16 16:30
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +113 $82 97¢ $109 +$27 08-10 18:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +110 $97 98¢ $108 +$11 10-20 15:24
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +120 $60 85¢ $102 +$42 07-18 14:13
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +118 $82 82¢ $96 +$14 08-10 16:14
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +150 $111 62¢ $92 -$19 10-08 21:20
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +100 $92 91¢ $91 -$1 08-06 15:12
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,500 $54 5¢ $71 +$17 07-17 14:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +250 $62 26¢ $64 +$1 09-30 14:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $408 8¢ $60 -$348 07-04 18:15
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +800 $96 7¢ $57 -$39 08-17 04:53
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $80 4¢ $45 -$35 08-06 21:38