Ballon d'Or 2026: Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi to finish higher?
Yamal won
Total volume
$1,059
$1,006 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$205
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-10-26
last 10-26 23:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $892
vs crowd: 96% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $259 | $4 | +$255 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $749 | $0 | +$749 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $82 | $3 | +$80 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $12 | $38 | $26 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $890 | $2 | +$887 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $57 | $1 | +$55 |
| Median | 3 | — | $17 | $17 |
| Below median | 7 | $94 | $22 | +$73 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $30 | $2 | +$28 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $32 | $2 | +$30 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurtful-Cuisine 0xc56b…0e6d | Yamal | +695 | $663 | $663 | 10 | 10-26 20:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xee79…be98 | Messi | +267 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-26 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0f9…45d1 | Messi | +201 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-26 18:38 |
| Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Messi | +135 | -$1 | $3 | 11 | 10-26 23:06 |
| Witty-Conviction 0x134a…9e42 | Yamal | +129 | $126 | $126 | 1 | 10-26 18:31 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Messi | +116 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 23:00 |
| P1kaso 0x4aef…9337 | Yamal | +108 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 10-26 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbc9…7225 | Messi | +108 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-26 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9568…397d | Messi | +98 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-26 15:35 |
| Clear-Dollar 0x34ea…3955 | Yamal | +82 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 10-26 22:59 |
| Trivial-Idea 0x555c…ee28 | Yamal | +57 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 10-26 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Messi | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 23:06 |
| Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Messi | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 17:28 |
| Happy-Shaker 0xb9dd…ca07 | Messi | +39 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 14:15 |
| Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | Yamal | +32 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-26 22:16 |
| Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | Yamal | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-26 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x71bb…7b21 | Messi | +29 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf02b…d5a3 | Messi | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 16:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fcd…82d2 | Messi | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 20:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x986d…741a | Yamal | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-26 21:28 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Messi | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f9d…f5c0 | Yamal | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 18:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 23:06:53 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Messi | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc911d7… |
| 10-26 23:06:53 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Messi | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc911d7… |
| 10-26 23:06:53 | Trivial-Idea 0x555c…ee28 | Yamal | BUY | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0xc911d7… |
| 10-26 23:00:18 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Messi | SELL | 116 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf68cbc… |
| 10-26 23:00:18 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Messi | BUY | 116 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf68cbc… |
| 10-26 22:59:48 | Clear-Dollar 0x34ea…3955 | Yamal | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xe57afe… |
| 10-26 22:59:48 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Messi | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe57afe… |
| 10-26 22:59:29 | Clear-Dollar 0x34ea…3955 | Yamal | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0xc31210… |
| 10-26 22:59:29 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Messi | BUY | 65 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc31210… |
| 10-26 22:54:45 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Messi | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe94108… |
| 10-26 22:54:45 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Messi | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe94108… |
| 10-26 22:54:45 | Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | Yamal | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xe94108… |
| 10-26 22:16:36 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | Yamal | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x924506… |
| 10-26 22:16:36 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Messi | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x924506… |
| 10-26 21:28:14 | (anonymous) 0x986d…741a | Yamal | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1e49e4… |
| 10-26 21:28:14 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Messi | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1e49e4… |
| 10-26 21:28:14 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Messi | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1e49e4… |
| 10-26 21:03:42 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Messi | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a6ac2… |
| 10-26 21:03:42 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | Yamal | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x0a6ac2… |
| 10-26 20:48:54 | (anonymous) 0xfbc9…7225 | Messi | BUY | 108 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xe014ff… |
| 10-26 20:48:54 | P1kaso 0x4aef…9337 | Yamal | BUY | 108 | 94¢ | $101 | 0xe014ff… |
| 10-26 20:09:38 | Hurtful-Cuisine 0xc56b…0e6d | Yamal | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xee3488… |
| 10-26 20:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x0fcd…82d2 | Messi | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xee3488… |
| 10-26 20:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x71bb…7b21 | Messi | BUY | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xc99da5… |
| 10-26 20:02:23 | Hurtful-Cuisine 0xc56b…0e6d | Yamal | BUY | 29 | 93¢ | $27 | 0xc99da5… |
| 10-26 18:38:35 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Messi | SELL | 31 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x3e160c… |
| 10-26 18:38:35 | (anonymous) 0xd0f9…45d1 | Messi | BUY | 201 | 7¢ | $14 | 0x3e160c… |
| 10-26 18:38:35 | Hurtful-Cuisine 0xc56b…0e6d | Yamal | BUY | 170 | 93¢ | $158 | 0x3e160c… |
| 10-26 18:31:39 | Witty-Conviction 0x134a…9e42 | Yamal | BUY | 129 | 98¢ | $126 | 0x06f28e… |
| 10-26 18:31:39 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Messi | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x06f28e… |
| 10-26 18:31:39 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Messi | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x06f28e… |
| 10-26 18:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x0f9d…f5c0 | Yamal | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x5ca68e… |
| 10-26 18:10:08 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Messi | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5ca68e… |
| 10-26 17:28:03 | Hurtful-Cuisine 0xc56b…0e6d | Yamal | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x75f526… |
| 10-26 17:28:03 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Messi | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x75f526… |
| 10-26 16:43:51 | (anonymous) 0xee79…be98 | Messi | BUY | 267 | 4¢ | $10 | 0xf17a71… |
| 10-26 16:43:51 | Hurtful-Cuisine 0xc56b…0e6d | Yamal | BUY | 201 | 96¢ | $193 | 0xf17a71… |
| 10-26 16:42:00 | Hurtful-Cuisine 0xc56b…0e6d | Yamal | BUY | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x3ea73b… |
| 10-26 16:42:00 | (anonymous) 0xf02b…d5a3 | Messi | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3ea73b… |
| 10-26 15:35:39 | Hurtful-Cuisine 0xc56b…0e6d | Yamal | BUY | 98 | 96¢ | $94 | 0xf409f7… |
| 10-26 15:35:39 | (anonymous) 0x9568…397d | Messi | BUY | 98 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xf409f7… |
| 10-26 14:15:27 | Hurtful-Cuisine 0xc56b…0e6d | Yamal | BUY | 39 | 96¢ | $37 | 0xd68565… |
| 10-26 14:15:27 | Happy-Shaker 0xb9dd…ca07 | Messi | BUY | 39 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd68565… |