Witty-Conviction 0x134a63…b09e42
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$146.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$31.6K
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved
1,360
Trades
11,697
lifetime
Volume
$8.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$690
Open exposure
$241.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 07:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Other
47% 90% -$113,597
Politics
37% 88% +$345,798
Sports
11% 70% -$95,250
Crypto
4% 100% +$9,055
Tech
0% 83% -$165
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$475
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +55,597 $44,419 88¢ $49.2K +$4,784 10-29 17:53
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +42,727 $17,437 60¢ $25.8K +$8,413 10-19 10:25
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +49,825 $25,909 50¢ $25.2K -$747 10-15 23:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +38,238 $60,946 60¢ $22.8K -$38,195 10-29 17:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +57,180 $36,119 40¢ $22.6K -$13,476 10-03 21:11
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +31,545 $12,474 67¢ $21.0K +$8,550 10-27 13:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17,151 -$14,050 82¢ $-14064 -$14 06-11 17:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +14,616 $982 90¢ $13.1K +$12,099 10-27 23:09
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +8,061 $6,530 99¢ $8.0K +$1,427 10-19 02:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +9,150 $5,682 72¢ $6.5K +$861 10-20 23:39
trump renames new mexico to new america by december 31 2026 No +7,022 $6,461 92¢ $6.5K +$0 09-08 15:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +8,642 $3,489 59¢ $5.1K +$1,636 10-01 06:49
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +6,993 $1,961 52¢ $3.6K +$1,679 10-24 21:48
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +6,681 $3,637 48¢ $3.2K -$434 10-22 17:37
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +2,400 $1,872 100¢ $2.4K +$526 08-17 13:27
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +20,686 $2,982 12¢ $2.4K -$604 10-30 07:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,098 $1,720 92¢ $1.9K +$210 10-19 03:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +62,082 $10,529 2¢ $1.6K -$8,977 10-28 18:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +14,616 $11,108 11¢ $1.5K -$9,573 06-11 19:42
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +3,833 $1,604 40¢ $1.5K -$90 10-28 16:29
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +1,313 $713 86¢ $1.1K +$410 08-12 01:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +1,406 $1,106 62¢ $865 -$241 10-01 04:28
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +704 $361 86¢ $602 +$241 08-12 01:32
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +495 $154 96¢ $478 +$324 08-23 15:27
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? No +9,532 $472 3¢ $243 -$229 10-14 16:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +2,098 $323 8¢ $168 -$155 10-20 18:04
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +146 $91 99¢ $145 +$54 10-23 17:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +398 $176 20¢ $82 -$95 10-27 10:27
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +76 $35 46¢ $35 +$0 10-15 09:46
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,142 $4 1¢ $28 +$24 10-27 11:15