Witty-Conviction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.34K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

9,172

lifetime

Volume

$6.28M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$685

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 07:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$0

Politics

33% 96% $-2,341

Sports

9% 100% +$1

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 1152 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	94	$500.2K	343,327	172,574	+170,753	open	—	04-01 18:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	383	$480.9K	351,226	310,797	+40,428	open	—	07-28 21:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	493	$416.3K	246,747	245,211	+1,537	open	—	07-14 20:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	65	$317.5K	161,888	167,990	-6,101	open	—	07-04 03:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	80	$286.9K	305,934	38,379	+267,555	open	—	06-03 23:15
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	103	$232.1K	267,742	0	+267,742	open	—	08-09 01:33
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	478	$216.1K	502,896	0	+502,896	open	—	07-19 21:44
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	4	$186.1K	379,750	0	+379,750	open	—	07-05 23:59
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	153	$183.5K	166,236	24,455	+141,781	open	—	04-30 23:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$177.4K	160,000	18,000	+142,000	open	—	04-07 14:40
Spurs vs. Thunder	1,120	$175.9K	308,677	0	+308,677	open	—	05-30 23:48
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	130	$140.7K	94,632	94,632	+0	open	—	01-31 14:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	115	$115.0K	293,281	19,261	+274,020	open	—	06-16 06:52
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	14	$100.8K	160,000	160,000	+0	open	—	07-12 01:46
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	152	$98.3K	193,407	54,343	+139,064	open	—	07-09 19:57
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$95.9K	95,617	617	+95,000	open	—	04-30 23:47
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	45	$75.3K	77,138	0	+77,138	open	—	03-08 22:39
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	90	$73.6K	160,000	0	+160,000	open	—	07-15 16:37
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	38	$71.9K	113,868	16,455	+97,413	open	—	08-09 17:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	140	$57.1K	152,377	18,655	+133,721	open	—	05-30 04:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	61	$57.0K	78,687	0	+78,687	open	—	08-09 04:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	92	$56.4K	85,754	460	+85,294	open	—	05-16 23:05
will trump say iran 5 times during monday press conference	4	$55.7K	56,067	0	+56,067	open	—	03-09 23:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	240	$49.2K	94,269	36,259	+58,010	open	—	06-15 00:45
will trump visit china by march 31	14	$48.7K	24,935	24,935	+0	open	—	03-29 16:32
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	37	$45.9K	49,856	0	+49,856	open	—	08-01 03:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$44.4K	18,555	34,710	-16,156	open	—	06-11 17:45
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	58	$41.0K	53,775	13,659	+40,116	open	—	06-14 22:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	24	$39.3K	90,734	8,619	+82,115	open	—	06-14 21:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	73	$37.5K	25,000	23,098	+1,902	open	—	04-21 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 07:47:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7,631	25¢	$1,908	0xdcb8e2…
08-10 07:44:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xaca7c0…
08-10 07:44:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xf9b00a…
08-10 07:43:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x70071a…
08-10 07:42:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x1e937f…
08-10 07:25:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	267	25¢	$67	0x98f285…
08-10 07:24:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x5a7553…
08-10 07:23:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x071753…
08-10 04:03:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	3,000	90¢	$2,700	0x2c3fda…
08-10 03:15:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa7aea0…
08-10 02:35:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8b03d2…
08-10 02:35:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5966b7…
08-10 02:28:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	136	82¢	$112	0xd3c422…
08-10 02:26:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	399	82¢	$327	0x0cbcba…
08-10 02:08:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	140	82¢	$115	0x8ac86d…
08-10 01:57:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	306	82¢	$251	0x5a9e13…
08-10 01:36:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xb5467a…
08-10 01:36:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x8ac1bd…
08-10 01:33:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x88ae6f…
08-10 01:32:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	600	82¢	$492	0x650d3b…
08-10 01:32:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x90e3f5…
08-10 01:32:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x7e5b47…
08-10 01:31:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	147	82¢	$121	0x71912e…
08-10 00:53:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	8,000	83¢	$6,640	0xc9a9e1…
08-10 00:05:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	44	90¢	$39	0x3cfa9e…
08-10 00:05:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd671a1…
08-09 17:01:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	25,000	91¢	$22,750	0xe9227a…
08-09 11:01:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	134	15¢	$20	0x313c82…
08-09 10:50:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	11,142	84¢	$9,337	0x01ce40…
08-09 04:04:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	6,000	78¢	$4,680	0xbe78fb…
08-09 01:33:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	22,000	93¢	$20,460	0x717b14…
08-09 00:51:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0x4dcded…
08-09 00:37:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x151f33…
08-08 23:04:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x52f9a4…
08-08 18:10:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x6f57bd…
08-08 18:10:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0xcc350c…
08-08 18:10:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x94844b…
08-08 18:10:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x30f536…
08-08 18:10:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x9aa7f9…
08-08 18:08:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	25,000	91¢	$22,750	0x1f5d0d…
08-08 18:05:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	4,000	74¢	$2,960	0xa32c27…
08-08 17:40:51	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 8 20260730202035444	Yes	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x2547b4…
08-08 11:36:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xd20340…
08-08 11:36:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	899	87¢	$782	0x9236ac…
08-08 11:36:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfddbe7…
08-08 11:36:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3c27be…
08-08 11:36:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x38ce27…
08-08 11:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x2870d9…
08-08 11:25:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	202	87¢	$176	0x41051e…
08-08 11:25:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x82d785…
08-08 11:25:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xe8974c…
08-08 11:25:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x97efeb…
08-08 11:15:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x4cb1ac…
08-08 10:54:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	462	87¢	$402	0x5f2644…
08-08 10:37:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	111	87¢	$97	0x6296b3…
08-08 10:36:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xd25536…
08-08 10:36:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x9dc9dd…
08-08 10:30:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x051db1…
08-08 10:30:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	357	87¢	$311	0x8592ae…
08-08 10:29:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x38cfed…
08-08 10:29:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,825	87¢	$1,588	0x89dc26…
08-08 10:29:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x6ad36c…
08-08 10:29:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x5923d1…
08-08 10:00:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	214	87¢	$186	0xeecab9…
08-08 06:57:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	4,500	41¢	$1,845	0x8882e6…
08-08 06:56:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	4,500	41¢	$1,845	0x0b818b…
08-08 06:55:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	3,000	73¢	$2,190	0xcf9e61…
08-08 06:49:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6,000	11¢	$660	0x90cdfc…
08-08 06:47:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	4,539	83¢	$3,767	0xaba124…
08-08 06:47:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	3,709	95¢	$3,524	0x997abc…
08-08 06:47:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	5,915	95¢	$5,619	0xfbc654…
08-08 06:46:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	8,592	90¢	$7,696	0x62ed07…
08-08 06:45:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	7,056	83¢	$5,856	0x7d3ab4…
08-08 03:20:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	769	89¢	$685	0xf8f126…
08-08 03:20:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	423	86¢	$364	0x95efc1…
08-08 03:19:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	460	82¢	$377	0xf2a775…
08-08 02:03:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	25,000	87¢	$21,750	0x98b23b…
08-08 01:56:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	11,000	87¢	$9,570	0xef0937…
08-08 01:41:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12,260	87¢	$10,666	0x95db63…
08-08 00:57:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x69bf81…
08-08 00:36:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xce5746…
08-08 00:33:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x08dd8a…
08-08 00:23:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc01448…
08-08 00:09:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5b6f4b…
08-07 23:43:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x4bcbd0…
08-07 23:38:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xa39af0…
08-07 23:20:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,888	23¢	$434	0xa2b843…
08-07 23:15:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	19,413	2¢	$393	0x95c7b2…
08-07 22:41:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xee0fbe…
08-07 22:34:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	2,214	73¢	$1,617	0x3ea539…
08-07 22:16:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	812	73¢	$593	0xfc1dfb…
08-07 22:16:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5f17ee…
08-07 22:12:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x610209…
08-07 22:12:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1e019b…
08-07 21:59:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	10,000	73¢	$7,300	0xa65ab6…
08-07 21:46:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6415e2…
08-07 21:30:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,300	87¢	$1,131	0xc017af…
08-07 21:22:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0xd69ac5…
08-07 21:20:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,706	87¢	$1,485	0x369d8d…
08-07 21:20:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,275	87¢	$1,980	0xc865d0…