Hurtful-Cuisine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.81K

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

132

Trades

2,496

lifetime

Volume

$439.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

$38.8K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

49% 81% +$9,027

Politics

37% 56% +$66

Crypto

9% 70% -$1,301

Sports

4% 25% -$15

Tech

1% 67% +$202

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+31,077	$32,788	96¢	$29.8K	-$2,954	10-28 14:52
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+49,606	$8,358	18¢	$8.7K	+$323	10-21 22:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,273	$457	16¢	$197	-$259	09-21 09:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+180	$49	22¢	$39	-$10	09-21 08:38
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	-40	-$19	12¢	$-5	+$15	05-01 17:59
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+0	-$78	99¢	$0	+$78	10-27 23:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	77	$62.1K	52,289	21,212	+31,077	open	—	10-28 14:52
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	85	$34.9K	22,061	14,880	+7,181	Yes	+$936	03-18 09:41
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	30	$33.9K	26,578	8,216	+18,362	Yes	+$10	09-22 15:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	99	$29.3K	21,675	22,103	-429	Yes	-$831	04-08 13:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	21	$28.2K	16,706	12,005	+4,701	Yes	+$225	04-26 15:35
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	76	$15.1K	67,273	17,667	+49,606	open	—	10-21 22:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	8	$14.9K	7,548	7,548	+0	No	+$130	06-16 08:23
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	14	$12.3K	7,727	5,000	+2,727	Yes	+$453	01-28 19:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	27	$11.1K	13,429	0	+13,429	Yes	+$2,338	07-26 16:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	18	$11.0K	15,074	500	+14,574	Yes	+$3,812	09-16 17:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	9	$10.6K	8,887	2,350	+6,537	Yes	+$372	04-07 23:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	11	$10.2K	11,091	11,091	+0	open	—	10-28 10:45
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	35	$9.1K	2,822	6,421	-3,599	Yes	+$75	06-16 05:25
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	7	$8.4K	5,758	2,858	+2,900	No	+$166	02-28 06:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	9	$7.5K	7,625	0	+7,625	Yes	+$107	06-16 08:35
will sophia chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	25	$6.5K	6,382	356	+6,026	Yes	+$134	03-18 20:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	7	$6.3K	6,576	0	+6,576	Yes	+$264	06-16 05:25
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	4	$6.3K	6,337	0	+6,337	Yes	+$72	09-22 15:31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	20	$5.1K	5,183	600	+4,583	Yes	+$362	10-14 20:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	11	$4.4K	2,262	2,262	+0	Yes	+$81	05-31 17:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	39	$4.4K	11,365	11,365	+0	open	—	09-19 21:20
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	49	$4.1K	4,371	0	+4,371	Yes	+$263	03-23 05:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$4.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$1,300	09-10 13:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	17	$3.9K	1,240	2,709	-1,469	Yes	+$17	06-14 21:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$3.7K	2,149	2,149	+0	Yes	-$143	02-27 10:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:40 UTC	55	$3.3K	3,978	0	+3,978	Down	-$361	03-01 16:44
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	9	$3.2K	1,048	2,245	-1,197	No	+$33	06-15 19:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	11	$2.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	10-05 14:53
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	44	$2.9K	3,052	0	+3,052	No	+$174	10-26 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:45 UTC	22	$2.7K	1,363	1,363	+0	Down	+$63	03-01 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:52:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,345	95¢	$3,164	0xdb45bd…
10-28 13:12:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,372	95¢	$1,300	0xb22861…
10-28 10:45:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,955	44¢	$1,300	0x210abe…
10-28 10:05:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	302	95¢	$287	0xa0cc37…
10-28 10:05:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	767	95¢	$728	0x2fa754…
10-28 02:47:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	199	96¢	$190	0x681463…
10-28 02:47:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,245	96¢	$1,190	0x441b35…
10-28 00:19:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	548	96¢	$524	0x54fd51…
10-28 00:19:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe4d457…
10-28 00:17:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,300	44¢	$1,012	0x05f7c5…
10-28 00:00:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd1f1e8…
10-27 23:03:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,055	91¢	$960	0x5f19ce…
10-27 23:03:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xc1971d…
10-27 23:03:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xadd87c…
10-27 23:03:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x79a96b…
10-27 23:03:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x033356…
10-27 23:02:35	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x68509b…
10-27 23:02:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9cefe0…
10-27 23:02:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x65e984…
10-27 23:02:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xfd9550…
10-27 23:02:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xd46604…
10-27 23:02:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	26	91¢	$23	0x4c4f72…
10-27 23:02:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x3f689f…
10-27 23:02:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xefbb0b…
10-27 23:02:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc40491…
10-27 23:02:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb2d7bd…
10-27 23:02:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xd5efb7…
10-27 23:02:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x45a7a6…
10-27 22:54:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x52a722…
10-27 22:50:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x98f78d…
10-27 22:46:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,255	47¢	$2,000	0x319b54…
10-27 20:08:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x39cde3…
10-27 20:08:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,230	85¢	$1,046	0x0d2bf9…
10-27 20:07:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xc4568c…
10-27 19:52:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,571	30¢	$1,071	0xda3111…
10-27 19:51:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,264	77¢	$1,743	0x5edc51…
10-27 19:19:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,571	28¢	$1,000	0xc3e7c0…
10-27 17:43:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	292	76¢	$222	0x3134d4…
10-27 17:43:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x3924ab…
10-27 17:43:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	972	76¢	$739	0x29c1b6…
10-27 17:24:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0xb3386e…
10-27 16:04:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,358	94¢	$6,008	0xa57da0…
10-27 16:04:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x93ed2c…
10-27 16:03:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	94¢	$43	0xcdd0b4…
10-27 16:01:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	810	94¢	$765	0xe2e679…
10-27 16:01:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	94¢	$284	0x3ea914…
10-27 16:01:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x6ebf24…
10-27 15:58:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	104	94¢	$98	0x8fcbbd…
10-27 15:55:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0x596028…
10-27 15:49:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x13faee…
10-27 10:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0xf70afc…
10-27 10:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xa6d5ac…
10-27 10:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,647	93¢	$2,459	0x5700ec…
10-27 10:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x5153a0…
10-27 10:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x37abf7…
10-27 10:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x207bbb…
10-27 10:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,096	93¢	$1,018	0x039ea8…
10-27 09:58:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,625	93¢	$1,518	0x496731…
10-27 06:41:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	165	94¢	$154	0x5d053a…
10-27 06:41:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x92774d…
10-27 06:41:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x0f21cf…
10-27 06:41:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	202	94¢	$189	0xa5b5c5…
10-27 06:41:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x4eeb63…
10-27 06:37:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xa1cbf6…
10-27 05:39:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x55523a…
10-27 05:29:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xee7b67…
10-27 05:12:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	242	94¢	$226	0x1dd388…
10-27 05:12:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	467	94¢	$437	0x69ddb7…
10-27 05:12:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	191	94¢	$179	0x029ce0…
10-27 05:08:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,250	94¢	$1,170	0xb806bf…
10-27 04:34:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	325	94¢	$305	0xf9c450…
10-27 04:34:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	391	94¢	$366	0xf6c2e3…
10-27 04:34:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0x01be62…
10-27 04:34:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	391	94¢	$366	0x8f6a3f…
10-27 04:29:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe679e7…
10-27 04:28:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x2f804b…
10-27 04:17:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	296	94¢	$278	0x8362e1…
10-27 04:17:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	308	94¢	$289	0xf755b0…
10-27 04:17:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	188	94¢	$176	0xc0583c…
10-27 04:16:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	304	94¢	$285	0x4ed24c…
10-27 04:16:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	666	94¢	$624	0x08b783…
10-27 04:16:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0xb15fce…
10-27 04:16:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	391	94¢	$366	0x0a8722…
10-26 22:55:30	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf7d11e…
10-26 22:54:36	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x72c0d6…
10-26 22:34:27	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	95	93¢	$88	0x5dab70…
10-26 22:34:27	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x01c9c7…
10-26 22:34:17	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xe62f9d…
10-26 22:34:15	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xe5cda1…
10-26 22:32:42	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$24	0xbdb352…
10-26 22:32:42	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x59249d…
10-26 22:31:44	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x069136…
10-26 22:17:45	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x69bdd4…
10-26 22:16:51	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x259145…
10-26 22:08:47	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xee935a…
10-26 22:08:11	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xacbc53…
10-26 22:07:53	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x01f1c8…
10-26 22:07:17	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb787bf…
10-26 22:02:24	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	BUY	283	70¢	$198	0x054fc7…
10-26 21:47:30	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x351c6b…