Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6eab3…bc0a00
whale hot 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$17.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.27K
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
191
Trades
6,375
lifetime
Volume
$2.45M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$384
Open exposure
$77.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 17:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
62% 80% +$12,351
Crypto
19% 76% +$2,472
Sports
11% 90% +$2,312
Politics
7% 73% +$104
Tech
2% 75% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +29,547 $29,159 100¢ $29.4K +$270 10-20 11:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +9,749 $8,908 96¢ $9.4K +$456 10-23 13:01
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +7,968 $1,773 76¢ $6.0K +$4,243 10-13 06:45
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +4,481 $4,271 96¢ $4.3K +$33 10-22 17:55
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +3,762 $3,579 93¢ $3.5K -$88 10-27 02:13
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +3,550 $3,277 92¢ $3.3K +$3 10-20 18:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,000 $2,988 100¢ $3.0K +$2 10-27 19:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +3,157 $2,552 89¢ $2.8K +$258 10-23 22:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +2,499 $2,294 90¢ $2.3K -$33 10-27 17:12
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,017 $1,912 96¢ $1.9K +$19 10-26 21:27
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +6,998 $5,199 26¢ $1.8K -$3,362 10-24 16:07
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +1,933 $1,773 92¢ $1.8K +$5 10-21 12:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,477 82¢ $1.6K +$153 10-27 14:32
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,588 $1,544 97¢ $1.5K +$3 10-27 12:07
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,503 76¢ $1.5K +$27 10-24 19:38
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,000 $904 92¢ $915 +$11 10-27 06:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,800 $865 22¢ $817 -$48 10-25 00:50
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +2,007 $292 14¢ $281 -$11 10-24 12:10
US recession by end of 2026? No +300 -$1,236 92¢ $278 +$1,513 10-25 23:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,500 $480 4¢ $157 -$322 10-16 21:16
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes -3,199 -$643 3¢ $-101 +$542 10-16 12:08
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +70 $69 99¢ $69 +$0 05-21 12:56
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +60 $59 99¢ $60 +$1 10-22 22:08
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +5,334 $345 1¢ $51 -$295 09-10 23:30
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +1,418 $88 3¢ $40 -$48 10-24 07:54
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -70 -$13 18¢ $-13 +$0 05-21 13:14
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +6,826 $55 0¢ $10 -$45 10-08 11:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -70 -$3 13¢ $-9 -$6 05-21 13:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -70 -$11 12¢ $-8 +$3 05-21 13:05
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +3,259 $18 0¢ $8 -$10 09-17 18:06