Ironclad-Will 0xc6fa9a…d551e5
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7.89K
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
9,897
Trades
39,604
lifetime
Volume
$451.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$4.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-29 19:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 282 days
Categories
Other
56% 59% -$6,564
Sports
34% 54% +$1,417
Crypto
5% 57% -$1,817
Politics
4% 58% -$1,236
Tech
0% 68% +$314
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 985 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +986 $633 57¢ $566 -$68 09-21 16:51
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +848 $248 30¢ $259 +$11 10-21 11:52
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +343 $277 75¢ $257 -$20 10-23 03:43
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +216 $193 88¢ $189 -$4 10-01 20:37
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +184 $150 99¢ $182 +$32 10-17 23:36
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +571 $243 30¢ $174 -$68 10-18 16:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +174 $137 97¢ $169 +$32 10-14 20:27
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +255 $152 64¢ $165 +$13 10-20 22:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +158 $152 98¢ $155 +$3 10-25 19:44
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +169 $155 84¢ $143 -$12 10-05 08:28
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +383 $51 37¢ $141 +$91 09-04 12:43
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +270 $82 48¢ $131 +$49 10-21 23:57
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +188 $116 66¢ $125 +$9 10-11 04:53
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +135 $120 90¢ $123 +$2 09-17 06:59
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +176 $118 70¢ $122 +$4 10-29 11:54
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +256 $80 46¢ $119 +$40 10-09 14:10
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +145 $129 82¢ $118 -$11 10-18 20:29
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +120 $113 96¢ $115 +$1 09-06 03:46
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +221 $61 48¢ $105 +$43 09-21 12:02
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +162 $100 64¢ $104 +$4 10-17 23:36
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +391 $210 26¢ $104 -$106 09-15 15:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +124 $85 82¢ $103 +$18 09-23 07:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +118 $85 86¢ $102 +$17 09-22 20:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +116 $97 86¢ $99 +$3 10-25 23:35
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +141 $80 70¢ $98 +$18 10-10 17:28
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +112 $93 86¢ $97 +$4 10-01 20:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +253 $97 35¢ $89 -$7 10-29 04:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +111 $95 80¢ $89 -$6 10-06 01:13
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +95 $80 93¢ $88 +$8 10-14 20:27
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,557 $98 5¢ $79 -$19 10-18 19:30