Ironclad-Will — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$356

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$126

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-05 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

82% 60% +$15

Other

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	+51	$37	72¢	$37	$-0	05-05 17:19
Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	+35	$31	84¢	$30	$-1	05-05 01:10
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	+47	$29	60¢	$28	$-0	05-05 01:54
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	+35	$20	60¢	$21	+$1	05-05 03:09
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	+18	$10	58¢	$10	$-0	05-05 17:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Flyers vs. Hurricanes	6	$66	174	+174	Hurricanes	$-40	05-05 02:20
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	3	$43	95	+95	San Francisco Giants	+$52	05-05 01:24
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$37	51	+51	open	—	05-05 17:19
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	3	$34	57	+57	Golden Knights	+$23	05-05 02:39
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$31	32	+32	Knicks	+$1	05-05 01:24
Lakers vs. Thunder	3	$31	35	+35	open	—	05-05 01:10
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$29	47	+47	open	—	05-05 01:54
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$21	46	+46	Seattle Mariners	$-21	05-05 01:35
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$20	35	+35	open	—	05-05 03:09
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka	1	$14	43	+43	open	—	05-05 06:20
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-07?	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-05 01:09
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	05-05 10:01
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	05-05 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:57:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	18	59¢	$10	0x8b9bfc…
05-05 17:19:38	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	37	72¢	$27	0x68a62d…
05-05 16:42:40	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x6e3277…
05-05 10:01:30	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x5ea342…
05-05 06:20:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	43	32¢	$14	0xa9d677…
05-05 03:09:36	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x3dc42e…
05-05 03:00:24	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x78256e…
05-05 02:39:58	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	18	59¢	$10	0xf7a8a8…
05-05 02:20:22	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	33	38¢	$13	0x8c6bad…
05-05 02:20:10	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0x44e15d…
05-05 02:09:40	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0xcb61c3…
05-05 02:04:50	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x3992db…
05-05 02:00:14	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7b3924…
05-05 01:54:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	61¢	$29	0x0fb9f4…
05-05 01:50:20	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x0eb881…
05-05 01:50:00	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x89e804…
05-05 01:35:06	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xb09da1…
05-05 01:24:44	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x5789ee…
05-05 01:24:36	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x1a96d2…
05-05 01:24:28	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x143384…
05-05 01:24:24	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x47b513…
05-05 01:20:10	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0x8ca65e…
05-05 01:20:08	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x88804f…
05-05 01:10:14	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x91c9b6…
05-05 01:09:52	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xb09e5d…
05-05 01:09:34	Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xaddf16…
05-05 01:04:52	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0xa881bd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x5375…aeea	5	$7.54K	30	05-05 18:34
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	5	$7.39K	160	05-05 18:43
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	5	$2.55K	51	05-05 10:00
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	5	$1.30K	18	05-05 04:14
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$3.72K	16	05-05 03:25
Clean-Snuck 0xc313…e128	4	$775	6	05-05 04:40
Drab-Heaven 0xaff3…6ecc	3	$8.13K	30	05-05 18:27
(anonymous) 0x1399…3586	3	$1.39K	3	05-05 03:10