Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.75K

Unrealized P&L

-$201

Hit rate

10.4%

Resolved

1,179

Trades

7,473

lifetime

Volume

$111.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$794

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-17

last 11-09 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Other

65% 13% -$1,311

Politics

19% 15% -$299

Sports

10% 5% -$41

Tech

3% 37% -$31

Crypto

2% 43% -$54

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rhamondre Stevenson have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No		+180	$162	63¢	$114	-$48	11-08 12:36
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes		+200	$187	48¢	$97	-$90	11-06 15:35
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	No		+100	$73	72¢	$72	$0	11-09 23:30
Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?	No		+48	$45	95¢	$46	+$0	11-09 23:12
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No		+62	$59	60¢	$38	-$21	11-08 11:31
Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?	No		+39	$38	95¢	$37	-$1	10-20 21:08
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes		+103	$29	28¢	$28	-$1	11-09 23:30
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	No		+50	$32	52¢	$26	-$6	11-09 13:38
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by December 31, 2026?	No		+50	$34	42¢	$21	-$13	11-09 13:49
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No		+20	$17	98¢	$20	+$3	10-06 17:54
Will Ararat-Armenia finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	No	—	+20	$20	96¢	$19	-$1	11-10 00:04
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes		+20	$19	89¢	$18	$0	11-09 20:52
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	No		+20	$26	87¢	$18	-$8	11-09 21:05
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No		+20	$14	82¢	$17	+$2	11-09 22:11
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	No		+40	$18	42¢	$17	-$1	11-09 19:02
Will Hasbulla attend a UFC event by May 31, 2027?	Yes		+21	$16	80¢	$16	+$0	11-09 20:50
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?	No		+21	$16	78¢	$16	+$0	11-09 19:46
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No		+20	$16	78¢	$16	-$1	11-09 23:57
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026?	No		+21	$14	70¢	$14	+$1	11-09 20:58
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027?	No		+21	$15	68¢	$14	$0	11-09 21:24
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+20	$14	69¢	$14	+$0	11-09 15:37
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in November?	No		+20	$12	68¢	$14	+$1	11-09 10:52
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?	Yes		+20	$6	67¢	$13	+$7	11-01 00:18
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+22	$19	61¢	$13	-$6	11-09 23:53
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No		+20	$14	66¢	$13	-$1	11-01 02:21
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No		+116	$13	11¢	$13	+$0	11-09 21:44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes		+21	$13	62¢	$13	+$0	11-09 15:08
will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 34m tonnes at end of november 2026	Yes		+20	$6	64¢	$13	+$6	10-03 22:03
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	Yes		+100	$37	12¢	$12	-$24	11-06 00:38
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes		+57	$12	21¢	$12	+$0	11-09 21:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	6	$601	320	320	+0	open	—	11-03 11:36
Will 49ers D/ST be the highest-scoring D/ST of the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$554	300	300	+0	open	—	11-03 03:35
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	7	$525	291	291	+0	open	—	11-04 15:38
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	2	$522	300	300	+0	open	—	10-25 11:11
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?	3	$512	300	300	+0	open	—	10-26 07:03
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by December 31, 2026?	2	$505	269	269	+0	Yes	-$1	10-25 16:01
Will Sunderland qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	7	$484	269	269	+0	open	—	10-28 15:31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	4	$446	250	250	+0	open	—	10-25 00:15
Will Marseille finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	5	$445	250	250	+0	open	—	10-18 16:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	2	$435	246	246	+0	open	—	10-25 08:48
Will Jordan Love have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	11	$431	243	243	+0	Yes	-$21	11-08 22:36
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	6	$403	219	219	+0	No	-$3	10-26 10:48
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$402	241	241	+0	open	—	10-25 10:02
Will Daft Punk headline Coachella 2027?	4	$399	220	220	+0	open	—	11-01 19:06
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	4	$378	400	400	+0	open	—	11-07 09:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	6	$378	310	310	+0	open	—	10-30 03:34
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	10-29 22:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	10-22 10:53
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	2	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	10-23 02:16
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	2	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	11-02 12:28
Will Na Hong-jin be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	10-29 17:30
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	8	$371	220	220	+0	open	—	11-04 13:33
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	10-22 12:09
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026?	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	11-07 19:36
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	10	$369	241	241	+0	No	-$9	10-27 14:35
Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?	2	$368	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 03:58
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?	2	$367	200	200	+0	open	—	11-02 17:35
Will Alexander Ovechkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	13	$365	295	295	+0	open	—	11-06 00:33
Will Randy Bullock be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$364	200	200	+0	open	—	10-30 21:39
Will BYU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	8	$364	200	198	+2	open	—	11-08 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 00:04:36	Will Ararat-Armenia finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x8510ec…
11-09 23:57:52	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xd5032b…
11-09 23:57:19	Will Ararat-Armenia finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x76bf09…
11-09 23:56:24	Will Ararat-Armenia finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb522c8…
11-09 23:56:24	Will Ararat-Armenia finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x917f2f…
11-09 23:56:19	Will Ararat-Armenia finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xfd10be…
11-09 23:56:19	Will Ararat-Armenia finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x12820c…
11-09 23:53:36	Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	64¢	$50	0xa189bf…
11-09 23:33:03	Will PP win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0xd6a831…
11-09 23:31:49	Will PP win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x0b92e1…
11-09 23:30:30	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xf5c86b…
11-09 23:30:28	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xcb6b9d…
11-09 23:30:28	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	28¢	$17	0xb0b65e…
11-09 23:30:24	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xa6edf4…
11-09 23:30:22	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x8f58f8…
11-09 23:30:22	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3fc639…
11-09 23:30:22	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	58	73¢	$42	0x211cc9…
11-09 23:19:12	Will Andrew Garfield be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x4a092d…
11-09 23:17:51	Will Jordan Kyrou record 100+ points?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x554e25…
11-09 23:15:01	Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x78d52b…
11-09 23:13:33	Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x720317…
11-09 23:12:25	Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x06de88…
11-09 23:12:24	Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?	Yes	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0xb10c7f…
11-09 23:11:10	Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x1f3afc…
11-09 23:09:07	Will Lille finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0xf94751…
11-09 23:05:51	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xec6dcb…
11-09 23:05:51	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xc3aab8…
11-09 23:05:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xc68aa6…
11-09 23:05:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	No	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x1b5742…
11-09 23:05:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	No	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x15278e…
11-09 23:03:28	Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x7d04c1…
11-09 22:53:16	Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xff4b27…
11-09 22:47:36	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xecb457…
11-09 22:45:07	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x062c32…
11-09 22:38:40	Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0xc65481…
11-09 22:36:46	Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x65643c…
11-09 22:14:52	Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa8e2da…
11-09 22:14:51	Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0x9a73f6…
11-09 22:11:25	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xed219a…
11-09 22:11:24	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe2ed11…
11-09 22:03:37	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x613cda…
11-09 22:02:57	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0xeea4e1…
11-09 22:02:48	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0xbf90d0…
11-09 22:02:39	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	21	90¢	$18	0xea39a2…
11-09 22:02:31	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	41	53¢	$22	0x1b1292…
11-09 22:02:25	Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x837ae3…
11-09 22:02:18	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	119	88¢	$104	0x2fffe6…
11-09 21:52:54	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xde81ea…
11-09 21:48:22	Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xc88734…
11-09 21:48:22	Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0x8a813f…
11-09 21:44:06	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	119	90¢	$107	0x0f296c…
11-09 21:44:04	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	116	11¢	$13	0xa0cf55…
11-09 21:38:43	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x2514c5…
11-09 21:38:39	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0xddb3d1…
11-09 21:35:28	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x27a6cf…
11-09 21:31:58	Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb2a01c…
11-09 21:31:15	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x51405c…
11-09 21:30:39	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xf86678…
11-09 21:30:37	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x265ebc…
11-09 21:24:39	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xcd2d11…
11-09 21:24:39	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xa28b7a…
11-09 21:24:34	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xdf86ef…
11-09 21:24:34	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xd5ddba…
11-09 21:22:36	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $577.50 Week of November 9 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd6f0d7…
11-09 21:22:07	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	BUY	22	25¢	$5	0xac11c4…
11-09 21:22:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $577.50 Week of November 9 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xfdc4e2…
11-09 21:22:04	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x05a1e6…
11-09 21:09:13	Will Lille finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x705d69…
11-09 21:08:33	Will Lille finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe0d508…
11-09 21:08:33	Will Lille finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xbe6832…
11-09 21:08:28	Will there be 8+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0xb3c1ba…
11-09 21:05:40	Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x1bf7ec…
11-09 21:05:12	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	28	84¢	$24	0x640165…
11-09 21:04:04	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0x9707b4…
11-09 21:02:55	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0x86b300…
11-09 21:02:09	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0xf948ca…
11-09 20:58:57	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x879ef4…
11-09 20:58:55	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x588799…
11-09 20:56:37	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xcae2ee…
11-09 20:54:30	Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$1	0xd584f3…
11-09 20:53:46	Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	4¢	$7	0xf677f8…
11-09 20:52:15	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf9a8eb…
11-09 20:52:15	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$19	0x24de60…
11-09 20:51:55	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x793d24…
11-09 20:50:33	Will Hasbulla attend a UFC event by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xe9b0bb…
11-09 20:50:33	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	168	89¢	$150	0xe6b723…
11-09 20:50:33	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xc483ab…
11-09 20:50:30	Will Hasbulla attend a UFC event by May 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x338dbb…
11-09 20:46:52	Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9989f9…
11-09 20:45:24	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd86c2b…
11-09 20:37:16	Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x5e173f…
11-09 20:36:33	Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x6164d7…
11-09 20:36:30	Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x27343c…
11-09 20:12:27	Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	44	17¢	$7	0x4f50d4…
11-09 20:12:06	Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xaf017c…
11-09 20:11:48	Will TCU have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xf02855…
11-09 20:11:31	Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	SELL	89	89¢	$79	0x9350db…
11-09 19:48:57	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xf025c1…
11-09 19:48:57	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xbc7d47…
11-09 19:46:36	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xbbb32e…