Realized P&L
-$1.86K
Unrealized P&L
-$134
Hit rate
10.2%
Resolved
1,221
Trades
7,940
lifetime
Volume
$119.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-11 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
65% 13% -$1,405
Politics
18% 14% -$315
Sports
10% 5% -$41
Tech
4% 37% -$31
Crypto
2% 43% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? No +196 $184 78¢ $153 -$31 11-10 19:22
Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? No +153 $149 99¢ $152 +$2 11-10 02:41
Will Sunderland qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? No — +156 $149 97¢ $151 +$1 11-11 08:57
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"? No — +138 $130 97¢ $134 +$4 11-11 09:36
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31? No — +144 $136 90¢ $129 -$6 11-11 08:13
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +200 $187 48¢ $97 -$90 11-06 15:35
Will Bad Bunny headline Coachella 2027? No — +98 $102 98¢ $97 -$5 11-11 08:17
Will Leeds United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +100 $92 92¢ $92 +$0 11-11 07:46
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 +$0 11-10 19:14
Will Bologna be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? No +80 $78 98¢ $78 +$1 11-10 12:06
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? No +100 $73 78¢ $77 +$4 11-09 23:30
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $65 59¢ $59 -$6 11-10 06:18
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +83 $51 58¢ $49 -$2 11-10 12:32
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $45 92¢ $46 +$1 11-10 19:36
Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? No +48 $45 95¢ $46 +$0 11-09 23:12
Will PP win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +51 $45 88¢ $45 -$1 11-10 15:49
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? Yes +196 $10 22¢ $42 +$32 11-10 19:23
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? No +100 $37 41¢ $41 +$4 11-11 07:33
Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$0 11-10 19:01
Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +51 $38 79¢ $40 +$2 11-10 21:08
Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 80+ points? Yes — +41 $39 93¢ $38 $0 11-11 09:30
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? No +62 $59 60¢ $38 -$21 11-08 11:31
Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +39 $38 95¢ $37 -$1 10-20 21:08
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +51 $39 72¢ $37 -$2 11-10 19:57
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? Yes +83 $33 42¢ $35 +$2 11-10 12:37
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +45 $34 76¢ $34 $0 11-10 00:47
Will Labor win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election? Yes +50 $35 67¢ $34 -$2 11-10 21:39
Will PP win 126-131 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +43 $35 77¢ $33 -$2 11-10 16:06
Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? No +50 $38 58¢ $29 -$10 11-10 21:50
Will Orense be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)? Yes +100 $37 28¢ $28 -$9 11-10 21:31