Realized P&L
-$1.91K
Unrealized P&L
-$149
Hit rate
10.2%
Resolved
1,224
Trades
7,986
lifetime
Volume
$120.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-11 13:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
65% 14% -$1,450
Politics
18% 14% -$315
Sports
10% 5% -$41
Tech
4% 37% -$31
Crypto
2% 43% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? No +153 $149 99¢ $152 +$2 11-10 02:41
Will Sunderland qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? No +156 $149 97¢ $151 +$2 11-11 08:57
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? No +196 $184 76¢ $150 -$35 11-10 19:22
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? No +156 $149 95¢ $148 -$1 11-11 13:22
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"? No +138 $130 97¢ $133 +$3 11-11 09:36
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31? No +144 $136 87¢ $126 -$10 11-11 08:13
Will Bad Bunny headline Coachella 2027? No +98 $102 100¢ $98 -$4 11-11 08:17
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +200 $187 48¢ $97 -$90 11-06 15:35
Will Leeds United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$3 11-11 07:46
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 +$0 11-10 19:14
Will Bologna be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? No +80 $78 98¢ $78 +$1 11-10 12:06
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? No +100 $73 77¢ $77 +$4 11-09 23:30
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $65 60¢ $60 -$6 11-10 06:18
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +100 $86 56¢ $56 -$30 11-11 11:36
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +83 $51 58¢ $49 -$2 11-10 12:32
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? Yes +196 $10 24¢ $46 +$36 11-10 19:23
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $45 92¢ $46 +$1 11-10 19:36
Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? No +48 $45 95¢ $46 +$0 11-09 23:12
Will PP win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +51 $45 88¢ $45 -$1 11-10 15:49
Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$1 11-10 19:01
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? No +100 $37 40¢ $41 +$4 11-11 07:33
Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 80+ points? Yes +41 $39 95¢ $39 +$0 11-11 09:30
Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +51 $38 76¢ $39 +$0 11-10 21:08
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? No +62 $59 60¢ $38 -$21 11-08 11:31
Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +39 $38 95¢ $37 -$1 10-20 21:08
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +51 $39 72¢ $37 -$2 11-10 19:57
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? Yes +83 $33 42¢ $35 +$2 11-10 12:37
Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? No +50 $38 68¢ $34 -$4 11-10 21:50
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +45 $34 76¢ $34 $0 11-10 00:47
Will PP win 126-131 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +43 $35 78¢ $34 -$1 11-10 16:06