Realized P&L
-$1.85K
Unrealized P&L
-$125
Hit rate
10.2%
Resolved
1,218
Trades
7,862
lifetime
Volume
$118.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-11 04:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
65% 14% -$1,398
Politics
19% 14% -$315
Sports
10% 5% -$41
Tech
4% 37% -$31
Crypto
2% 43% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? No +153 $149 99¢ $151 +$2 11-10 02:41
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? No +196 $184 77¢ $151 -$33 11-10 19:22
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +200 $187 48¢ $97 -$90 11-06 15:35
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 +$0 11-10 19:14
Will Bologna be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? No +80 $78 98¢ $78 +$1 11-10 12:06
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? No +100 $73 78¢ $77 +$4 11-09 23:30
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $65 59¢ $59 -$6 11-10 06:18
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +83 $51 58¢ $49 -$2 11-10 12:32
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $45 92¢ $46 +$1 11-10 19:36
Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? No +48 $45 95¢ $46 +$0 11-09 23:12
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? Yes +196 $10 23¢ $45 +$35 11-10 19:23
Will PP win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +51 $45 88¢ $45 -$1 11-10 15:49
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? No +103 $38 41¢ $42 +$4 11-10 06:18
Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$0 11-10 19:01
Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +51 $38 78¢ $40 +$1 11-10 21:08
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? No +62 $59 60¢ $38 -$21 11-08 11:31
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +51 $39 72¢ $37 -$2 11-10 19:57
Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +39 $38 94¢ $37 -$1 10-20 21:08
Will PP win 126-131 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +43 $35 80¢ $35 $0 11-10 16:06
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? Yes +83 $33 42¢ $35 +$2 11-10 12:37
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +45 $34 76¢ $34 $0 11-10 00:47
Will Labor win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election? Yes +50 $35 68¢ $34 -$1 11-10 21:39
Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? No +50 $38 60¢ $30 -$8 11-10 21:50
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +28 $28 98¢ $28 +$0 11-11 02:13
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? Yes +43 $26 63¢ $27 +$0 11-10 11:32
Will the Cincinnati Bengals have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? Yes +27 $27 97¢ $27 $0 11-10 21:28
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? No +43 $26 60¢ $26 +$0 11-10 07:36
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? Yes +38 $26 68¢ $26 +$0 11-10 22:20
Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026? No +31 $25 84¢ $26 +$1 11-10 06:22
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 48¢ $24 -$10 11-09 13:49