Realized P&L
-$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
-$144
Hit rate
10.3%
Resolved
1,201
Trades
7,738
lifetime
Volume
$116.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-10 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
65% 14% -$1,334
Politics
19% 15% -$308
Sports
10% 5% -$41
Tech
3% 37% -$31
Crypto
2% 43% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? No +153 $149 99¢ $151 +$2 11-10 02:41
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +200 $187 48¢ $97 -$90 11-06 15:35
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? No +100 $73 78¢ $78 +$5 11-09 23:30
Will Bologna be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? No +80 $78 98¢ $78 +$1 11-10 12:06
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $65 57¢ $57 -$8 11-10 06:18
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +83 $51 62¢ $52 +$1 11-10 12:32
Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? No +48 $45 95¢ $45 +$0 11-09 23:12
Will PP win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +51 $45 88¢ $45 -$1 11-10 15:49
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? No +103 $38 42¢ $44 +$6 11-10 06:18
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? No +62 $59 60¢ $38 -$21 11-08 11:31
Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +39 $38 95¢ $38 -$1 10-20 21:08
Will PP win 126-131 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No — +43 $35 80¢ $35 $0 11-10 16:06
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +45 $34 74¢ $33 -$1 11-10 00:47
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? Yes +83 $33 38¢ $31 -$1 11-10 12:37
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? Yes +43 $26 63¢ $27 +$0 11-10 11:32
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? No +43 $26 60¢ $26 +$0 11-10 07:36
Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026? No +31 $25 84¢ $26 +$1 11-10 06:22
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? Yes +103 $29 22¢ $22 -$7 11-09 23:30
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31? No +30 $21 71¢ $22 +$1 11-10 15:46
Will The Odyssey win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $24 52¢ $21 -$3 11-10 10:49
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +41 $22 50¢ $21 -$1 11-10 14:16
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 40¢ $20 -$14 11-09 13:49
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $20 50¢ $20 +$0 11-10 14:16
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +20 $17 98¢ $20 +$3 10-06 17:54
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? No +23 $30 84¢ $19 -$11 11-10 11:12
Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027? No +32 $20 60¢ $19 $0 11-10 05:51
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? Yes +20 $19 92¢ $19 +$0 11-09 20:52
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? No +20 $26 91¢ $19 -$7 11-09 21:05
Will The Odyssey win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +39 $16 48¢ $19 +$3 11-10 10:49
Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? No +30 $19 62¢ $19 -$1 11-10 09:21