Realized P&L
-$1.72K
Unrealized P&L
-$217
Hit rate
10.4%
Resolved
1,174
Trades
7,362
lifetime
Volume
$110.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$589
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-09 17:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
65% 13% -$1,282
Politics
19% 15% -$299
Sports
10% 5% -$41
Tech
4% 39% -$30
Crypto
2% 43% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 311 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rhamondre Stevenson have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +180 $162 63¢ $114 -$48 11-08 12:36
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +200 $187 48¢ $97 -$90 11-06 15:35
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? No +62 $59 60¢ $38 -$21 11-08 11:31
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 48¢ $24 -$10 11-09 13:49
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +20 $17 98¢ $20 +$3 10-06 17:54
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET? No +50 $32 38¢ $19 -$13 11-09 13:38
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? No +50 $21 35¢ $18 -$4 11-09 14:04
Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15? No +21 $16 80¢ $16 +$0 11-09 16:13
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? Yes +60 $15 25¢ $15 +$0 11-05 20:38
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +30 $16 48¢ $14 -$2 11-08 22:29
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $14 70¢ $14 +$0 11-09 15:37
will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 34m tonnes at end of november 2026 Yes +20 $6 68¢ $14 +$7 10-03 22:03
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in November? No +20 $12 68¢ $14 +$1 11-09 10:52
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting? Yes +20 $6 66¢ $13 +$7 11-01 00:18
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +20 $14 65¢ $13 -$1 11-01 02:21
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? Yes +100 $37 12¢ $12 -$24 11-06 00:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +21 $13 60¢ $12 $0 11-09 15:08
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027? No +30 $12 37¢ $11 -$1 11-09 01:32
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? Yes +21 $11 52¢ $11 $0 11-09 13:52
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? No +20 $12 54¢ $11 -$1 11-01 01:37
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Yes +20 $12 50¢ $10 -$2 11-09 16:07
Will Congress override 0 Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027? No +20 $11 48¢ $10 -$2 11-09 15:48
Will Faber announce it will resume sales of Sally Rooney's books in the UK by December 31, 2026? No +17 $19 57¢ $10 -$9 11-08 12:35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? No +20 $9 48¢ $10 +$0 11-09 13:52
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? Yes +20 $9 46¢ $9 $0 11-01 01:36
Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? Yes +11 $10 81¢ $9 -$1 11-07 13:59
Trump impeached and removed before 2028? Yes +50 $9 18¢ $9 -$1 11-06 00:36
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +15 $10 56¢ $8 -$2 11-09 15:33
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +99 $11 8¢ $8 -$2 11-07 01:14
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by November 30? Yes +20 $9 41¢ $8 -$1 11-08 19:59