Realized P&L
-$1.72K
Unrealized P&L
-$191
Hit rate
10.4%
Resolved
1,174
Trades
7,428
lifetime
Volume
$111.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$781
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-09 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
65% 13% -$1,282
Politics
19% 15% -$299
Sports
10% 5% -$41
Tech
4% 39% -$30
Crypto
2% 43% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 311 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rhamondre Stevenson have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +180 $162 63¢ $114 -$48 11-08 12:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +119 $107 89¢ $106 -$1 11-09 21:44
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +200 $187 48¢ $97 -$90 11-06 15:35
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No +50 $40 80¢ $40 +$0 11-09 21:48
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? No +62 $59 60¢ $38 -$21 11-08 11:31
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 49¢ $24 -$10 11-09 13:49
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +41 $24 57¢ $24 +$0 11-09 19:02
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +20 $17 98¢ $20 +$3 10-06 17:54
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET? No +50 $32 38¢ $19 -$13 11-09 13:38
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026? No +21 $19 92¢ $19 $0 11-09 21:24
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? Yes +20 $19 88¢ $18 -$1 11-09 20:52
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? No +20 $26 84¢ $17 -$8 11-09 21:05
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? No +40 $18 43¢ $17 $0 11-09 19:02
Will Hasbulla attend a UFC event by May 31, 2027? Yes +21 $16 80¢ $16 +$0 11-09 20:50
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? No +21 $16 76¢ $16 $0 11-09 19:46
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? Yes +60 $15 25¢ $15 +$0 11-05 20:38
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026? No +21 $14 70¢ $14 +$1 11-09 20:58
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027? No +21 $15 68¢ $14 $0 11-09 21:24
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%? Yes +22 $5 64¢ $14 +$8 11-09 21:22
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in November? No +20 $12 68¢ $14 +$1 11-09 10:52
will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 34m tonnes at end of november 2026 Yes +20 $6 68¢ $14 +$7 10-03 22:03
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $14 67¢ $13 $0 11-09 15:37
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +21 $13 64¢ $13 +$1 11-09 15:08
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting? Yes +20 $6 66¢ $13 +$7 11-01 00:18
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +20 $14 66¢ $13 -$1 11-01 02:21
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +116 $13 11¢ $13 +$0 11-09 21:44
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? Yes +100 $37 12¢ $12 -$24 11-06 00:38
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +57 $12 20¢ $12 $0 11-09 21:48
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? Yes +21 $11 56¢ $12 +$0 11-09 13:52
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? No +20 $12 54¢ $11 -$1 11-01 01:37