Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.70K

Unrealized P&L

-$267

Hit rate

10.6%

Resolved

1,165

Trades

7,179

lifetime

Volume

$107.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$571

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-17

last 11-09 02:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Other

65% 13% -$1,261

Politics

19% 15% -$299

Sports

10% 5% -$41

Tech

4% 41% -$29

Crypto

2% 43% -$54

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 311 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rhamondre Stevenson have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No		+180	$162	64¢	$115	-$47	11-08 12:36
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes		+200	$187	48¢	$97	-$90	11-06 15:35
Will Martin Necas record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No		+100	$105	49¢	$49	-$56	11-08 12:41
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No		+62	$59	60¢	$37	-$22	11-08 11:31
Will Mika Zibanejad record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No		+30	$35	84¢	$25	-$10	11-08 12:30
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	Yes		+100	$37	22¢	$22	-$14	11-06 00:38
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No		+20	$17	98¢	$20	+$3	10-06 17:54
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes		+60	$15	22¢	$14	-$2	11-05 20:38
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No		+20	$14	67¢	$13	-$1	11-01 02:21
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes		+30	$16	44¢	$13	-$3	11-08 22:29
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?	Yes		+20	$6	66¢	$13	+$7	11-01 00:18
Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?	No		+20	$12	64¢	$13	+$0	11-08 22:21
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	—	+30	$12	38¢	$11	$0	11-09 01:32
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	No		+20	$12	54¢	$11	-$1	11-01 01:37
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No		+20	$11	46¢	$9	-$1	11-08 22:51
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes		+20	$9	46¢	$9	$0	11-01 01:36
Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes		+11	$10	81¢	$9	-$1	11-07 13:59
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?	Yes		+50	$9	17¢	$9	-$1	11-06 00:36
Next James Bond announced by December 15, 2026?	No		+39	$14	22¢	$8	-$5	11-08 03:56
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+99	$11	8¢	$8	-$2	11-07 01:14
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by November 30?	Yes		+20	$9	40¢	$8	-$1	11-08 19:59
Will Terry McLaurin have 549.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes		+200	$15	4¢	$7	-$8	11-04 22:31
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?	No		+20	$12	34¢	$7	-$6	11-01 00:18
Will Jan Oblak (Atlético Madrid) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes		+20	$7	33¢	$7	-$1	11-08 22:05
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+20	$7	33¢	$7	-$1	11-01 02:21
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes		+50	$6	12¢	$6	$0	11-08 19:22
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?	Yes		+18	$6	34¢	$6	$0	11-08 20:25
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes		+20	$6	29¢	$6	$0	11-07 19:11
US recession by end of 2027?	Yes		+20	$6	28¢	$6	$0	11-08 21:34
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 song this week?	No		+20	$8	26¢	$5	-$2	11-09 02:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	6	$601	320	320	+0	open	—	11-03 11:36
Will 49ers D/ST be the highest-scoring D/ST of the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$554	300	300	+0	open	—	11-03 03:35
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	7	$525	291	291	+0	open	—	11-04 15:38
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	2	$522	300	300	+0	open	—	10-25 11:11
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?	3	$512	300	300	+0	open	—	10-26 07:03
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by December 31, 2026?	2	$505	269	269	+0	Yes	-$1	10-25 16:01
will sunderland qualify for the 2027 28 uefa europa league	7	$484	269	269	+0	open	—	10-28 15:31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	4	$446	250	250	+0	open	—	10-25 00:15
Will Marseille finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	5	$445	250	250	+0	open	—	10-18 16:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	2	$435	246	246	+0	open	—	10-25 08:48
Will Jordan Love have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	11	$431	243	243	+0	Yes	-$21	11-08 22:36
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	6	$403	219	219	+0	No	-$3	10-26 10:48
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$402	241	241	+0	open	—	10-25 10:02
Will Daft Punk headline Coachella 2027?	4	$399	220	220	+0	open	—	11-01 19:06
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	4	$378	400	400	+0	open	—	11-07 09:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	6	$378	310	310	+0	open	—	10-30 03:34
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	10-29 22:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	10-22 10:53
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	2	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	10-23 02:16
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	2	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	11-02 12:28
will na hong jin be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	4	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	10-29 17:30
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	8	$371	220	220	+0	open	—	11-04 13:33
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	10-22 12:09
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026?	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	11-07 19:36
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	10	$369	241	241	+0	No	-$9	10-27 14:35
Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?	2	$368	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 03:58
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?	2	$367	200	200	+0	open	—	11-02 17:35
Will Alexander Ovechkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	13	$365	295	295	+0	open	—	11-06 00:33
Will Randy Bullock be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$364	200	200	+0	open	—	10-30 21:39
Will BYU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	8	$364	200	198	+2	open	—	11-08 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 03:51:30	Will Rachaad White be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x468bb2…
11-09 03:49:54	Will Pardubice be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9ee6e1…
11-09 03:48:33	Will FSV Mainz 05 qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0x225b60…
11-09 03:43:39	Will 1. FC Köln be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x7441c0…
11-09 03:41:19	Will FSV Mainz 05 qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x3f6954…
11-09 03:40:42	Will FSV Mainz 05 qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbb2404…
11-09 03:40:42	Will FSV Mainz 05 qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x52a7da…
11-09 03:36:51	Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xc7b7d6…
11-09 03:26:21	Will Missouri Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x8ea45f…
11-09 03:25:34	Will Missouri Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xd08661…
11-09 03:24:43	Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xd28399…
11-09 03:24:24	Will SMU Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x94c66a…
11-09 03:23:24	Will SMU Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x4ae1c8…
11-09 03:23:24	Will SMU Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x1fbc3f…
11-09 03:19:19	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x3808f6…
11-09 03:11:40	Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x0d9b33…
11-09 03:05:37	Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0x0884dc…
11-09 03:05:06	Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x51ec5f…
11-09 02:05:22	Will the Chicago Bears have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	107	3¢	$3	0xbd2a67…
11-09 02:04:25	Will the Chicago Bears have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x95cb01…
11-09 02:04:25	Will the Chicago Bears have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x518f48…
11-09 02:02:04	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 song this week?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xf79028…
11-09 01:43:37	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5b2b38…
11-09 01:42:37	Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x75ad14…
11-09 01:42:00	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 in November?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x56f857…
11-09 01:35:01	Will Team USA win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xb9d107…
11-09 01:32:55	Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xea7dd7…
11-09 01:14:28	Will Bournemouth qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	41	76¢	$31	0x5a6860…
11-09 01:14:15	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xbbf99b…
11-09 01:13:43	Will Bournemouth qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x13cc68…
11-09 01:13:43	Will Bournemouth qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x115fca…
11-09 01:03:37	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $300 in November?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x81f993…
11-09 01:01:13	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in November?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x51f4ee…
11-09 01:00:39	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $156 in November?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x2a9a73…
11-09 01:00:21	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $310 in November?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x5ff61f…
11-09 01:00:06	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in November?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xcdc38e…
11-09 00:39:40	Aleksandar Vučić arrested by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x1abf6a…
11-09 00:39:06	Aleksandar Vučić arrested by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe9a461…
11-09 00:33:48	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xf197e7…
11-09 00:26:28	Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x15c7f6…
11-09 00:21:31	Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xe036c7…
11-09 00:16:34	Will the New Orleans Saints win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 7.5	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x571fdd…
11-09 00:12:10	Will Brentford finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xe4affa…
11-08 23:19:25	Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xaaf149…
11-08 23:09:31	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in November?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xf2daa2…
11-08 23:06:27	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 in November?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xea23b6…
11-08 23:05:43	Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x736e7f…
11-08 23:00:19	Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xdc4913…
11-08 22:54:06	Will Thomas Aeschi win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x0b9ea5…
11-08 22:53:31	Will Thomas Aeschi win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xac6427…
11-08 22:51:31	Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xae948e…
11-08 22:48:31	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf0245a…
11-08 22:43:40	Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x3ce031…
11-08 22:42:19	Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x957482…
11-08 22:36:40	Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x4fae86…
11-08 22:36:34	Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x7cb7b4…
11-08 22:36:27	Will Jordan Love have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x08dd72…
11-08 22:36:16	Next GPT Terra (6.2+) released by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xc846f8…
11-08 22:36:13	Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x6a83b6…
11-08 22:36:09	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x5c313b…
11-08 22:35:45	Will Malik Willis have 2,699.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x77bde3…
11-08 22:35:39	Will Texas have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x662feb…
11-08 22:35:33	Next Israeli government a minority government?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x973912…
11-08 22:35:25	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x397c65…
11-08 22:35:18	Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d28f6…
11-08 22:35:15	Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe29572…
11-08 22:35:09	Will Chelsea finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x5a9efb…
11-08 22:35:00	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x89fba0…
11-08 22:34:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 15%-18%?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5b0e05…
11-08 22:34:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x55b96b…
11-08 22:34:24	Will Babagana Buhari win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xcad913…
11-08 22:34:22	Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x9c0e0b…
11-08 22:34:16	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $9.00 and $9.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0xd7c9e3…
11-08 22:34:01	Will Ladd McConkey have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x736a44…
11-08 22:29:16	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xabb8bd…
11-08 22:27:36	Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x084ffa…
11-08 22:21:55	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in November?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xe32b6d…
11-08 22:21:40	Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xb036dd…
11-08 22:21:22	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in November?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x1ff5a8…
11-08 22:20:19	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x1a7cb2…
11-08 22:19:18	Will Philippines win Eurovision Asia 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	24¢	$6	0x93301b…
11-08 22:17:40	Will Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xc4428c…
11-08 22:17:37	Will Philippines win Eurovision Asia 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x6bf5d6…
11-08 22:17:04	Will Team USA win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x2746f6…
11-08 22:15:39	Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x459ae8…
11-08 22:13:15	Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x4d6fb7…
11-08 22:12:13	Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xe9ef79…
11-08 22:11:33	Will Wyoming Cowboys Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x9bc48f…
11-08 22:11:16	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x826922…
11-08 22:11:16	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $310 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x494a3b…
11-08 22:11:16	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x3c7c6a…
11-08 22:10:36	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xe6ea4e…
11-08 22:10:36	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $156 in November?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x1dbd57…
11-08 22:10:28	Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xede73f…
11-08 22:09:30	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x79119b…
11-08 22:09:19	Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0xeb730f…
11-08 22:07:24	Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xdd8161…
11-08 22:06:43	Will John Harbaugh win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x189893…
11-08 22:06:34	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in November?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x364910…
11-08 22:05:30	Will Jan Oblak (Atlético Madrid) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x71e6c9…