Realized P&L
-$2.03K
Unrealized P&L
-$141
Hit rate
9.6%
Resolved
1,255
Trades
8,442
lifetime
Volume
$126.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$3.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-13 04:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Other
65% 14% -$1,565
Politics
18% 14% -$320
Sports
10% 5% -$41
Tech
4% 35% -$33
Crypto
2% 43% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? No +204 $189 92¢ $188 -$1 11-12 08:58
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? No +198 $186 93¢ $184 -$3 11-12 18:07
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? No +196 $184 80¢ $156 -$28 11-10 19:22
Will Sunderland qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? No +156 $149 97¢ $152 +$3 11-11 08:57
Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? No +153 $149 99¢ $151 +$1 11-10 02:41
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? No +156 $149 96¢ $149 $0 11-11 13:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +160 $149 90¢ $145 -$4 11-12 14:30
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? No +138 $135 98¢ $135 +$1 11-13 01:24
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"? No +138 $130 97¢ $133 +$3 11-11 09:36
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31? No +144 $136 88¢ $127 -$9 11-11 08:13
Will TCU be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? No +120 $119 97¢ $117 -$1 11-13 03:42
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? Yes +186 $79 57¢ $107 +$28 11-12 16:40
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? No +131 $100 76¢ $99 -$1 11-12 22:13
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +200 $187 48¢ $97 -$90 11-06 15:35
Will Leeds United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 11-11 07:46
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 92¢ $92 $0 11-12 16:04
Will Sevilla be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga? No +100 $95 92¢ $92 -$2 11-12 21:50
Will Michael Wilson be the highest-scoring WR of the 2026-27 NFL season? No +101 $98 91¢ $92 -$6 11-12 17:00
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? No +92 $88 99¢ $91 +$4 11-12 22:34
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% before 2027? No +100 $89 91¢ $91 +$2 11-12 22:33
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? Yes +94 $86 93¢ $88 +$2 11-13 02:03
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $80 84¢ $85 +$5 11-10 19:14
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? No +100 $73 82¢ $82 +$9 11-09 23:30
Will Bologna be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? No +80 $78 98¢ $78 +$1 11-10 12:06
Will Famalicão be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga? No +100 $92 78¢ $78 -$14 11-13 00:08
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +183 $108 42¢ $78 -$30 11-12 16:40
Will Aston Villa reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League final? No +81 $75 94¢ $76 +$1 11-12 00:05
Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? No +82 $75 90¢ $74 -$1 11-12 11:08
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? No +163 $73 41¢ $67 -$7 11-12 19:30
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $65 60¢ $60 -$6 11-10 06:18