Realized P&L
-$1.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$180
Hit rate
10.4%
Resolved
1,179
Trades
7,503
lifetime
Volume
$112.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$813
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-09 23:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
65% 13% -$1,311
Politics
19% 15% -$299
Sports
10% 5% -$41
Tech
3% 37% -$31
Crypto
2% 43% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rhamondre Stevenson have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +180 $162 63¢ $114 -$48 11-08 12:36
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +200 $187 48¢ $97 -$90 11-06 15:35
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? No +100 $73 72¢ $72 $0 11-09 23:30
Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? No +48 $45 95¢ $45 +$0 11-09 23:12
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? No +62 $59 60¢ $38 -$21 11-08 11:31
Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +39 $38 95¢ $38 -$1 10-20 21:08
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +45 $34 74¢ $33 -$1 11-10 00:47
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? Yes +103 $29 28¢ $28 -$1 11-09 23:30
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET? No +50 $32 49¢ $24 -$8 11-09 13:38
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +20 $17 98¢ $20 +$3 10-06 17:54
Will Ararat-Armenia finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase? No — +20 $20 96¢ $20 -$1 11-10 00:04
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? Yes +20 $19 89¢ $18 $0 11-09 20:52
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? No +20 $26 87¢ $18 -$8 11-09 21:05
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? No +21 $16 86¢ $18 +$2 11-09 19:46
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? No +40 $18 43¢ $17 $0 11-09 19:02
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 34¢ $17 -$17 11-09 13:49
Will Hasbulla attend a UFC event by May 31, 2027? Yes +21 $16 80¢ $16 +$0 11-09 20:50
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +20 $14 78¢ $16 +$2 11-09 22:11
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? No +19 $15 80¢ $15 +$0 11-10 00:34
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027? No +21 $15 70¢ $15 +$0 11-09 21:24
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026? No +21 $14 69¢ $14 +$0 11-09 20:58
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $14 70¢ $14 +$0 11-09 15:37
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in November? No +20 $12 68¢ $14 +$1 11-09 10:52
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting? Yes +20 $6 67¢ $13 +$7 11-01 00:18
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $19 61¢ $13 -$6 11-09 23:53
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +116 $13 12¢ $13 +$1 11-09 21:44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +21 $13 64¢ $13 +$1 11-09 15:08
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +20 $14 66¢ $13 -$1 11-01 02:21
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? No +50 $13 26¢ $13 $0 11-10 00:49
will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 34m tonnes at end of november 2026 Yes +20 $6 64¢ $13 +$6 10-03 22:03