Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.77K

Unrealized P&L

-$155

Hit rate

10.4%

Resolved

1,193

Trades

7,615

lifetime

Volume

$113.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$1.10K

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-17

last 11-10 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

65% 13% -$1,331

Politics

19% 15% -$299

Sports

10% 5% -$41

Tech

3% 37% -$31

Crypto

2% 43% -$54

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	+153	$149	99¢	$151	+$1	11-10 02:41
Will Rhamondre Stevenson have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	+180	$162	83¢	$149	-$13	11-08 12:36
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	+200	$187	48¢	$97	-$90	11-06 15:35
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	No	+100	$73	72¢	$72	$0	11-09 23:30
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+100	$65	62¢	$62	-$2	11-10 06:18
Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?	No	+48	$45	94¢	$45	$0	11-09 23:12
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?	No	+103	$38	38¢	$39	+$1	11-10 06:18
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	+62	$59	60¢	$38	-$21	11-08 11:31
Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?	No	+39	$38	95¢	$37	-$1	10-20 21:08
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	+45	$34	75¢	$34	$0	11-10 00:47
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+103	$29	28¢	$28	-$1	11-09 23:30
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	No	+43	$26	60¢	$26	+$0	11-10 07:36
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	+236	$26	10¢	$24	-$2	11-10 08:24
Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026?	No	+31	$25	72¢	$22	-$3	11-10 06:22
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	+20	$17	98¢	$20	+$3	10-06 17:54
Will Ararat-Armenia finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	No	+20	$20	96¢	$19	-$1	11-10 00:04
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	+21	$16	94¢	$19	+$3	11-09 19:46
Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027?	No	+32	$20	58¢	$19	-$1	11-10 05:51
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	+20	$19	89¢	$18	$0	11-09 20:52
Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	Yes	+53	$18	34¢	$18	$0	11-10 03:58
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	+20	$26	87¢	$18	-$8	11-09 21:05
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+18	$18	94¢	$17	-$1	11-10 07:07
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$34	34¢	$17	-$17	11-09 13:49
Will Congress override 3+ Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027?	No	+20	$17	84¢	$17	$0	11-10 08:15
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	+40	$18	42¢	$17	-$1	11-09 19:02
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Yes	+42	$17	40¢	$17	-$1	11-10 07:36
Will Hasbulla attend a UFC event by May 31, 2027?	Yes	+21	$16	78¢	$16	+$0	11-09 20:50
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027?	No	+21	$15	75¢	$16	+$1	11-09 21:24
Will Jared Goff have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	+19	$18	82¢	$16	-$2	10-26 10:16
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+19	$15	80¢	$15	+$0	11-10 00:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	6	$601	320	320	+0	open	—	11-03 11:36
Will 49ers D/ST be the highest-scoring D/ST of the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$554	300	300	+0	open	—	11-03 03:35
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	7	$525	291	291	+0	open	—	11-04 15:38
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	2	$522	300	300	+0	open	—	10-25 11:11
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?	3	$512	300	300	+0	open	—	10-26 07:03
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by December 31, 2026?	2	$505	269	269	+0	Yes	-$1	10-25 16:01
will sunderland qualify for the 2027 28 uefa europa league	7	$484	269	269	+0	open	—	10-28 15:31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	4	$446	250	250	+0	open	—	10-25 00:15
Will Marseille finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	5	$445	250	250	+0	open	—	10-18 16:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	2	$435	246	246	+0	open	—	10-25 08:48
Will Jordan Love have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	11	$431	243	243	+0	Yes	-$21	11-08 22:36
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	6	$403	219	219	+0	No	-$3	10-26 10:48
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$402	241	241	+0	open	—	10-25 10:02
Will Daft Punk headline Coachella 2027?	4	$399	220	220	+0	open	—	11-01 19:06
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	3	$385	436	200	+236	open	—	11-10 08:25
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	4	$378	400	400	+0	open	—	11-07 09:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	6	$378	310	310	+0	open	—	10-30 03:34
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	10-29 22:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	10-22 10:53
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	2	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	10-23 02:16
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	2	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	11-02 12:28
will na hong jin be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	4	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	10-29 17:30
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	8	$371	220	220	+0	open	—	11-04 13:33
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	10-22 12:09
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026?	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	11-07 19:36
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	10	$369	241	241	+0	No	-$9	10-27 14:35
Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?	2	$368	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 03:58
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?	2	$367	200	200	+0	open	—	11-02 17:35
Will Alexander Ovechkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	13	$365	295	295	+0	open	—	11-06 00:33
Will Randy Bullock be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$364	200	200	+0	open	—	10-30 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 08:32:33	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0xb43f1a…
11-10 08:25:46	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$179	0x1578d8…
11-10 08:24:43	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	236	11¢	$26	0xf49297…
11-10 08:24:40	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xd0d0a6…
11-10 08:15:58	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?	No	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x58c7fc…
11-10 08:15:34	Will Congress override 3+ Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xef94ea…
11-10 08:15:33	Will Congress override 3+ Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xafefe8…
11-10 07:46:09	Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x522b99…
11-10 07:46:04	Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x5fafeb…
11-10 07:36:06	Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	No	BUY	43	60¢	$26	0xa3f289…
11-10 07:36:04	Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Yes	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0xf1698f…
11-10 07:30:06	Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Dec 31?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xf1af6f…
11-10 07:29:21	Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Dec 31?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xae3886…
11-10 07:15:27	Will the Florida Panthers record 110+ points?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xfba44a…
11-10 07:15:27	Will the Florida Panthers record 110+ points?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x80fbf7…
11-10 07:08:07	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf5506b…
11-10 07:07:31	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xf6605f…
11-10 07:07:30	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf05b72…
11-10 07:07:30	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x577c42…
11-10 06:59:46	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x7ff110…
11-10 06:51:45	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xd4badf…
11-10 06:43:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of November 9 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x6b1bcf…
11-10 06:43:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of November 9 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x93c113…
11-10 06:40:37	Will Wilson Merino win the next Quito mayoral election?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x7e2201…
11-10 06:40:34	Will Wilson Merino win the next Quito mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x5a984a…
11-10 06:22:00	Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xc81acb…
11-10 06:21:58	Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xdf0ad5…
11-10 06:18:04	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	103	37¢	$38	0xfd6e9a…
11-10 06:18:03	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xb0d1a8…
11-10 06:16:51	Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xeb1bf3…
11-10 06:04:09	Will Illinois have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x0a16c3…
11-10 06:00:54	Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x536675…
11-10 06:00:21	Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xdf40cc…
11-10 05:59:45	Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x963c32…
11-10 05:59:43	Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xeaef21…
11-10 05:51:52	Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	32	60¢	$20	0x24ad38…
11-10 05:51:51	Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	40¢	$13	0xc87b55…
11-10 05:43:36	Will Jon Ossoff announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x2282fa…
11-10 05:43:00	Will Jon Ossoff announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x0f92da…
11-10 05:42:58	Will Jon Ossoff announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x00cd64…
11-10 05:40:21	Will Deportes Limache be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x039f90…
11-10 05:35:46	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in November 2026?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x920fc9…
11-10 05:35:45	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa927ab…
11-10 05:28:48	Will Deportes Limache be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3902ea…
11-10 05:26:16	Will Deportes Limache be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd1c646…
11-10 05:25:27	Will Deportes Limache be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x30d18d…
11-10 05:15:31	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdfb7e3…
11-10 05:06:58	will lisa su be the next ceo of nvidia	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc9d753…
11-10 05:06:54	Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	57	22¢	$13	0x02af68…
11-10 04:24:39	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xff776c…
11-10 04:24:36	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xcc1e58…
11-10 04:24:33	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd235c9…
11-10 04:24:31	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf6d6a6…
11-10 04:24:30	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc3c6fe…
11-10 04:24:28	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x83c2f0…
11-10 04:18:37	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8a5d1c…
11-10 04:18:36	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x84c2ff…
11-10 04:18:36	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x443b85…
11-10 04:18:33	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xd78982…
11-10 04:13:19	Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x799128…
11-10 04:13:04	Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x12d7e2…
11-10 04:13:03	Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xef01b3…
11-10 04:13:03	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x4d0031…
11-10 04:10:45	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf579b9…
11-10 04:07:15	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x57d3d4…
11-10 04:03:06	Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	32	83¢	$26	0xf4ffc9…
11-10 04:02:25	Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x7f1d99…
11-10 03:58:49	Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$33	0x1fbc76…
11-10 03:58:13	Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xd7e4aa…
11-10 03:58:13	Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$9	0xd618e5…
11-10 03:58:10	Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	No	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0xd79abf…
11-10 03:58:09	Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xdc8807…
11-10 03:51:00	Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x148a24…
11-10 03:51:00	Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0ab4c4…
11-10 03:46:24	Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xcbfd10…
11-10 03:44:57	Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x645b1d…
11-10 03:24:42	Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 12.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0xd40899…
11-10 03:24:39	Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 12.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd51969…
11-10 03:03:01	Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x56d7a1…
11-10 03:03:01	Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1d5318…
11-10 02:49:07	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x2ccbea…
11-10 02:49:07	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x1297c1…
11-10 02:48:13	Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd18100…
11-10 02:48:12	Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x79609c…
11-10 02:42:16	Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xbf6ce3…
11-10 02:41:18	Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xb88321…
11-10 02:41:18	Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$149	0x4045b2…
11-10 02:38:40	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x5b286d…
11-10 02:38:37	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa0902e…
11-10 02:34:10	White House press briefing room decommissioned by November 30?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x412991…
11-10 02:24:31	Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0xc889a5…
11-10 02:10:22	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbf93c4…
11-10 02:10:21	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x8f437b…
11-10 02:08:31	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xfb55c2…
11-10 02:07:57	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xa2c6ba…
11-10 02:07:55	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb40e4d…
11-10 02:07:55	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xa06287…
11-10 02:07:54	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1a6fd2…
11-10 02:05:28	Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x4f4f27…
11-10 02:04:21	Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9b75b8…