Realized P&L
-$2.00K
Unrealized P&L
-$207
Hit rate
9.6%
Resolved
1,235
Trades
8,027
lifetime
Volume
$120.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-11 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
65% 13% -$1,544
Politics
18% 14% -$315
Sports
10% 5% -$41
Tech
4% 37% -$31
Crypto
2% 43% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Sunderland qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? No +156 $149 97¢ $152 +$2 11-11 08:57
Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? No +153 $149 99¢ $152 +$2 11-10 02:41
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? No +196 $184 77¢ $151 -$34 11-10 19:22
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? No +156 $149 96¢ $149 $0 11-11 13:22
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"? No +138 $130 96¢ $133 +$3 11-11 09:36
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31? No +144 $136 86¢ $123 -$12 11-11 08:13
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +200 $178 58¢ $117 -$61 11-11 14:53
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +200 $187 48¢ $97 -$90 11-06 15:35
Will Leeds United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$4 11-11 07:46
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 $0 11-10 19:14
Will Bologna be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? No +80 $78 98¢ $78 +$1 11-10 12:06
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? No +100 $73 77¢ $77 +$4 11-09 23:30
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $65 60¢ $60 -$6 11-10 06:18
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +100 $86 56¢ $56 -$30 11-11 11:36
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? No +60 $56 94¢ $56 +$0 11-11 16:43
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +83 $51 58¢ $49 -$2 11-10 12:32
Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? No +48 $45 95¢ $46 +$0 11-09 23:12
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $45 91¢ $46 +$0 11-10 19:36
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? Yes +196 $10 23¢ $45 +$35 11-10 19:23
Will PP win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +51 $45 88¢ $45 -$1 11-10 15:49
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +55 $50 81¢ $45 -$5 11-11 19:10
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Los Angeles Rams in 2026? No — +49 $44 89¢ $44 +$0 11-11 04:25
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +50 $42 84¢ $42 +$0 11-11 15:40
Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +50 $40 84¢ $42 +$1 11-10 19:01
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? No +100 $37 40¢ $41 +$4 11-11 07:33
Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 80+ points? Yes +41 $39 95¢ $39 +$0 11-11 09:30
Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +51 $38 76¢ $39 +$0 11-10 21:08
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? No +62 $59 60¢ $38 -$21 11-08 11:31
Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +39 $38 95¢ $37 -$1 10-20 21:08
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +51 $39 72¢ $37 -$2 11-10 19:57