Nautical-Placement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,111

lifetime

Volume

$1.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.24K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

83% 67% +$5

Politics

17% 100% +$34

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	199	$629.2K	399,667	293,128	+106,540	open	—	03-18 18:25
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$181.8K	91,460	91,460	+0	open	—	03-29 17:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	87	$116.2K	117,987	0	+117,987	open	—	04-16 16:27
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$115.8K	75,166	43,736	+31,430	open	—	03-20 19:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	33	$65.6K	43,587	24,163	+19,424	open	—	01-28 19:51
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$39.5K	20,567	20,317	+250	open	—	02-11 13:35
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$35.0K	20,309	20,309	+0	open	—	02-10 17:09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$29.8K	15,880	15,630	+250	open	—	02-11 13:48
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$11.8K	7,143	7,143	+0	open	—	01-31 03:41
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	22	$11.4K	12,764	0	+12,764	open	—	07-29 17:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$10.0K	5,747	5,747	+0	open	—	05-14 13:49
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	4	$8.6K	4,507	4,507	+0	open	—	01-13 13:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	34	$8.3K	6,944	2,317	+4,627	open	—	06-17 19:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$8.0K	4,545	4,545	+0	open	—	04-28 20:56
Fed rate hike in 2026?	33	$6.4K	7,813	3,109	+4,704	open	—	08-11 21:03
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	13	$5.6K	4,574	1,574	+3,000	open	—	05-22 14:05
gop uses nuclear option to break filibuster by march 31 2026	4	$5.5K	2,813	2,813	+0	open	—	03-11 16:24
kristi noem out by march 31	17	$5.2K	2,924	2,924	+0	open	—	02-12 11:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$5.0K	5,435	0	+5,435	open	—	07-31 01:00
will trump try to fire powell by january 31	1	$5.0K	5,043	0	+5,043	open	—	01-28 23:37
will ilhan omar resign by march 31	3	$5.0K	5,128	0	+5,128	open	—	03-06 22:48
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	2	$4.6K	2,352	2,352	+0	open	—	03-06 22:41
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	8	$4.5K	4,183	1,278	+2,904	open	—	08-07 12:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-13 09:38
odds of gov shutdown over 90 on friday night	5	$4.3K	2,405	2,405	+0	open	—	01-31 02:59
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	4	$3.3K	3,593	73	+3,520	open	—	07-31 19:24
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	12	$3.2K	1,660	1,884	-224	open	—	02-15 16:19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	2	$2.8K	1,506	1,506	+0	open	—	01-14 02:32
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	57	$2.8K	2,999	395	+2,604	open	—	02-17 00:03
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	4	$2.6K	3,088	0	+3,088	open	—	07-16 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 21:03:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,695	59¢	$1,000	0x1be04c…
08-11 04:37:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	59¢	$52	0xaa8e95…
08-11 04:35:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	59¢	$47	0x01b1e6…
08-11 03:59:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	59¢	$45	0x89fdf5…
08-11 03:18:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	59¢	$196	0x160094…
08-11 02:55:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x85178a…
08-10 23:06:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	59¢	$125	0x7d1a06…
08-10 21:15:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x3ede65…
08-10 21:07:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	224	59¢	$132	0x1ecc5e…
08-10 20:54:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	59¢	$37	0x05907f…
08-10 19:56:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	59¢	$236	0x84a5f6…
08-07 12:36:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,504	56¢	$848	0x7965ba…
08-07 12:31:49	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,278	83¢	$1,061	0x0c4073…
08-07 09:46:06	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$4	0x05c668…
08-07 09:45:13	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	144	81¢	$117	0x73c5c1…
08-05 09:30:38	Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x2436f4…
08-05 05:17:26	Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x621d77…
08-04 16:07:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	64¢	$448	0x1058cc…
08-04 16:07:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xcab42a…
08-04 15:13:23	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xbec6db…
08-03 17:57:14	Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xf162ee…
08-02 19:59:53	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	301	95¢	$285	0x8a6fc6…
07-31 19:24:20	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	73	95¢	$69	0x8f4170…
07-31 11:33:03	GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x3d9d6a…
07-31 01:00:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	5,435	92¢	$5,000	0xbfc388…
07-30 23:34:53	GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xcf005b…
07-29 20:43:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0x6ffb3f…
07-29 17:04:57	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x83bbe3…
07-29 16:54:45	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0xaf60bb…
07-29 14:48:59	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd3e4bd…
07-29 10:55:02	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$9	0x99d954…
07-28 21:32:25	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x1642d5…
07-28 19:24:02	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	169	85¢	$144	0x593fca…
07-27 18:59:55	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2d5842…
07-26 18:10:28	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xde46f4…
07-22 20:56:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	65¢	$134	0x49d114…
07-22 20:46:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x0faad4…
07-22 19:17:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x4a216a…
07-22 19:06:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x74b300…
07-22 18:28:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xc87149…
07-22 18:27:16	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xde4222…
07-22 18:26:24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf8fecc…
07-22 18:26:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x0e54eb…
07-22 18:25:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	65¢	$81	0xe2d9d3…
07-22 18:00:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0xdcd40f…
07-19 23:48:16	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	101	86¢	$87	0x607ef2…
07-18 01:09:28	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,205	91¢	$1,100	0x897390…
07-18 01:06:48	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	2,321	90¢	$2,100	0xb0bd7f…
07-17 20:36:40	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,632	83¢	$3,000	0xc3459d…
07-17 17:55:48	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0xefa7f2…
07-17 16:42:40	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3d334d…
07-17 14:46:16	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	215	81¢	$174	0x94fda0…
07-17 13:39:31	Will Trump nationalize elections?	Yes	SELL	101	13¢	$14	0x2574d0…
07-16 19:11:17	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,760	85¢	$1,500	0x938317…
07-16 19:10:53	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,740	86¢	$1,500	0xcac657…
07-16 19:10:34	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	2,239	89¢	$2,000	0x0c431e…
07-16 19:09:04	Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	2,117	90¢	$1,900	0x51c072…
07-16 19:07:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	51¢	$306	0x55ad32…
07-16 17:23:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0xd3a2b6…
07-15 14:10:05	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11,123	90¢	$10,000	0x992903…
07-15 04:40:44	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x079457…
07-14 20:51:49	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	681	89¢	$606	0xc533f2…
07-14 18:32:32	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xbee50d…
07-14 14:57:50	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x672ebc…
07-13 09:38:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	90¢	$4,500	0xf5e7b3…
07-12 14:57:55	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0xd8e9bb…
07-08 15:55:16	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2b913a…
07-08 14:45:50	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	SELL	261	3¢	$8	0xf62fce…
07-07 20:46:55	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x079ea3…
07-07 20:28:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf12ce5…
07-07 20:10:23	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x368d0b…
07-07 17:49:22	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	SELL	783	2¢	$16	0x455b44…
07-07 17:37:43	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	No	SELL	346	2¢	$7	0x7e20d9…
07-07 17:35:22	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	No	SELL	1,038	1¢	$12	0x6c455a…
07-07 17:32:25	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	501	2¢	$10	0xb2848d…
07-07 17:32:11	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	543	2¢	$10	0x84f4db…
07-07 17:32:07	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	No	BUY	1,383	2¢	$22	0xa8805c…
07-07 14:52:41	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x83b169…
07-07 10:10:37	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	74	86¢	$64	0x385ff8…
07-07 10:10:31	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	74	86¢	$64	0xc5f6b8…
07-07 03:02:13	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xd23a45…
07-06 14:32:56	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	106	85¢	$90	0xdeaa36…
07-06 12:41:53	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x3cbf0b…
07-06 01:36:44	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0x0e7795…
07-04 21:12:47	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x21f2e6…
07-04 21:11:43	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,257	85¢	$1,071	0xbfc7c7…
07-04 21:11:05	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	175	86¢	$150	0xa6dc8d…
07-04 21:10:55	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	287	86¢	$247	0x5bb059…
07-04 21:10:29	Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	166	88¢	$146	0xc6559f…
07-04 21:09:46	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	977	84¢	$817	0x593084…
07-04 21:08:56	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,325	83¢	$1,100	0x32ca4b…
07-04 13:59:47	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	81	85¢	$68	0x7b61c0…
07-01 12:29:23	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x86f1b5…
07-01 12:27:52	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0x8240d4…
06-30 19:42:40	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf07244…
06-29 18:45:16	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	190	85¢	$162	0x5d5d01…
06-26 04:40:05	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x9bd636…
06-22 12:42:26	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	SELL	190	56¢	$107	0x303a6c…
06-22 02:13:10	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	578	1¢	$8	0xb40f0f…
06-20 21:57:47	GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1d8bf2…