Realized P&L
+$39
Unrealized P&L
+$1.48K
Hit rate
98.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,066
lifetime
Volume
$1.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.28K
Open exposure
$40.8K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 23:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
83% 67% +$5
Politics
17% 100% +$34
Tech
0%
Crypto
0% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +12,683 $11,368 91¢ $11.6K +$192 07-15 14:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,500 92¢ $4.6K +$75 07-13 09:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +4,627 $4,215 94¢ $4.3K +$111 06-17 19:32
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? No +3,593 $3,183 96¢ $3.4K +$248 07-18 01:06
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +3,865 $3,188 84¢ $3.2K +$58 07-17 20:36
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +3,088 $2,617 88¢ $2.7K +$116 07-16 19:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +2,239 $2,000 94¢ $2.1K +$116 07-16 19:10
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? No +2,117 $1,900 98¢ $2.1K +$170 07-16 19:09
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +2,949 $1,594 60¢ $1.8K +$190 07-16 19:07
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,469 $1,241 87¢ $1.3K +$37 07-16 19:11
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1,205 $1,100 94¢ $1.1K +$39 07-18 01:09
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +977 $817 88¢ $865 +$47 07-04 21:09
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +500 $430 86¢ $433 +$2 07-19 23:48
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +444 $400 96¢ $424 +$24 06-09 19:26
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +315 $284 95¢ $300 +$17 06-16 19:22
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +249 $214 90¢ $225 +$11 07-07 10:10
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +166 $146 88¢ $145 $-1 07-04 21:10
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? No +100 $85 90¢ $90 +$4 06-13 01:19
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? No +42 $12 74¢ $31 +$19 06-22 12:42
Will Trump nationalize elections? Yes -101 $-14 16¢ $-16 $-2 07-17 13:39
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? No +11 $9 86¢ $9 +$0 06-20 21:57