Realized P&L
+$39
Unrealized P&L
+$87
Hit rate
98.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,017
lifetime
Volume
$1.34M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.31K
Open exposure
$7.12K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 19:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
84% 67% +$5
Politics
16% 100% +$34
Tech
0%
Crypto
0% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +4,627 $4,215 94¢ $4.3K +$111 06-17 19:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,333 $760 55¢ $727 $-33 06-18 14:34
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No -600 $-551 99¢ $-595 $-45 06-09 02:02
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +444 $400 94¢ $420 +$20 06-09 19:26
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +417 $364 85¢ $356 $-8 06-30 19:42
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +315 $284 92¢ $290 +$6 06-16 19:22
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -291 $-259 84¢ $-243 +$16 05-29 15:02
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? No +100 $85 86¢ $86 +$2 06-13 01:19
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? No +42 $12 68¢ $29 +$16 06-22 12:42
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +23 $17 82¢ $19 +$1 06-13 23:48
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No -14 $-14 100¢ $-14 $-0 06-13 13:40
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? No +11 $9 85¢ $9 +$0 06-20 21:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-10 13:49