Serious-Authority 0xe1f16e…aa3a05
whale 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$589
Unrealized P&L
+$186
Hit rate
30.6%
Resolved
149
Trades
71,887
lifetime
Volume
$1.82M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$785
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
56% 41% +$392
Politics
16% 0% $-408
Sports
15% 48% +$111
Crypto
10% 0% $-685
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 987 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +297 $278 99¢ $293 +$15 07-20 13:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -156 $-428 82¢ $-128 +$300 07-08 11:25
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +264 $187 45¢ $120 $-67 07-10 03:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes -953 $-94 10¢ $-90 +$4 07-16 04:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +339 $127 18¢ $61 $-66 06-16 23:42
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes -470 $-6 6¢ $-28 $-23 07-01 18:11
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes -286 $-40 7¢ $-20 +$20 06-03 11:28
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +1,086 $32 1¢ $16 $-16 07-20 16:40
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +299 $29 5¢ $14 $-15 07-19 02:18
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -25 $-8 20¢ $-5 +$3 07-18 00:53
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +4 $6 95¢ $4 $-2 06-23 17:01
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +172 $37 2¢ $3 $-34 07-18 21:10
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +60 $7 2¢ $1 $-5 07-14 23:47
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $-59 64¢ $0 +$60 07-17 02:24
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +0 $-10 99¢ $0 +$11 07-18 18:10
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $6 8¢ $0 $-6 07-17 06:09
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 3¢ $0 +$0 06-30 08:41
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +0 $-10 1¢ $0 +$10 07-20 12:48
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +0 $3 2¢ $0 $-3 07-09 20:28