Serious-Authority 0xe1f16e…aa3a05
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$411
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
5,009
Trades
93,651
lifetime
Volume
$2.31M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.78K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 275 days
Categories
Other
60% 39% +$2,315
Sports
15% 47% +$753
Politics
14% 43% +$4,793
Crypto
8% 33% -$917
Tech
3% 47% +$404
Pop-Culture
0% 45% -$140
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 301 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +280 $249 86¢ $239 -$10 10-01 19:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +338 $304 70¢ $238 -$65 10-17 19:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +280 $237 82¢ $231 -$6 10-19 21:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +300 $75 58¢ $174 +$99 10-20 13:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +180 -$209 87¢ $156 +$365 08-07 08:38
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India India +145 $80 100¢ $145 +$65 10-25 22:17
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes -1,035 -$92 13¢ $-134 -$43 09-22 22:03
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -610 -$48 11¢ $-65 -$17 10-19 00:00
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +401 $53 15¢ $58 +$6 10-06 04:08
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +293 $190 20¢ $57 -$133 08-21 19:24
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes -470 -$6 11¢ $-50 -$45 07-01 18:11
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -395 -$55 11¢ $-41 +$14 05-20 15:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? Yes +173 -$21 15¢ $25 +$46 10-20 11:19
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -233 -$40 11¢ $-24 +$15 05-12 06:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +180 -$45 13¢ $24 +$69 08-02 07:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -1,242 -$41 2¢ $-22 +$19 08-15 01:13
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +400 $10 4¢ $16 +$6 10-25 02:58
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes -273 -$45 4¢ $-11 +$34 10-06 20:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +12 $36 79¢ $10 -$26 10-19 20:15
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -151 -$6 6¢ $-10 -$4 06-23 23:55
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes -255 -$20 3¢ $-8 +$12 10-18 16:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +51 $53 12¢ $6 -$47 10-20 15:03
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $4 3¢ $5 +$2 10-17 12:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +170 $24 3¢ $5 -$18 10-15 06:55
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +251 $8 2¢ $5 -$2 10-13 10:34
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -1,188 -$20 0¢ $-5 +$16 10-02 07:18
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes -12 -$3 38¢ $-4 -$2 05-02 12:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +217 $7 2¢ $4 -$3 10-14 20:05
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes -45 -$4 8¢ $-4 $0 09-13 16:00
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +47 -$62 8¢ $4 +$66 10-17 07:39