Realized P&L
-$589
Unrealized P&L
+$297
Hit rate
30.6%
Resolved
149
Trades
71,020
lifetime
Volume
$1.79M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$350
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 19:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
56% 41% +$392
Politics
16% 0% $-408
Sports
15% 48% +$111
Crypto
10% 0% $-685
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +339 $127 29¢ $96 $-31 06-16 23:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +118 $-190 72¢ $84 +$274 06-17 20:26
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No -46 $-77 99¢ $-46 +$31 06-17 13:37
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes -286 $-40 14¢ $-39 +$1 06-03 11:28
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +114 $45 25¢ $29 $-16 06-20 21:55
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +299 $30 $24 $-5 05-29 06:26
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $27 $22 $-4 06-20 14:39
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +4 $6 92¢ $3 $-2 06-23 17:01
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? Yes -784 $-2 $-2 +$1 06-29 17:34
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? Yes -76 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-29 13:32
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? Yes +215 $26 $1 $-24 06-10 09:15
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? Yes -124 $-39 $-1 +$39 06-25 22:41
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 +$0 06-25 07:59
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? No +0 $-17 99¢ $0 +$17 06-22 06:18
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +1 $-15 48¢ $0 +$15 06-25 12:46
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes -27 $-3 $-0 +$3 05-28 23:32