Serious-Authority 0xe1f16e…aa3a05 Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$272
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
5,185
Trades
95,885
lifetime
Volume
$2.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 20:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 287 days
Categories
Other
60% 39% +$1,791
Sports
15% 47% +$614
Politics
14% 46% +$4,161
Crypto
8% 33% -$917
Tech
3% 47% +$404
Pop-Culture
0% 45% -$140
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 390 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? Yes +300 $274 93¢ $280 +$6 11-13 15:03
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +432 $123 61¢ $263 +$140 11-01 05:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +281 $355 89¢ $249 -$105 11-13 18:06
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +644 $272 29¢ $187 -$85 11-12 18:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +217 $200 82¢ $179 -$21 11-13 18:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +180 -$209 98¢ $175 +$385 08-07 08:38
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes -470 -$6 34¢ $-160 -$155 07-01 18:11
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +296 $88 32¢ $95 +$7 10-29 17:38
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +75 $52 98¢ $74 +$21 10-27 14:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes -1,035 -$92 6¢ $-67 +$24 09-22 22:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +278 $28 22¢ $61 +$32 11-13 20:28
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes -260 -$49 22¢ $-58 -$10 11-09 21:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +101 $54 54¢ $54 +$0 11-13 20:54
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? No +54 $77 99¢ $53 -$23 11-12 07:36
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -610 -$48 8¢ $-51 -$2 10-19 00:00
Will Anthropic IPO on November 27, 2026? No +50 $45 100¢ $50 +$5 11-08 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 13? Yes +47 -$18 100¢ $47 +$65 11-13 13:42
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $64 12¢ $36 -$28 11-01 09:25
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +43 $17 71¢ $31 +$14 05-01 13:11
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $75 10¢ $28 -$46 10-29 16:17
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027? Yes +141 $55 19¢ $27 -$28 11-02 15:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +211 $36 11¢ $24 -$12 11-13 08:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +125 $75 18¢ $22 -$52 11-13 18:57
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? Yes +300 -$32 6¢ $19 +$51 08-23 17:23
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 9 above $165? No +16 -$6 100¢ $16 +$21 11-13 14:59
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +44 -$112 29¢ $13 +$125 05-14 20:35
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +314 $4 4¢ $12 +$8 11-11 22:40
Will Jensen Huang be arrested by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $15 3¢ $10 -$5 11-13 04:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +299 $69 3¢ $9 -$59 11-13 00:09
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 11-13 03:37