Serious-Authority 0xe1f16e…aa3a05 Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$317
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
5,183
Trades
95,839
lifetime
Volume
$2.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 15:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 286 days
Categories
Other
60% 39% +$1,804
Sports
15% 47% +$614
Politics
14% 46% +$4,161
Crypto
8% 33% -$917
Tech
3% 47% +$404
Pop-Culture
0% 45% -$140
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 390 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? Yes +300 $274 93¢ $280 +$6 11-13 15:03
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +432 $123 61¢ $263 +$140 11-01 05:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +321 $233 78¢ $252 +$18 11-13 14:47
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026? No +270 $234 92¢ $250 +$16 11-13 13:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +246 $223 76¢ $187 -$36 11-13 04:21
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +644 $272 29¢ $187 -$85 11-12 18:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +180 -$209 97¢ $175 +$384 08-07 08:38
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes -470 -$6 34¢ $-160 -$155 07-01 18:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +222 $131 60¢ $133 +$2 11-13 06:21
Will Jensen Huang be arrested by December 31, 2026? No +118 $108 95¢ $113 +$5 11-13 04:49
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +296 $88 32¢ $95 +$7 10-29 17:38
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +75 $52 98¢ $74 +$21 10-27 14:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes -1,035 -$92 6¢ $-67 +$24 09-22 22:03
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes -260 -$49 22¢ $-58 -$10 11-09 21:48
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? No +54 $77 100¢ $53 -$23 11-12 07:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +217 $92 24¢ $52 -$40 11-13 13:57
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -610 -$48 8¢ $-50 -$2 10-19 00:00
Will Anthropic IPO on November 27, 2026? No +50 $45 100¢ $50 +$5 11-08 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 13? Yes +47 -$18 100¢ $47 +$65 11-13 13:42
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $64 12¢ $36 -$28 11-01 09:25
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +43 $17 71¢ $31 +$14 05-01 13:11
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $75 10¢ $28 -$46 10-29 16:17
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027? Yes +141 $55 19¢ $27 -$28 11-02 15:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +211 $36 11¢ $24 -$13 11-13 08:09
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 9 above $165? Yes +299 $140 8¢ $22 -$118 11-13 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on November 13? Yes +248 $22 8¢ $21 -$1 11-13 16:59
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? Yes +300 -$32 6¢ $19 +$51 08-23 17:23
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 9 above $165? No +16 -$6 92¢ $14 +$20 11-13 14:59
Will Jensen Huang be arrested by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $15 5¢ $14 -$1 11-13 04:49
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +44 -$112 29¢ $13 +$125 05-14 20:35