Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f504…ec6824
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$96.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.55K
Hit rate
76.4%
Resolved
2,834
Trades
20,214
lifetime
Volume
$1.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$49.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 20:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Politics
63% 56% +$63,582
Other
32% 52% +$25,742
Sports
2% 50% +$3,629
Crypto
1% 43% +$1,884
Tech
1% 65% +$1,741
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +18,444 $16,321 99¢ $18.3K +$1,985 10-24 23:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +9,844 $9,745 100¢ $9.8K +$59 10-23 15:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +18,189 $3,965 16¢ $2.8K -$1,146 10-21 14:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,000 $2,760 92¢ $2.8K +$15 10-28 15:38
US recession by end of 2026? No +2,615 $2,146 94¢ $2.4K +$299 10-01 14:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +8,313 $1,893 24¢ $2.0K +$102 10-21 14:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,700 82¢ $1.6K -$70 10-02 02:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +2,894 $1,099 36¢ $1.0K -$72 10-23 13:54
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $930 96¢ $960 +$30 09-23 03:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,500 $1,330 50¢ $742 -$587 10-27 23:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $403 60¢ $602 +$199 10-07 21:59
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,990 $382 30¢ $597 +$215 10-28 20:19
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +718 $508 71¢ $510 +$2 10-27 11:51
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +524 $309 82¢ $432 +$123 10-20 16:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $399 43¢ $429 +$30 10-12 10:42
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,382 $109 18¢ $417 +$308 10-28 20:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +582 $371 68¢ $398 +$27 10-20 23:45
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,811 $187 22¢ $398 +$212 10-28 20:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +500 $315 68¢ $342 +$28 10-04 03:47
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,159 $277 8¢ $335 +$57 10-23 20:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $270 20¢ $308 +$38 09-27 20:13
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +322 $293 94¢ $304 +$11 10-08 03:07
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +730 $394 36¢ $259 -$135 09-23 20:50
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +347 $201 66¢ $229 +$28 10-21 00:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,896 $338 8¢ $217 -$121 10-21 14:31
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +476 $230 38¢ $181 -$50 09-11 01:08
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? Yes +885 $187 20¢ $180 -$7 10-28 17:36
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +919 $270 18¢ $165 -$104 10-13 08:50
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +312 $86 52¢ $164 +$78 10-19 19:40
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +151 $144 96¢ $145 +$0 10-08 03:02