Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f504…ec6824
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$590
Unrealized P&L
+$159
Hit rate
66.4%
Resolved
27
Trades
7,454
lifetime
Volume
$514.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$4.05K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-05 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
51% 46% +$554
Other
40% 42% +$238
Sports
4% 50% $-201
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,305 90¢ $1.4K +$52 07-01 15:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,367 $783 24¢ $791 +$8 06-30 22:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $800 38¢ $770 $-30 07-03 08:57
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -500 $-370 80¢ $-397 $-27 06-09 07:13
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +302 $144 100¢ $302 +$158 06-20 14:08
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +262 $136 100¢ $261 +$125 06-30 16:36
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +222 $51 22¢ $48 $-3 07-03 11:03
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +992 $58 4¢ $45 $-13 07-04 21:21
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +52 $36 76¢ $39 +$3 06-07 10:34
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -26 $-18 78¢ $-20 $-2 06-17 02:31
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +104 $23 8¢ $8 $-15 06-03 03:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +55 $10 12¢ $7 $-3 06-10 18:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,000 $94 0¢ $2 $-93 06-24 16:14