Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f504…ec6824
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$590
Unrealized P&L
+$260
Hit rate
66.4%
Resolved
27
Trades
6,261
lifetime
Volume
$440.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$3.69K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
46% 46% +$554
Other
44% 42% +$238
Sports
4% 50% $-201
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,553 $2,234 97¢ $2.5K +$238 06-15 01:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -500 $-370 78¢ $-390 $-20 06-09 07:13
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +493 $163 54¢ $266 +$103 06-11 18:08
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +222 $180 79¢ $175 $-4 06-13 20:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +555 $150 26¢ $147 $-3 06-15 01:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +111 $74 60¢ $66 $-8 06-15 12:58
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +333 $78 16¢ $55 $-23 06-15 00:53
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +849 $42 4¢ $38 $-4 06-15 11:11
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +52 $36 72¢ $37 +$1 06-07 10:34
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +104 $23 20¢ $21 $-2 06-03 03:08
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +2,061 $21 0¢ $8 $-12 06-07 02:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +55 $10 12¢ $6 $-4 06-10 18:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +578 $5 1¢ $5 +$0 06-11 23:37
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No +360 $4 1¢ $3 $-2 06-10 14:47
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +20 $2 7¢ $1 $-1 05-31 00:29