Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
9
lifetime
Volume
$1.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$134
Open exposure
$1.19K
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 21:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
98%
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No +1,033 $982 98¢ $1.0K +$34 05-05 21:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? No +150 $146 98¢ $146 +$0 05-05 00:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026? Yes +64 $14 26¢ $17 +$3 05-05 10:35
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -405 $-6 $-7 $-1 05-05 19:47
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +611 $27 $3 $-23 05-05 21:54