Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f504…ec6824
whale 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
-$730
Unrealized P&L
+$1.62K
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved (24h)
10
Trades (24h)
62
20,261 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$9.78K
$1.39M lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$50.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 16:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 286 days
Categories
Politics
63% 56% +$63,152
Other
32% 51% +$25,442
Sports
2% 50% +$3,629
Crypto
1% 43% +$1,884
Tech
1% 65% +$1,741
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +18,444 $16,321 99¢ $18.3K +$2,004 10-24 23:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +9,844 $9,745 100¢ $9.8K +$74 10-23 15:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +18,189 $3,965 16¢ $2.8K -$1,146 10-21 14:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,000 $2,760 92¢ $2.8K +$15 10-28 15:38
US recession by end of 2026? No +2,615 $2,146 94¢ $2.5K +$325 10-01 14:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +8,313 $1,893 24¢ $2.0K +$60 10-21 14:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,700 82¢ $1.6K -$70 10-02 02:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1,500 $1,060 74¢ $1.1K +$58 10-29 08:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +2,894 $1,099 35¢ $1.0K -$87 10-23 13:54
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $930 96¢ $965 +$35 09-23 03:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,500 $1,330 56¢ $847 -$482 10-27 23:09
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,990 $382 38¢ $766 +$384 10-28 20:19
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +718 $508 78¢ $560 +$53 10-27 11:51
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,811 $187 27¢ $489 +$302 10-28 20:06
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +524 $309 82¢ $432 +$123 10-20 16:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $399 43¢ $428 +$29 10-12 10:42
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,382 $109 18¢ $417 +$308 10-28 20:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +582 $371 70¢ $404 +$33 10-20 23:45
trump renames new mexico to new america by december 31 2026 Yes +4,159 $277 8¢ $354 +$76 10-23 20:17
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +500 $315 70¢ $352 +$38 10-04 03:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $270 20¢ $308 +$38 09-27 20:13
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +322 $293 95¢ $304 +$11 10-08 03:07
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +730 $394 36¢ $259 -$135 09-23 20:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,896 $338 8¢ $246 -$92 10-21 14:31
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +347 $201 68¢ $234 +$33 10-21 00:49
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +476 $230 36¢ $169 -$61 09-11 01:08
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +919 $270 17¢ $156 -$114 10-13 08:50
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +151 $144 96¢ $145 +$1 10-08 03:02
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +312 $86 44¢ $136 +$50 10-19 19:40
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +1,000 $364 12¢ $125 -$239 10-21 15:01