Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f504…ec6824
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$38.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.27K
Hit rate
75.2%
Resolved (90d)
1,665
Trades (90d)
9,891
20,046 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$720.0K
$1.36M lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$46.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 03:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Politics
63% 56% +$63,612
Other
33% 52% +$25,742
Sports
2% 50% +$3,629
Crypto
1% 43% +$1,884
Tech
1% 65% +$1,741
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +18,444 $16,321 99¢ $18.3K +$1,949 10-24 23:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +9,844 $9,745 100¢ $9.8K +$54 10-23 15:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +18,189 $3,965 16¢ $2.9K -$1,055 10-21 14:31
US recession by end of 2026? No +2,615 $2,146 92¢ $2.4K +$273 10-01 14:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +8,313 $1,893 24¢ $2.0K +$60 10-21 14:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,700 82¢ $1.6K -$70 10-02 02:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +2,894 $1,099 35¢ $1.0K -$87 10-23 13:54
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $930 96¢ $955 +$25 09-23 03:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,500 $1,330 50¢ $757 -$572 10-27 23:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $403 65¢ $650 +$247 10-07 21:59
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +718 $508 72¢ $517 +$9 10-27 11:51
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +524 $309 87¢ $455 +$146 10-20 16:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $399 43¢ $431 +$32 10-12 10:42
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,830 $337 23¢ $421 +$83 10-27 22:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +582 $371 68¢ $393 +$21 10-20 23:45
trump renames new mexico to new america by december 31 2026 Yes +4,159 $277 8¢ $351 +$74 10-23 20:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $270 22¢ $338 +$68 09-27 20:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +500 $315 68¢ $338 +$23 10-04 03:47
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +322 $293 95¢ $304 +$11 10-08 03:07
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,630 $151 18¢ $293 +$142 10-11 15:12
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +730 $394 36¢ $259 -$135 09-23 20:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,896 $338 8¢ $246 -$92 10-21 14:31
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +347 $201 66¢ $227 +$26 10-21 00:49
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,676 $15 13¢ $218 +$203 10-26 17:44
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +919 $270 20¢ $179 -$91 10-13 08:50
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +312 $86 56¢ $176 +$90 10-19 19:40
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +476 $230 36¢ $174 -$57 09-11 01:08
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +151 $144 96¢ $145 +$0 10-08 03:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +1,000 $364 14¢ $135 -$229 10-21 15:01
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +260 $12 52¢ $134 +$122 10-24 16:01