Realized P&L
+$38.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$378
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
1,364
Trades
7,148
lifetime
Volume
$583.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$9.17K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 16:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 221 days
Categories
Other
66% 79% +$27,835
Pop-Culture
15% 79% +$4,209
Politics
11% 78% +$5,028
Tech
7% 70% +$1,649
Crypto
1% 79% -$78
Sports
0% 60% -$75
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +3,329 $2,591 78¢ $2.6K -$11 10-30 02:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +1,873 $1,240 70¢ $1.3K +$62 10-19 17:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +1,560 $1,168 82¢ $1.3K +$112 10-30 14:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +2,139 $826 53¢ $1.1K +$307 10-24 14:08
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,247 $751 58¢ $723 -$28 10-31 16:59
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +1,650 $545 36¢ $586 +$41 10-22 02:40
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +750 $305 58¢ $434 +$129 10-31 16:59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +200 $140 84¢ $167 +$27 10-15 04:10
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +200 $1 78¢ $156 +$155 08-29 01:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +190 $56 80¢ $152 +$96 10-23 18:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +328 $269 42¢ $139 -$130 08-09 15:31
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +165 $115 79¢ $131 +$15 10-09 19:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +150 $62 74¢ $110 +$48 10-29 14:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +120 $95 80¢ $95 +$1 10-15 19:09
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +337 $109 22¢ $74 -$35 10-17 22:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +90 $50 74¢ $67 +$16 09-22 10:52
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +220 $47 14¢ $31 -$17 08-09 12:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +30 $12 30¢ $9 -$3 09-22 04:49
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +171 $135 1¢ $1 -$134 09-30 20:11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +196 $97 0¢ $1 -$96 09-14 13:16
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +397 $177 0¢ $1 -$177 10-10 01:44