Realized P&L
+$37.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$465
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
1,331
Trades
7,076
lifetime
Volume
$572.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$5.31K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 218 days
Categories
Other
66% 80% +$27,945
Pop-Culture
15% 79% +$3,026
Politics
11% 78% +$5,028
Tech
7% 70% +$1,649
Crypto
1% 83% +$78
Sports
0% 60% -$75
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +2,057 $1,617 78¢ $1.6K -$3 10-10 17:59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +1,873 $1,240 68¢ $1.3K +$43 10-19 17:20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,000 $608 55¢ $550 -$58 10-23 14:19
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +1,650 $545 32¢ $520 -$25 10-22 02:40
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +222 $178 86¢ $192 +$14 10-21 04:08
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +200 $140 92¢ $184 +$44 10-15 04:10
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +200 $1 91¢ $181 +$180 08-29 01:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +190 $56 88¢ $168 +$112 10-23 18:47
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +165 $115 78¢ $130 +$15 10-09 19:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +328 $269 36¢ $120 -$149 08-09 15:31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +120 $95 82¢ $99 +$4 10-15 19:09
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +337 $109 20¢ $66 -$43 10-17 22:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +90 $50 70¢ $63 +$13 09-22 10:52
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +196 $97 32¢ $63 -$34 09-14 13:16
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +220 $47 13¢ $29 -$19 08-09 12:34
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +397 $177 5¢ $22 -$155 10-10 01:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +30 $12 34¢ $10 -$2 09-22 04:49
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 Yes +343 $282 2¢ $9 -$273 08-09 08:13
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +171 $135 2¢ $3 -$132 09-30 20:11