Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$97
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
289
lifetime
Volume
$3.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$908
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 07-22 13:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
59% 0% $-3
Politics
23% 0% $-13
Tech
16%
Crypto
1%
Sports
1% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -270 $-119 58¢ $-158 $-39 06-19 14:52
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No +327 $36 30¢ $96 +$60 06-17 11:44
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +181 $30 35¢ $63 +$33 06-30 11:39
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? No -62 $-54 86¢ $-53 +$1 07-19 21:23
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? No +51 $41 86¢ $44 +$3 06-18 17:44
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +60 $44 72¢ $44 $-0 07-22 11:06
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027? No -40 $-38 98¢ $-39 $-1 07-19 06:36
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Mayweather +64 $33 56¢ $36 +$3 07-01 11:31
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +110 $47 32¢ $35 $-12 07-01 11:35
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? No +40 $32 84¢ $34 +$2 07-19 18:50
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? No +30 $25 92¢ $27 +$2 06-16 20:27
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +100 $20 24¢ $24 +$3 07-12 15:36
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? Yes +33 $19 70¢ $23 +$4 06-11 09:33
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? No +100 $13 19¢ $19 +$6 07-09 09:01
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? No -31 $-18 54¢ $-17 +$1 06-18 13:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +40 $25 42¢ $17 $-9 07-20 14:47
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +48 $15 34¢ $17 +$1 07-20 07:32
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? No +22 $6 73¢ $16 +$10 07-16 09:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +30 $-9 48¢ $15 +$24 07-19 23:19
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -15 $-14 96¢ $-14 $-0 07-12 15:35
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +20 $14 70¢ $14 $-0 07-20 19:17
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? No -15 $-14 93¢ $-14 +$0 07-08 08:40
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +40 $13 32¢ $13 +$0 07-19 10:02
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? Yes -70 $-11 18¢ $-13 $-1 07-21 11:02
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +18 $9 66¢ $12 +$3 07-21 07:46
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +35 $13 34¢ $12 $-2 07-20 17:07
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $10 70¢ $10 $-0 07-21 04:52
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -17 $-10 61¢ $-10 $-1 06-17 11:48
Blue wave in 2026? No -42 $-14 24¢ $-10 +$4 06-06 22:11
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 06-16 20:40