Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$15,275
$216 in 24h
Trades
531
Unique wallets
160
Liquidity
$17,451
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-30 11:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.2¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $923
vs crowd: 3% YES on $7.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $37 | $2.8K | $2.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $73 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $9 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 106 | $80 | $547 | $467 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $5 | $917 | $912 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $43 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $12 | $355 | $342 |
| Median | 33 | $59 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| Below median | 14 | $8 | $32 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $4 | $229 | $225 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | $640 | $638 |
| unranked | 76 | $63 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | +1,531 | $1,515 | $1,515 | 3 | 06-29 10:53 |
| Even-Hide 0x8930…9ac8 | Yes | +1,426 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-29 10:53 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +521 | $5 | $5 | 6 | 06-06 20:37 |
| Left-Peripheral 0x8c44…fcd4 | No | +476 | $470 | $470 | 2 | 06-29 10:53 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +368 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 05-30 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x668d…97d2 | No | +313 | $307 | $307 | 33 | 06-08 15:23 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +309 | $0 | $12 | 4 | 06-06 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b61…4d78 | Yes | +232 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-26 15:40 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +221 | $208 | $1,072 | 18 | 06-30 01:32 |
| Skeletal-Potty 0x1f61…7ea7 | Yes | +183 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 20:36 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +136 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-30 02:09 |
| Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | +134 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 06-14 09:50 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +121 | $108 | $1,890 | 14 | 06-28 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xe71c…06f3 | No | +103 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 06-30 02:09 |
| Accomplished-Property 0x7b84…a13e | No | +102 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 06-30 01:32 |
| Front-Fool 0x578d…87bf | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 11:26 |
| Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | +88 | $85 | $85 | 3 | 06-21 00:14 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +86 | $-1 | $3 | 9 | 06-30 01:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | +79 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf11a…9d5c | Yes | +77 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 06-06 19:01 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +69 | $1 | $2 | 5 | 06-21 09:13 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +58 | $0 | $4 | 9 | 06-06 20:36 |
| Critical-Banker 0xaf1f…9dc5 | Yes | +54 | $6 | $8 | 4 | 06-21 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x1de7…1e31 | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 06-29 10:53 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +33 | $-0 | $5 | 7 | 06-19 00:18 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +28 | $26 | $60 | 3 | 06-25 13:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x8271…0172 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-29 10:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x3844…11b4 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x17ad…1800 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-30 10:58 |
| Impassioned-Captain-Roommate 0xf5dc…9afe | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-10 02:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xd29e…fade | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc67…92e4 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0a1…cd65 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-14 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f8d…301b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x8757…0bed | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bac…a84e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| Serious-Motivation-Discrepancy 0x1d4b…50c5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x606d…7c98 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-04 09:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-04 07:45 |
| Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 10:53 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-30 01:32 |
| Informal-Battleship 0xfb4c…b749 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6c7…87f1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4881…7d9e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7d1…e74a | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0328…b22e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xed3c…8f4f | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6213…ae33 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 11:55 |
| Lumbering-Eleventh 0xe42a…09c2 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-08 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x712b…162f | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 12:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 11:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2b59fc… |
| 06-30 11:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x8271…0172 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x9249c0… |
| 06-30 11:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x019748… |
| 06-30 11:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xa172c8… |
| 06-30 11:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xb728…c347 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xa172c8… |
| 06-30 11:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x9249c0… |
| 06-30 11:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x7bac…a84e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x019748… |
| 06-30 11:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x659c…3788 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2b59fc… |
| 06-30 11:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa931b7… |
| 06-30 11:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe02e2b… |
| 06-30 11:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xe7d1…e74a | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa931b7… |
| 06-30 11:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xed3c…8f4f | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe02e2b… |
| 06-30 11:55:32 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1ca28f… |
| 06-30 11:55:32 | (anonymous) 0x8757…0bed | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1ca28f… |
| 06-30 11:55:31 | (anonymous) 0x3844…11b4 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x6ec6a1… |
| 06-30 11:55:31 | (anonymous) 0x9d0d…f8ae | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x227738… |
| 06-30 11:55:31 | (anonymous) 0xfc67…92e4 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2b4967… |
| 06-30 11:55:31 | (anonymous) 0xa6c7…87f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc02c1d… |
| 06-30 11:55:31 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x227738… |
| 06-30 11:55:31 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc02c1d… |
| 06-30 11:55:31 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x6ec6a1… |
| 06-30 11:55:31 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2b4967… |
| 06-30 11:55:29 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x36a08b… |
| 06-30 11:55:29 | (anonymous) 0x0328…b22e | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x9788a5… |
| 06-30 11:55:29 | (anonymous) 0x6213…ae33 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x36a08b… |
| 06-30 11:55:29 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x9788a5… |
| 06-30 11:55:29 | (anonymous) 0x7f8d…301b | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x1088e5… |
| 06-30 11:55:29 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x1088e5… |
| 06-30 11:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xfaaa…3cc3 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xee3983… |
| 06-30 11:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x4881…7d9e | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xee3983… |
| 06-30 02:09:26 | (anonymous) 0xe71c…06f3 | No | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0x0c1d43… |
| 06-30 02:09:26 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c1d43… |
| 06-30 02:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 79 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0c1d43… |
| 06-30 01:32:56 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x663791… |
| 06-30 01:32:56 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x663791… |
| 06-30 01:32:56 | Accomplished-Property 0x7b84…a13e | No | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x663791… |
| 06-30 01:32:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x663791… |
| 06-29 17:27:13 | (anonymous) 0x0333…7d70 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9030ab… |
| 06-29 17:27:13 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9030ab… |
| 06-29 10:53:50 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e5e31… |
| 06-29 10:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x2f77…4b79 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1e5e31… |
| 06-29 10:53:31 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc29619… |
| 06-29 10:53:31 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc29619… |
| 06-29 10:53:17 | Left-Peripheral 0x8c44…fcd4 | No | BUY | 146 | 99¢ | $144 | 0xc2fd71… |
| 06-29 10:53:17 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 94 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc2fd71… |
| 06-29 10:53:17 | Even-Hide 0x8930…9ac8 | Yes | BUY | 1,426 | 1¢ | $15 | 0xc2fd71… |
| 06-29 10:53:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xc2fd71… |
| 06-29 10:53:17 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xc2fd71… |
| 06-29 10:53:17 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | BUY | 1,106 | 99¢ | $1,095 | 0xc2fd71… |
| 06-29 10:53:17 | (anonymous) 0x1de7…1e31 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc2fd71… |
| 06-29 08:28:35 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe80b2b… |
| 06-29 08:28:35 | Vicious-Erosion 0x8525…2d62 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe80b2b… |
| 06-28 10:56:35 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03e0e7… |
| 06-28 10:56:35 | (anonymous) 0x3298…68b1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03e0e7… |
| 06-28 10:55:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 95 | 99¢ | $94 | 0x2f13b2… |
| 06-28 10:55:04 | (anonymous) 0x3298…68b1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2f13b2… |
| 06-28 10:55:04 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2f13b2… |
| 06-27 09:50:52 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x158859… |
| 06-27 09:50:52 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x158859… |
| 06-26 15:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x9b61…4d78 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x09ef17… |
| 06-26 15:40:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x09ef17… |
| 06-26 15:30:43 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe54da1… |
| 06-26 15:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe54da1… |
| 06-26 15:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x9b61…4d78 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe54da1… |
| 06-26 15:30:43 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe54da1… |
| 06-26 00:22:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xae863d… |
| 06-26 00:22:02 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae863d… |
| 06-25 20:38:56 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x326755… |
| 06-25 20:38:56 | Extra-Small-Love 0xe9ba…8732 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x326755… |
| 06-25 14:40:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0x7e7129… |
| 06-25 14:40:13 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e7129… |
| 06-25 14:15:13 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x451f7c… |
| 06-25 14:15:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x451f7c… |
| 06-25 14:15:13 | (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x451f7c… |
| 06-25 13:01:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe8af27… |
| 06-25 13:01:25 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe8af27… |
| 06-25 12:55:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xafdc7d… |
| 06-25 12:55:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 47 | 100¢ | $46 | 0xafdc7d… |
| 06-24 16:45:20 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x14d592… |
| 06-24 16:45:20 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14d592… |
| 06-24 01:03:01 | Serious-Motivation-Discrepancy 0x1d4b…50c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x170dda… |
| 06-24 01:03:01 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x170dda… |
| 06-23 16:34:50 | Tremendous-Sinuosity 0xfd21…58a8 | No | SELL | 420 | 99¢ | $415 | 0x925f5d… |
| 06-23 16:34:50 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | BUY | 420 | 99¢ | $415 | 0x925f5d… |
| 06-22 11:26:40 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x32d50f… |
| 06-22 11:26:40 | Front-Fool 0x578d…87bf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x32d50f… |
| 06-22 10:37:37 | Cute-Overnighter 0x7cd2…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 273 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x868de8… |
| 06-22 10:37:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 132 | 100¢ | $132 | 0x868de8… |
| 06-22 10:37:37 | (anonymous) 0x438e…67c7 | No | SELL | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0x868de8… |
| 06-22 10:37:37 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x868de8… |
| 06-21 14:23:32 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | SELL | 229 | 99¢ | $227 | 0xaa81d4… |
| 06-21 14:23:32 | Left-Peripheral 0x8c44…fcd4 | No | BUY | 329 | 99¢ | $326 | 0xaa81d4… |
| 06-21 14:23:32 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaa81d4… |
| 06-21 09:40:10 | Critical-Banker 0xaf1f…9dc5 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x738c47… |
| 06-21 09:40:10 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x738c47… |
| 06-21 09:13:58 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | SELL | 168 | 99¢ | $166 | 0x8bde9f… |
| 06-21 09:13:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bde9f… |
| 06-21 09:13:58 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8bde9f… |
| 06-21 09:13:58 | Quixotic-Beancurd 0x4230…152e | Yes | SELL | 307 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x8bde9f… |
| 06-21 09:13:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8bde9f… |