Critical-Banker 0xaf1f63…329dc5
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$58
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
79
Trades
462
lifetime
Volume
$14.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$1.05K
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-24 08:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Other
60% 41% -$66
Politics
40% 48% +$124
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +1,050 $482 44¢ $467 -$15 10-23 12:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +986 $319 35¢ $345 +$26 10-24 08:48
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +160 $63 43¢ $69 +$6 09-28 10:19
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +160 $36 32¢ $51 +$16 09-28 10:19
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +54 $32 70¢ $38 +$6 10-22 18:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +94 $25 29¢ $27 +$1 10-24 08:47
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +125 $29 18¢ $23 -$6 10-07 13:07
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -35 $0 44¢ $-16 -$16 07-08 10:55
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +23 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 05-18 21:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10 $5 45¢ $4 -$1 05-13 19:33
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $1 3¢ $3 +$2 10-13 07:41
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +42 $8 4¢ $2 -$6 10-02 15:02
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +12 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-22 17:14
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +13 $10 7¢ $1 -$10 09-18 16:27
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +23 $1 3¢ $1 $0 05-20 10:11
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +8 $8 8¢ $1 -$8 07-10 13:08
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +12 $1 6¢ $1 $0 08-18 10:21
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +69 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 07-07 19:31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 05-14 12:32