Safe-Vise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,912

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-29 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

36% — —

Other

26% — —

Sports

22% 50% +$2

Politics

13% 0% $-1

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 369 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	467	$4.1K	6,649	7,361	-712	open	—	06-01 17:00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	85	$1.3K	2,183	2,173	+10	open	—	06-19 17:24
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	85	$597	859	794	+65	open	—	05-31 15:39
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	59	$594	1,113	1,090	+24	open	—	03-25 19:07
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	123	$558	1,135	1,135	+0	open	—	04-21 16:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	31	$456	317	292	+25	open	—	06-01 12:03
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$415	437	0	+437	Yes	+$21	04-24 15:24
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	66	$400	1,748	1,413	+335	open	—	06-29 16:17
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	40	$384	1,039	918	+121	open	—	05-18 07:30
will the charlotte hornets make the nba playoffs 311	62	$339	340	335	+5	open	—	04-14 00:00
will the golden state warriors make the nba playoffs 223	76	$314	351	350	+2	open	—	04-14 04:48
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	46	$295	780	789	-9	open	—	05-18 06:54
will the portland trail blazers make the nba playoffs 772	51	$281	281	245	+36	open	—	04-13 09:19
will the philadelphia 76ers make the nba playoffs 553	32	$268	201	188	+13	open	—	04-14 03:26
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	47	$224	390	344	+46	open	—	05-24 15:17
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	20	$199	226	99	+126	open	—	03-25 19:36
will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	33	$199	154	134	+20	open	—	04-13 22:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	19	$190	161	138	+23	open	—	06-24 21:10
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	22	$188	203	223	-20	open	—	06-04 21:59
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$152	442	0	+442	open	—	04-01 10:03
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$145	442	0	+442	open	—	04-01 10:03
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	350	$143	86	86	+0	open	—	04-18 07:05
will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	27	$126	169	101	+69	open	—	04-14 09:47
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	16	$106	159	158	+1	open	—	05-21 21:32
will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	21	$100	144	94	+49	open	—	04-13 22:57
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	5	$79	55	40	+15	No	$-1	04-25 13:55
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$74	442	0	+442	open	—	04-01 10:03
starmer out by july 31 2026	11	$73	65	65	+0	open	—	06-19 14:56
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	6	$66	115	23	+92	open	—	06-05 19:09
will the toronto raptors make the nba playoffs 961	8	$55	50	26	+23	open	—	04-11 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:17:31	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x901ef9…
06-29 15:48:28	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	174	6¢	$10	0xf67ecc…
06-29 15:48:22	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xd86df8…
06-29 15:29:37	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x66708d…
06-29 08:55:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xabc1bf…
06-29 08:13:47	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xd6b8dc…
06-29 08:12:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xaf1e73…
06-29 06:15:38	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x0a8ba8…
06-28 18:21:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x4ee5dc…
06-28 06:56:05	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xff27a7…
06-28 06:14:08	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x8e0c2e…
06-27 23:50:41	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x40b369…
06-27 23:50:41	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x40b369…
06-27 22:36:05	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0x800a71…
06-27 11:01:16	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0xa31999…
06-27 10:58:56	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7fa224…
06-27 10:56:50	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	88	6¢	$5	0x529aa6…
06-27 10:35:23	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8b6158…
06-27 10:14:01	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7f61e2…
06-27 09:27:01	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x52314b…
06-27 08:17:50	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x8b0377…
06-27 08:17:07	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x6c4e3b…
06-27 08:16:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0xceae1d…
06-27 08:15:11	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x62511a…
06-27 08:14:56	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x97da09…
06-27 08:08:58	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x9f0eab…
06-27 08:01:14	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x906352…
06-27 04:43:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x8647c8…
06-27 00:35:28	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x272a3a…
06-26 19:36:17	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	152	5¢	$8	0x4be3ef…
06-26 19:36:01	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x9a9501…
06-26 15:19:49	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xacbde8…
06-26 11:13:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x45736b…
06-26 09:22:53	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x5babcf…
06-26 09:17:05	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1c076c…
06-26 09:12:07	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0xaf2a39…
06-26 09:12:07	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x20f98c…
06-26 09:12:04	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xc50fe9…
06-26 09:08:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x04c766…
06-26 08:55:38	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x4323e9…
06-26 08:55:38	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x00c39e…
06-26 08:47:50	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0xb4b97e…
06-26 08:23:05	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x1060fc…
06-24 21:10:04	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xf4bee5…
06-24 20:08:08	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xc3d0e0…
06-24 10:23:40	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xfcc89c…
06-24 09:58:53	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2f4e04…
06-24 05:11:17	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x9d7c71…
06-24 04:50:29	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x5987a7…
06-24 03:13:55	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xe75f74…
06-23 17:41:59	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x4d1730…
06-23 17:38:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4d5ecf…
06-23 01:03:20	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x68be0e…
06-21 15:45:19	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x618f4c…
06-21 15:43:25	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x6460b6…
06-20 14:34:35	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x5d98e3…
06-20 12:48:58	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x1da45d…
06-20 07:12:47	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x08cf26…
06-19 17:29:08	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xa84c0a…
06-19 17:24:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	64¢	$25	0xddb2e3…
06-19 17:22:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xc484b6…
06-19 17:20:52	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0x22b0f0…
06-19 17:16:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xddcb09…
06-19 17:12:47	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x294bf4…
06-19 16:20:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0x8c48b0…
06-19 16:16:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x84706e…
06-19 15:49:44	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0x2c91e4…
06-19 15:41:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xc5a75d…
06-19 15:38:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	41¢	$25	0x966862…
06-19 14:56:08	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	39	72¢	$28	0x5a70fa…
06-19 14:54:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcb07a8…
06-19 14:53:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8ab58a…
06-19 14:52:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	41¢	$16	0x0123b5…
06-19 14:19:32	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	43¢	$25	0xdaacf4…
06-19 14:17:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x0bae26…
06-19 14:08:46	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe32c46…
06-19 14:08:43	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x798b55…
06-19 14:00:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	43¢	$15	0xf2bbce…
06-19 13:59:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	44¢	$11	0x0df242…
06-19 13:57:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	44¢	$25	0xeba3e1…
06-19 13:57:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xc90227…
06-19 13:55:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x6a3526…
06-19 13:55:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x178783…
06-19 13:53:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	38¢	$16	0xd0a601…
06-19 13:52:32	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xf2b594…
06-19 13:52:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x88ef10…
06-19 13:52:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x76616e…
06-19 13:50:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0xec41ad…
06-19 13:49:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xe820b3…
06-19 13:49:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x206f4f…
06-19 13:46:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	36¢	$26	0x89948c…
06-19 13:46:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x01386c…
06-19 13:46:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	37¢	$29	0x199059…
06-19 11:47:14	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0xbd80de…
06-19 10:14:38	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0xbab4f7…
06-19 10:12:53	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0xb0699c…
06-19 10:09:52	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xb6375b…
06-19 10:02:11	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x08a78e…
06-19 09:14:55	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x7e0dab…
06-19 09:14:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xbba450…