Realized P&L
+$2.76K
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
2,029
Trades
4,388
lifetime
Volume
$80.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$243
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 10-31 05:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Crypto
79% 61% +$2,426
Other
16% 50% +$436
Politics
4% 75% -$103
Sports
1% 32% +$5
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +70 $54 82¢ $58 +$3 10-07 16:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +34 $29 92¢ $31 +$2 07-05 12:44
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 Yes +176 $88 11¢ $18 -$70 09-04 09:38
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +18 $17 96¢ $17 +$1 09-23 02:34
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +23 $13 74¢ $17 +$3 09-21 12:42
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +15 $13 96¢ $15 +$2 07-23 14:42
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +14 $12 100¢ $14 +$2 08-20 13:29
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +25 $13 52¢ $13 $0 10-31 04:43
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +14 $11 84¢ $11 +$0 07-15 15:12
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +9 $6 94¢ $8 +$2 07-07 05:03
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $4 26¢ $8 +$4 10-01 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $8 50¢ $7 $0 10-31 05:37
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +20 $3 26¢ $5 +$2 10-01 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +21 $10 22¢ $5 -$6 09-23 13:08
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +6 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 09-20 11:50
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$0 06-26 11:59
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $0 09-29 02:30
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 09-19 11:27
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-20 08:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $6 8¢ $1 -$5 06-23 08:12