Realized P&L
+$2.64K
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
2,033
Trades
4,391
lifetime
Volume
$80.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$240
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 11-01 10:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Crypto
79% 61% +$2,426
Other
16% 50% +$307
Politics
4% 75% -$100
Sports
1% 32% +$5
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +70 $54 82¢ $58 +$3 10-07 16:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +34 $29 92¢ $31 +$2 07-05 12:44
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes +176 $88 11¢ $18 -$70 09-04 09:38
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +18 $17 96¢ $17 +$1 09-23 02:34
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +23 $13 72¢ $16 +$3 09-21 12:42
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +25 $13 60¢ $15 +$2 10-31 04:43
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +15 $13 96¢ $15 +$2 07-23 14:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +14 $11 84¢ $11 +$0 07-15 15:12
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 $0 11-01 06:18
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $4 30¢ $9 +$5 10-01 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $8 62¢ $9 +$1 10-31 05:37
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +9 $6 95¢ $9 +$2 07-07 05:03
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +20 $3 30¢ $6 +$3 10-01 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +21 $10 22¢ $5 -$6 09-23 13:08
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +6 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 09-20 11:50
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$0 06-26 11:59
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 09-19 11:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $6 8¢ $1 -$5 06-23 08:12