Cheap-Halibut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$454

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

197

Trades

783

lifetime

Volume

$6.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$110

9 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-01 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Politics

65% 58% -$213

Other

20% 31% -$114

Sports

8% 32% -$125

Tech

7% 57% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+80	$31	56¢	$45	+$13	06-29 00:06
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+88	$35	44¢	$38	+$3	06-24 20:08
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+40	$18	38¢	$15	-$3	07-01 08:43
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	-10	-$9	95¢	$-10	$0	05-14 04:31
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	91¢	$1	+$0	05-20 13:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	74¢	$1	+$0	05-20 03:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1	$5	70¢	$1	-$5	05-20 03:54
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+1	$8	44¢	$0	-$8	06-04 17:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1	$2	32¢	$0	-$2	05-20 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	13	$400	254	208	+46	No	-$47	05-20 13:04
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	16	$304	166	165	+1	Yes	+$2	06-07 13:03
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	14	$226	122	122	+0	Yes	+$1	05-19 02:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	18	$224	135	135	+0	Yes	$0	06-05 01:21
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	16	$196	112	112	+0	Yes	-$1	06-05 00:11
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	4	$189	174	173	+1	open	—	05-20 08:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$184	158	157	+1	open	—	05-20 03:54
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?	16	$175	177	12	+165	Yes	+$13	05-21 14:12
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	9	$172	171	18	+153	Yes	+$15	05-21 03:26
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	10	$165	91	91	+0	Yes	-$2	05-19 20:35
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	2	$159	163	0	+163	Yes	+$4	05-20 17:52
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	13	$147	81	71	+10	Yes	+$1	05-17 17:43
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	18	$136	83	61	+22	Yes	+$3	05-20 03:42
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	10	$124	68	60	+8	Yes	+$1	05-18 01:52
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	4	$121	65	65	+0	Yes	+$1	05-21 12:44
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	11	$115	78	44	+34	Yes	+$2	05-18 04:50
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	15	$113	77	42	+35	Yes	+$2	06-03 02:33
Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?	6	$107	86	33	+53	No	-$47	05-18 12:20
Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	11	$104	53	53	+0	Yes	+$1	05-17 13:13
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	6	$103	71	44	+27	Yes	+$2	05-20 12:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$103	73	72	+1	open	—	06-04 17:47
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	10	$99	53	50	+3	Yes	+$1	05-19 02:01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$99	96	96	+0	open	—	05-19 13:16
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	9	$98	51	50	+1	Yes	+$2	05-17 13:13
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	5	$91	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 13:13
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	2	$83	48	48	+0	Yes	-$6	05-21 02:27
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	2	$80	53	53	+0	open	—	05-19 13:16
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$79	54	54	+0	open	—	05-19 13:16
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	10	$76	80	5	+75	Yes	+$9	05-15 22:04
Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?	7	$74	39	39	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:43:04	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xd7ab69…
07-01 08:43:04	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa919e4…
06-30 19:24:34	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x4fdc34…
06-30 19:24:34	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x147991…
06-30 00:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x0df674…
06-29 23:42:44	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x7b87b8…
06-29 23:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xaec691…
06-29 23:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x778979…
06-29 23:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xb2d224…
06-29 23:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x79ed7f…
06-29 23:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x02460e…
06-29 23:11:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x297563…
06-29 23:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd4a279…
06-29 23:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x73e06d…
06-29 23:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x4aa2de…
06-29 23:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 37°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x47c7b7…
06-29 23:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x3bcd99…
06-29 23:11:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x33fe0c…
06-29 23:11:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xf1f6b7…
06-29 23:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xcc735d…
06-29 23:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9a1fd0…
06-29 23:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x751644…
06-29 23:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 37°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4729ef…
06-29 23:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xcc8acb…
06-29 23:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xf7bab0…
06-29 23:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xd987b6…
06-29 23:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xcbed34…
06-29 23:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x83482d…
06-29 23:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x46337d…
06-29 23:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xee7042…
06-29 23:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xe513b6…
06-29 23:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x0576cd…
06-29 23:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc418bb…
06-29 23:10:53	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1b97e1…
06-29 23:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9972aa…
06-29 23:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x33064b…
06-29 23:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xdb1cd8…
06-29 23:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xb3c89d…
06-29 23:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x756799…
06-29 23:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5da637…
06-29 23:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5c5b84…
06-29 23:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x450546…
06-29 23:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x65d16a…
06-29 23:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x4f9285…
06-29 23:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xcf42e3…
06-29 23:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xae5da9…
06-29 23:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x8927e7…
06-29 23:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x85eeb6…
06-29 23:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x791d62…
06-29 23:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2fec91…
06-29 23:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x28c082…
06-29 23:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x20aae3…
06-29 23:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x09b190…
06-29 23:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xf704c6…
06-29 23:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x194de4…
06-29 23:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc117e2…
06-29 23:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3ecf72…
06-29 23:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xad1a1b…
06-29 23:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb26ec7…
06-29 23:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xeab6a9…
06-29 23:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xce0350…
06-29 23:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x8ac3a8…
06-29 23:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x563a95…
06-29 23:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x524d30…
06-29 23:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x307da6…
06-29 23:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x14b5c0…
06-29 23:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x0e9e91…
06-29 23:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x00bda0…
06-29 23:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0xfad8c8…
06-29 23:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xc9bd65…
06-29 23:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x1e4495…
06-29 23:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0xdce5e3…
06-29 23:10:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xf89a06…
06-29 23:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x445f41…
06-29 23:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x799afd…
06-29 23:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb4d17f…
06-29 23:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xddfc64…
06-29 23:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x34f962…
06-29 23:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x3448e2…
06-29 23:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x860a59…
06-29 23:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4e25a4…
06-29 23:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x206079…
06-29 23:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x6901d6…
06-29 23:09:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x617e50…
06-29 23:09:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd1756c…
06-29 23:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0xfbf069…
06-29 23:09:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa8ba32…
06-29 23:09:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x61fe99…
06-29 23:09:04	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xb19016…
06-29 23:09:02	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xa9b614…
06-29 23:09:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xbea613…
06-29 23:09:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0x6450ac…
06-29 23:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe3fbc8…
06-29 23:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbe2bfc…
06-29 23:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7c3a9e…
06-29 23:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x662da3…
06-29 23:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xbe7b98…
06-29 23:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x63c50e…
06-29 23:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0x6164e7…
06-29 23:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x0e4285…