Cheap-Halibut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$630

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-25 11:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$2

Sports

27% — —

Politics

8% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-7	$-6	86¢	$-6	$-0	06-05 19:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	10	$165	91	91	+0	open	—	05-19 20:35
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	9	$71	75	5	+70	open	—	05-15 22:04
James Comey arrested by April 29?	1	$28	40	0	+40	open	—	04-29 02:59
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	06-07 23:30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	6	$25	13	12	+1	open	—	06-07 00:54
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 04:31
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$24	15	14	+1	open	—	06-07 00:40
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$24	14	13	+1	open	—	06-07 00:49
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	06-06 23:25
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	06-06 10:38
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$23	14	12	+2	open	—	06-07 03:56
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$23	13	11	+2	open	—	06-07 12:08
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	4	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	05-17 13:13
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 04:31
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	04-28 00:17
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 04:31
Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 00:00
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	06-05 03:18
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$12	13	0	+13	Yes	+$1	05-10 05:16
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	05-10 20:39
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	1	$6	0	7	-7	open	—	06-05 19:59
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-07 04:42
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-08 02:32
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-03 03:37
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 02:40
will the powerball jackpot hit 1 billion by july 31	1	$2	0	5	-5	open	—	06-25 11:11
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	5	$1	134	0	+134	open	—	06-14 09:50
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	14	$1	33	32	+1	open	—	06-07 18:36
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	6	$1	54	50	+4	open	—	06-09 12:51
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	3	$0	49	0	+49	open	—	06-07 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 11:11:56	will the powerball jackpot hit 1 billion by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x145ae1…
06-14 09:50:27	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbf2adb…
06-12 14:38:42	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9b9680…
06-12 14:35:04	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb21a7c…
06-12 13:57:18	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe73cd7…
06-12 10:33:01	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x31fa1e…
06-09 12:51:22	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0d413b…
06-09 12:46:21	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x1eae30…
06-09 12:41:21	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x962dbb…
06-09 12:36:16	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x81e28b…
06-09 12:31:16	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xe9c077…
06-07 23:30:27	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe47aec…
06-07 18:36:46	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x13cfa7…
06-07 12:08:12	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x553852…
06-07 09:56:39	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xd1a856…
06-07 03:56:30	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x07eb2b…
06-07 00:54:45	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd9fd14…
06-07 00:54:28	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3b8100…
06-07 00:49:46	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x7c4a7c…
06-07 00:49:36	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd6b640…
06-07 00:49:27	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x408486…
06-07 00:45:07	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xaad252…
06-07 00:40:09	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x9e4ebb…
06-07 00:40:07	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc0373b…
06-07 00:40:06	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x985b5a…
06-07 00:35:07	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x4a5162…
06-07 00:35:04	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x717ecc…
06-07 00:35:03	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x596398…
06-07 00:34:46	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9308f0…
06-06 23:25:42	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x98c101…
06-06 23:25:39	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xd7967d…
06-06 20:04:21	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x26212e…
06-06 19:59:16	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xe7072a…
06-06 19:54:12	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x5c8afe…
06-06 19:54:07	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x338436…
06-06 19:54:07	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x304f31…
06-06 17:03:57	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x60cbe4…
06-06 16:58:54	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x9c9fea…
06-06 16:53:51	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x03c188…
06-06 16:53:49	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0xe241a8…
06-06 10:48:22	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb577d8…
06-06 10:44:01	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x8c3041…
06-06 10:43:22	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x88410a…
06-06 10:39:01	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x596832…
06-06 10:38:21	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x3291dd…
06-06 10:38:18	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x3b8412…
06-06 10:38:15	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xf57989…
06-06 10:38:15	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x97e684…
06-06 10:34:01	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x4a5c31…
06-06 10:34:00	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x2327df…
06-05 19:59:21	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xc8f25e…
06-05 18:31:27	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0x4839cb…
06-05 09:12:24	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb4cdb1…
06-05 05:51:09	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6f1a3b…
06-05 05:51:04	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8808d3…
06-05 03:18:58	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0121a8…
06-05 02:22:12	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xabe6a6…
06-04 21:10:01	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x9bfb3a…
06-04 18:12:15	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd9a789…
06-04 18:08:30	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xddf0b4…
06-04 18:03:28	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x06ffa1…
06-04 17:58:24	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xfe71af…
06-04 17:53:24	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x754733…
06-03 23:32:33	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xf89c92…
06-03 23:13:33	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc5d2e5…
06-03 21:57:01	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$1	0x848e2c…
06-03 19:17:03	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xceaf52…
06-03 19:16:40	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x28ea13…
06-03 18:40:03	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x745161…
06-03 18:37:25	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x9d024c…
06-03 18:37:24	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x4b297e…
06-03 18:37:06	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x75a060…
06-03 18:35:43	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb50f80…
06-03 03:37:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xaf67f1…
05-19 20:35:15	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd1e18b…
05-19 04:09:53	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3cfdfa…
05-17 13:13:05	Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7d44ee…
05-17 13:13:03	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	SELL	75	89¢	$67	0x165cc5…
05-15 22:04:05	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xda3f87…
05-15 08:59:48	Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x90f2c2…
05-15 07:00:46	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6a505b…
05-15 05:28:36	Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x060e8a…
05-14 23:07:36	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x91fc55…
05-14 22:03:38	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x060f8b…
05-14 04:36:15	Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd134b1…
05-14 04:31:25	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xc33c2d…
05-14 04:31:21	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xafd443…
05-14 04:31:20	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd5e798…
05-13 23:26:15	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x1bea05…
05-13 22:02:20	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5efa0e…
05-12 22:01:35	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xc96f5a…
05-12 21:47:14	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xee59da…
05-11 22:59:44	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x03db43…
05-11 22:00:59	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xaf2d34…
05-11 13:23:20	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0f8edb…
05-11 05:00:42	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x638f84…
05-11 04:58:19	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xd296d2…
05-10 20:39:34	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc5ce59…
05-10 19:50:48	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb792df…
05-10 17:42:30	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$20	0xd2f369…