Realized P&L
-$2.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$127
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
132
Trades
1,598
lifetime
Volume
$188.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$1.31K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 23:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
66% 63% -$1,208
Politics
29% 70% +$847
Sports
3% 27% -$2,382
Tech
2% 80% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +800 $744 98¢ $785 +$42 05-26 17:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +200 $146 97¢ $194 +$48 05-25 21:47
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -134 -$166 98¢ $-132 +$34 10-26 19:42
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $104 48¢ $96 -$8 10-26 22:43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -100 -$84 81¢ $-81 +$3 06-07 19:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $24 6¢ $13 -$11 05-25 13:03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -200 -$26 3¢ $-6 +$20 05-25 17:44