Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

Trades

669

lifetime

Volume

$164.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$246

Open exposure

$972

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-25 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-1

Politics

31% 100% +$60

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		-1,000	$-980	97¢	$-972	+$8	06-25 11:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	36	$45.2K	19,272	26,257	-6,985	open	—	05-26 07:48
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$16.9K	16,000	1,000	+15,000	open	—	02-01 16:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	21	$10.6K	8,920	2,400	+6,520	open	—	03-03 23:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-08 21:57
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	47	$9.9K	6,068	4,200	+1,868	open	—	02-27 23:05
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	19	$9.5K	8,416	1,250	+7,166	open	—	01-07 22:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$7.9K	7,900	0	+7,900	open	—	04-08 19:54
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	27	$7.8K	6,800	1,627	+5,173	open	—	01-15 09:54
ice shooter fired by march 31	30	$4.1K	3,499	1,604	+1,895	open	—	01-13 11:42
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	02-03 19:11
x banned in uk by march 31	28	$2.9K	2,954	20	+2,934	open	—	03-31 12:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	9	$2.9K	1,875	1,375	+500	open	—	03-10 21:10
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	9	$2.6K	1,662	1,500	+162	open	—	02-26 23:25
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	33	$2.4K	2,633	1,648	+986	open	—	02-02 20:44
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	7	$2.4K	1,450	1,250	+200	open	—	02-26 10:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	11	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-27 10:55
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	11	$1.7K	950	1,003	-54	open	—	02-04 19:57
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	17	$1.3K	977	400	+577	open	—	01-11 10:41
judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by friday	5	$1.2K	1,000	600	+400	open	—	02-13 11:34
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$1.1K	800	400	+400	open	—	01-15 08:30
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	13	$1.1K	1,100	700	+400	open	—	02-27 09:48
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	25	$1.1K	2,589	2,134	+455	open	—	02-14 16:05
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	17	$1.0K	540	560	-20	open	—	02-22 08:10
gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-05 08:48
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-04 21:39
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	1	$980	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	06-25 11:56
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$963	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-17 20:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	11	$760	600	600	+0	open	—	03-03 21:48
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	5	$655	440	240	+200	open	—	01-11 23:37
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	3	$610	731	0	+731	open	—	02-27 09:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 11:56:47	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$980	0xe66beb…
06-08 15:23:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x1789b3…
06-08 14:33:36	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xbc9097…
06-08 12:21:25	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x33a7ae…
06-08 12:00:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8aaab3…
06-08 11:55:31	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x02180f…
06-08 11:50:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd679b…
06-08 11:45:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9750cf…
06-08 11:40:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4eaf21…
06-08 11:35:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa1986c…
06-08 11:30:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1eb482…
06-08 11:25:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf7a89f…
06-08 11:20:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe18cce…
06-08 11:15:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2d7db8…
06-08 11:10:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcf1fa6…
06-08 11:05:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa76c0f…
06-08 11:00:25	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4884c3…
06-08 10:55:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x19fc6a…
06-08 10:50:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xee4887…
06-08 10:45:25	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x589767…
06-08 10:40:27	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8d64ea…
06-08 10:35:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x676ddf…
06-08 10:30:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xba56ca…
06-08 10:25:25	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf65516…
06-08 10:20:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5da308…
06-08 10:15:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5caf15…
06-08 10:10:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9da87b…
06-08 10:05:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x375c8d…
06-08 10:00:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x02aa81…
06-08 09:55:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2ddc95…
06-08 09:50:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x50cc0b…
06-08 09:45:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6ec75…
06-08 09:40:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x91c0bc…
06-08 09:35:22	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xce3f7a…
06-08 09:30:24	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3627d9…
05-26 07:48:49	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf43a49…
05-26 07:23:14	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x64bbf1…
05-26 07:17:40	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	888	100¢	$887	0xe0ad7b…
05-25 22:43:43	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x97773a…
05-25 21:46:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x773d4f…
05-25 21:43:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x88ad60…
05-25 18:30:17	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	3,650	100¢	$3,646	0x14ac76…
05-25 18:14:11	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0xf29fd3…
05-25 18:13:38	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	340	100¢	$339	0x52542b…
05-25 18:12:58	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0x25f64b…
05-25 18:06:12	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0xf96366…
05-25 18:03:41	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x1288f0…
05-25 18:01:21	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x49ecdf…
05-25 18:00:25	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x9815cd…
05-25 17:54:05	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	850	100¢	$849	0x21e6a3…
05-25 17:53:22	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xa5c22f…
05-25 17:53:01	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	3,101	100¢	$3,098	0x3da365…
05-25 17:52:41	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x12ec37…
05-25 17:52:40	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x23e768…
05-25 17:52:20	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa492a6…
05-25 17:52:17	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	3,913	100¢	$3,909	0x20a0d4…
05-25 17:49:55	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	750	100¢	$748	0x3e7f3f…
05-25 17:48:33	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf1abcc…
05-25 17:44:37	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	4,732	100¢	$4,727	0x703911…
05-25 17:34:14	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5cee51…
05-25 17:34:12	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xe80e97…
05-25 17:29:56	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	5,726	100¢	$5,720	0x822e77…
05-25 17:26:53	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x129d12…
05-25 17:23:56	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	2,726	100¢	$2,723	0xf32ab1…
05-25 17:06:19	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	613	100¢	$612	0x14889a…
05-25 17:05:53	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	387	100¢	$386	0xc7ae5e…
05-25 17:05:40	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	1,604	100¢	$1,601	0x214ca9…
05-25 17:05:14	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x9a9cd6…
05-25 17:01:23	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	2,545	100¢	$2,540	0x76f60d…
05-25 14:26:43	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	1,000	94¢	$945	0x9e73a1…
05-25 14:11:19	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x56c459…
05-25 13:50:03	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x548c22…
05-25 13:39:56	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	2,492	92¢	$2,288	0xbe3555…
05-25 13:13:11	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xac1bd1…
05-25 09:51:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x1426be…
05-25 09:23:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xebf56f…
05-20 16:39:12	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xdd0239…
05-17 00:08:49	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xcb0dac…
05-14 19:45:30	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x403fa0…
05-14 19:41:04	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x14e6e7…
05-14 19:17:04	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x1ce113…
05-14 19:12:46	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x00d7b1…
05-14 19:01:15	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x2d238b…
05-14 18:15:05	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0xff3d08…
05-14 18:15:05	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3cef75…
05-14 18:15:05	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x248e64…
05-14 17:19:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x1a9bde…
05-14 11:54:29	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x802e0f…
05-14 11:51:18	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	134	54¢	$73	0x1bc41a…
05-13 19:24:32	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x15be3f…
05-13 15:05:24	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xe6d615…
05-13 13:00:44	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x274d91…
05-13 12:49:15	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x605364…
05-13 11:32:08	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	127	53¢	$67	0x427233…
05-02 18:50:56	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	19¢	$34	0x84a04d…
05-02 18:43:02	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	137	19¢	$26	0xf9d3db…
05-02 18:40:30	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	204	32¢	$65	0x91212d…
04-28 20:39:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x1ecfd5…
04-28 19:31:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x564ec7…
04-28 18:50:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xf09646…