Realized P&L (30d)
+$211
Unrealized P&L
+$307
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
191
1,774 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$7.95K
$194.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$110
Open exposure
$8.77K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-04 08:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
67% 64% -$1,201
Politics
28% 70% +$847
Sports
2% 27% -$2,382
Tech
2% 80% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +5,000 $4,700 94¢ $4.7K +$5 11-01 19:06
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? No +1,716 $1,601 98¢ $1.7K +$82 10-26 20:47
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +866 $816 98¢ $853 +$37 11-04 08:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +800 $744 98¢ $787 +$43 05-26 17:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +200 $146 97¢ $194 +$48 05-25 21:47
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $104 56¢ $111 +$7 10-26 22:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +151 $53 66¢ $100 +$48 10-27 23:51
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? No +120 $80 83¢ $100 +$19 10-28 16:32
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"? No +100 $93 97¢ $97 +$4 10-26 22:02
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -100 -$84 82¢ $-82 +$2 06-07 19:19
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"? No +29 $25 100¢ $28 +$4 10-26 20:54
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"? Yes +100 $14 18¢ $18 +$4 10-26 22:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $24 3¢ $6 -$18 05-25 13:03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -200 -$26 2¢ $-3 +$23 05-25 17:44