Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.67K

Unrealized P&L

+$390

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

133

Trades

1,774

lifetime

Volume

$194.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$8.86K

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-04 08:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

67% 64% -$1,201

Politics

28% 70% +$847

Sports

2% 27% -$2,382

Tech

2% 80% +$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	+5,000	$4,700	96¢	$4.8K	+$83	11-01 19:06
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	+1,716	$1,601	98¢	$1.7K	+$73	10-26 20:47
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	+866	$816	99¢	$855	+$39	11-04 08:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+800	$744	99¢	$792	+$48	05-26 17:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+200	$146	98¢	$195	+$49	05-25 21:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+151	$53	90¢	$137	+$84	10-27 23:51
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	+120	$80	81¢	$97	+$17	10-28 16:32
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?	No	+100	$93	97¢	$97	+$4	10-26 22:02
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+200	$104	47¢	$94	-$10	10-26 22:43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-100	-$84	87¢	$-87	-$3	06-07 19:19
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"?	No	+29	$25	100¢	$28	+$4	10-26 20:54
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?	Yes	+100	$14	14¢	$14	-$1	10-26 22:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+200	$24	3¢	$5	-$19	05-25 13:03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-200	-$26	2¢	$-3	+$23	05-25 17:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	42	$52.6K	26,722	26,257	+465	No	+$169	05-26 07:48
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$16.9K	16,000	1,000	+15,000	Yes	+$49	02-01 16:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	21	$10.6K	8,920	2,400	+6,520	Yes	+$239	03-03 23:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$25	03-08 21:57
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	47	$9.9K	6,068	4,200	+1,868	No	+$113	02-27 23:05
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	19	$9.5K	8,416	1,250	+7,166	No	+$140	01-07 22:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$7.9K	7,900	0	+7,900	Yes	+$48	04-08 19:54
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	27	$7.8K	6,800	1,627	+5,173	No	+$163	01-15 09:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	1	$4.7K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	11-01 19:06
ice shooter fired by march 31	30	$4.1K	3,499	1,604	+1,895	No	+$448	01-13 11:42
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$5	02-03 19:11
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	175	$3.2K	2,066	1,200	+866	open	—	11-04 08:20
x banned in uk by march 31	28	$2.9K	2,954	20	+2,934	No	+$87	03-31 12:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	9	$2.9K	1,875	1,375	+500	No	+$168	03-10 21:10
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	34	$2.8K	2,976	0	+2,976	No	+$131	06-08 15:23
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	9	$2.6K	1,662	1,500	+162	No	+$117	02-26 23:25
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	33	$2.4K	2,633	1,648	+986	Yes	+$541	02-02 20:44
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	7	$2.4K	1,450	1,250	+200	No	+$163	02-26 10:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	11	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$115	02-27 10:55
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	11	$1.7K	950	1,003	-54	No	+$73	02-04 19:57
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	3	$1.6K	1,716	0	+1,716	open	—	10-26 20:47
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	410	$1.6K	500,000	200,000	+300,000	No	-$400	07-06 18:27
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	17	$1.3K	977	400	+577	Yes	+$28	01-11 10:41
judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by friday	5	$1.2K	1,000	600	+400	No	+$75	02-13 11:34
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	3	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-28 18:40
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$1.1K	800	400	+400	Yes	+$20	01-15 08:30
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	13	$1.1K	1,100	700	+400	No	-$354	02-27 09:48
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	25	$1.1K	2,589	2,134	+455	No	-$350	02-14 16:05
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	17	$1.0K	540	560	-20	No	+$27	02-22 08:10
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.0K	500,000	0	+500,000	No	-$1,000	06-10 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:20:43	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf89bba…
11-04 08:20:43	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf3c7c1…
11-04 08:20:43	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd158bf…
11-04 08:20:43	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x933520…
11-04 08:20:43	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x79fbcd…
11-04 08:20:43	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6d0eef…
11-04 08:20:43	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x344a34…
11-04 08:20:43	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0e1cbb…
11-04 08:13:04	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbaa043…
11-04 08:12:10	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x18fde0…
11-04 08:11:54	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf7d04…
11-04 08:11:54	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x33d749…
11-04 08:11:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xfdeacd…
11-04 08:11:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xf50daf…
11-04 08:11:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xc59a53…
11-04 08:11:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1a9b3e…
11-04 08:11:49	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xacdcd6…
11-04 08:11:49	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x985860…
11-04 08:11:46	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfd0c2e…
11-04 08:11:45	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf72a6d…
11-04 08:11:43	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xe8d352…
11-04 08:05:25	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x226900…
11-04 08:05:24	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4434a0…
11-04 08:05:19	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe2e4c8…
11-04 08:05:19	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x755bbd…
11-04 08:05:19	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x740fdd…
11-04 08:05:16	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa20943…
11-04 08:05:16	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x80b49b…
11-04 08:05:16	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3951e7…
11-04 08:05:15	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc4ecb8…
11-04 08:05:15	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xba22d8…
11-04 08:05:13	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7eaa70…
11-04 08:05:10	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x73173f…
11-04 08:05:09	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd27ca1…
11-04 08:05:07	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9dc922…
11-04 07:30:15	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3ddf83…
11-04 07:10:55	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8edad0…
11-04 07:10:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x754c27…
11-04 07:10:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x00c696…
11-04 07:10:51	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c833f…
11-04 07:10:49	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xfedb73…
11-04 07:10:49	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5817da…
11-04 06:50:12	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3eea42…
11-04 06:48:25	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8f3417…
11-04 06:48:19	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0bab7c…
11-04 06:48:18	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4d25e9…
11-04 06:48:16	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x87260a…
11-04 06:48:16	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2e2d6e…
11-04 06:48:15	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfbe260…
11-04 06:48:15	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xecca64…
11-04 06:48:15	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xac3c48…
11-04 06:48:13	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd64407…
11-04 06:48:13	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x006cb4…
11-04 06:47:40	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2b188a…
11-04 06:47:25	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcdae2a…
11-04 06:47:24	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1be37d…
11-04 06:47:22	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x158a59…
11-04 06:03:51	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7d3cd5…
11-04 06:03:30	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9a6ca1…
11-04 06:02:04	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x17e76e…
11-04 06:02:00	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf3440…
11-04 06:02:00	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7ebb55…
11-04 06:01:58	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfa8442…
11-04 06:01:58	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9a8ec0…
11-04 06:01:58	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8646ad…
11-04 06:01:58	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6129cf…
11-04 06:01:58	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4abe5a…
11-04 05:48:00	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8894c7…
11-04 05:47:54	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc4b14b…
11-04 05:47:54	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5dc660…
11-04 05:47:54	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x37dec9…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdadf61…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc9db1e…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc00328…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb78032…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7ff476…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x779cb8…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3bf6a2…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a2cb6…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x33fb14…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x288303…
11-04 05:47:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f0229…
11-04 05:19:36	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x563168…
11-04 05:16:28	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7c04cc…
11-04 05:16:28	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x325584…
11-04 05:16:27	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe4bb3e…
11-04 05:16:27	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x406b6d…
11-04 05:16:25	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeba738…
11-04 05:16:24	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xaca8cc…
11-04 05:15:31	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xf42423…
11-04 05:15:31	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x7c8217…
11-04 05:15:30	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x49d960…
11-04 05:15:30	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x34c021…
11-04 05:15:28	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xd3d120…
11-04 05:14:42	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x32cd4d…
11-04 05:14:40	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6713a7…
11-04 05:14:33	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1d845e…
11-04 04:56:54	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x65cbb3…
11-04 04:56:39	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8d2390…
11-04 04:56:27	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb2a412…